The Bundesliga is widely deemed as the second-best football league across Europe, only behind the Premier League. Some of the biggest footballers and managers play in Germany and the world-class quality that you can watch makes it a great league for a flutter.
There’s so much money and marketing put into it, bookmakers battle it out for offers, specials, request a bet and odds boosts. There’s also so much available in terms of research and previews on each matchday that it really draws the punters in.
Plenty of people have a bet on the Bundesliga across the world and one of the main reasonings is the number of markets and choice available.
As you will have all seen on my social media, I use a range of markets from the Bundesliga to make my bets and they’ve had a great effect recently landing a 17/1 winner.
The top sides in the Bundesliga are more often than not the few familiar faces. Bayern Munich have dominated a lot over the last decade, winning the league trophy for the past 7 consecutive seasons. Dortmund and now RB Leipzig with a drive to battle with Bayern tend to make up 2nd and 3rd whilst sides such as Hoffenheim, Leverkusen, Schalke and Wolfsburg more often than not come just below.
How to back up your bets
One thing that I find crucial when picking my bets is the research that sits behind each selection and obviously, in such a highlighted league, the stats and research available for the Bundesliga is incredible. That’s anything from goals and BTTS percentages to league form, corner averages and player shots on target/player cards.
Whilst I love my stat research I also like to do more in-depth reading. This tends to be opinionated pieces written by German experts and match previews that include team news and any relevant information such as a change of manager or a behind the scenes bust-up that might affect a game. Such information helps me get a feel for a game so I can judge what way it might go. Some of my favourite places to research stats and for match previews are:
- The Bundesliga and offical club websites
There’s plenty of markets that are offered in the Bundesliga, especially on the big clashes like Bayern vs Dortmund and it’s important to take advantage of these if you’ve previously found success there. Some of the more common markets that I often use for my bets can also pay a dividend.
The simplest betting market there is. It often doesn’t offer much value when backing a big gun like Bayern Munich at home to someone like Paderborn with prices for Bayern to win below 1.10 but when you dig deeper there’s some big value out there.
I often look at the in-form sides around 4th to mid-table. Hertha Berlin are a great example as of the time I’m writing this. They’d changed their manager and had been in great form with consecutive 4-0 and 3-0 wins going into a tough game away to RB Leipzig. The game finished 2-2 with the draw market paying out at 5/1 which would have been highly lucrative for a punter backing against Leipzig to win, whether that be on the sportsbook or the exchange.
A few days later Hertha was playing Augsburg at home, a team who had won just one game in their last 8. You could back Hertha at 1.91 on Betfair to win, a really good price given the research. They won 2-0.
I know the draw is a bit of an anomaly when it comes to a match result, Leipzig are a side full of quality and a lot of the time, this wouldn’t be the case. But as I said with the number of resources that sit behind the Bundesliga, you can grasp an idea of a game by spending a few hours reading into the stats, team news and opinionated articles.
Once you’ve done your research, you can often find similar in-form sides well above evens to win a game. If you’ve identified value in a selection this market can be great. There can be some big value in selections like the one case above, especially if you believe the team news and information that you’ve found. You can also look into draw no bet to add some safety.
The Bundesliga is a great place for goals. So far this season the league has seen an average of 3.24 goals scored per game, that’s the highest across all of Europe’s top 7 leagues which includes England, Spain, Italy, France, Portugal and the Netherlands.
You’ll often look at match results and see heavy scorelines, this not only makes for great viewing, but it also makes a great place for goals bets and I will often use the market when betting. You can see me take an over 2.5 goals selection in an accumulator and I can also use the market in my builder bets, either as a odds boost or sometimes as an in-play.
There’s so much flexibility here but the first thing I do is check the stats and team news. If big goalscorers are out injured or suspended that would point me towards ruling out a game. When it comes to stats I like to make sure that a significant majority of the two sides games had more than 2.5 goals in them.
When doing a Builder challenge I love being able to make it more fast-paced by doing 2-3 in-plays in one day. I often use the second half goal markets for these and with the Bundesliga being so rich for goals I will use it nearly every weekend.
Odds normally start around 1.2 for a second-half goal. If like above the stats and research stack up I will go for it and look for odds of 1.3 or higher. I can sometimes jump on 1.5+ and if I can roll a few of these together the pot can sharply go up. I’ve seen followers wait until odds hit evens and still get a win.