Head To Head

Peterborough
Barnsley
Barnsley
Peterborough
Barnsley
Peterborough
Barnsley
Barnsley
Peterborough
BarnsleyHard to call a winner here, but I do think Lyon edge this one and their price for corners stands out.
Lyon have managed 5+ corners in four of their five home games this season, including both UCL qualifiers – five vs Fenerbahce and seven vs Sparta Praha.
Lech Poznan managed five away at Palace in GW1, while they've also conceded 5+ in three of their five league games.
Forest registered eight on Sunday, with City & Fulham both managing 7+.
Even Middlesbrough managed six in the League Cup at the start of September.
Tyler Morton's fouls record has been solid this season, averaging 1.05 fouls drawn P/90.
His last three games in this market read 3-3-0, that includes winning three fouls in GW1 vs Anderlecht.
Looking at Lyon's four UCL qualifiers, this selection landed in three of them.
I think he's a great price to win another foul here, especially looking at Palace's midfield.
Wharton & Timber both committed two fouls each in GW1 vs Lech Poznan, and across all competitions, the pair average a combined 2.58 fouls P/90
Palace will get chances here, and Yeremy Pino should be at the heart of it.
Across all competitions, he ranks second in the squad for shots on target (5) - averaging 0.82 P/90.
His shooting output is also what interests me here.
He's managed 13 shots this season at an average of 2.13 P/90. This selection also landed in GW1, where he had four shots and a shot on target vs Lech Pozan.
Lyon have conceded an average of 4.6 shots on target across their last five games, with mid table Lens registering seven away at Lyon on Friday.
Hoffenheim are equally capable of scoring as they are conceding two goals. They've netted nine across their first five league games, scoring 2+ in four of them, but have also conceded 13, again hitting the 2+ line in 4/5.
Their Europa League opener saw them lose 2-0, although being back at home should put them back amongst the goals. They've scored 2+ in all three games there this season.
Besiktas have scored 2+ in five straight league games but only have one clean sheet in that time. They won their opener 4-1.
Brighton are one of the most exciting attacking sides in Europe right now. They're the EPL top scorers with 18 in six games and have already beaten Villa 4-0 and Tromso 4-0, Coventry 5-0, and put three past each of Chelsea and Arsenal.
They'll dominate the ball here and keep Kauno Zalgiris pinned back. It'll be wave after wave of a attack and I see this being a drubbing.
Benfica landed this in the opener when winning 2-0 away at AC Milan. They've also landed it in five of their six domestic wins so far this season. They've only failed to score more than once in a game on one occasion this season, away at Porto.
Celtic are fine domestically but struggle in Europe. They lost 5-1 away at LASK in their Champions League qualifier, and then kicked off their campaign in this competition with a 3-1 defeat at home to Ferencvaros.
There's a clear quality gap, and that was probably best showcased by Benfica winning 6-1 when hosting Hearts during the qualifiers.
I think Juve are a brilliant price here. Sure, they've drawn five of them but Celta have managed to win just one of their eight league games this season. They also lost their opener in this 1-0 to Omonia Nicosia.
That loss highlighted their problem, they can't score. From nine games in all comps they've already had three 0-0s this as well as two losses to nil.
They're not conceding masses of chances but the xG data suggests they should've conceded a few more goals than they have, and their chance creation numbers are among the worst in La Liga.
Juventus aren't the biggest scorers domestically but they've still netted eight in five, and they won their opener in this 5-0. Not just that but they are conceding by far the fewest chances in Serie A, they've allowed just 2.8 xG across five games.
The bare results suggest Celta may struggle to score here and the data only backs it up further. If you wanted to be extra punchy you could back Juve to win to nil.
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