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A guide to transfer betting: Which Player Will Join Which Team?

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The transfer windows are one of the most exciting and eagerly anticipated periods of the football calendar. Especially with how bonkers the financial side of the sport has become with the elite able to spend hundreds of millions of pounds on just a single player. You can make these months even more exciting by betting on player transfers, it’s no easy task by any means.

It’s tricky and you need to do your due diligence and research before placing your bets on any of these markets. Are you sure what you have read in the newspaper or on your social media feed is true? It’s very difficult to be sure on anything, as in these times, football agents will spread rumours themselves in order to get their clients a better contract at their parent club, even if the player has no actual interest in leaving.

As difficult as it is, there are ways you can research in order to try and squeeze yourself into a market/selection before the money gets there and the bookies clock on…

How to research

It’s fairly difficult to grasp a true story when it comes to transfers in this modern world of both football and social media. Rumours can easily be generated and spread like wildfire, so it is your job to try and separate the ‘fake news’ from stories that actually have legs in them.

When it comes to transfer deadline day’s odds and circumstances around certain moves can change within seconds. I recommend using a platform such as Twitter in order to track updates as soon as they happen. A great trick is this: If you think a player move, keep a tab on the local journalist’s who report on both clubs on either side, you may get a few nuggets of excellent information.

As an example, if you are looking at a player who may be on his way to Newcastle United, I would give ‘Keith Downie’ a follow in order to see what he is saying. He covers all-things Newcastle and is usually the first man in the know.

Twitter can be a fantastic source as the information is generated in real-time, therefore it is faster at generating reports than say broadcasters such as Sky Sports and the BBC. However, saying that, not everything is to be believed. Rumours are always circulating, so you have to try and separate what is real and fake – not an easy task by any means.

Should you bet on transfer markets?

It’s a difficult questions to answer, as nothing is certain. We know that rumours can spread, and as well as that, deals can fall through at the very last minute. An advantage to these markets is that you can get very high odds when they first open, so it would really pay off if you can try find some vital clues or information, and then you can get in before the money which results in the prices shortening.

It’s a very difficult market to be successive in, due to the nature of the sport and how quickly things can change. I would suggest never to bet big when it comes to transfer betting, approach it sensibly and it can become a bit of fun. Especially if you can win a nice amount from a small stake, and you’ll gain bragging rights, knowing you got into the market before the bookies got their information.

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