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AEK Athens vs Brighton Stats Pack, Bet Builder Tips and Predictions

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Roberto De Zerbi’s Brighton side travel to Greece to face AEK Athens. Renowned as a difficult place to go, the Seagulls can book their place in the Europa League knockouts with a victory. AEK beat Brighton on matchday one, but the South Coast side have bounced back well with two wins vs Ajax, putting them in an excellent position. AEK need to draw to at least keep their qualification hopes alive, but they are also in the mix for 3rd position. The atmosphere will be intense as the Greek champions try to claim another famous Premier League scalp.

Our Stats Pack Guide will help you maximise the value of the stats and visuals below.

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AEK vs Brighton Predicted Lineups

No fresh concerns for AEK

The Greek champions generally have a squad in good condition with few injuries to worry about. There are doubts surrounding the trio of Levi Garcia, Harold Moukoudi and midfielder Jens Jonsson, with the latter being the most significant concern. AEK should line up in a 4-1-4-1 type of system potentially with Steven Zuber playing upfront.

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Several injuries and suspensions for Brighton

Brighton have suffered bad injuries all season with several players on the treatment table. The latest issues came against Nottingham Forest at the weekend when Ansu Fati and Tariq Lamptey both had to be subbed off before half time. The likes of Pervis Estupinan and Julio Enciso along with James Milner have been absent for a while. There are some doubts surrounding Kaoru Mitoma after he wasn’t fit enough to face Forest. Defender Jan Paul van Hecke is suspended due to yellow card accumulation.

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AEK vs Brighton Team Stats

Greek champions are one of the dirtiest in the competition

These stats are from the Europa League only. AEK have conceded an average of 6.50 shots on target which is a rather worrying statistic. More than half the shots they have faced were testing the goalkeeper. They have been a very dirty team and racked up a significant number of cards. Corners have also been high in AEK fixtures, averaging nearly 12 per game.

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Frantic fixtures for the Seagulls

Brighton have impressive goalscoring metrics and average 2.15 goals per game. Their defence has been leaky with 1.77 against, however, their xGA is only 1.45. Brighton average nearly 6 shots on target per match which is mightily impressive, although without several players whether they can keep this up remains to be seen.

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AEK vs Brighton Shots and Shots on Target Stats

Zuber the super option

These statistics are from the Europa League only. Steven Zuber has been firing freely in this competition averaging over 5 shots per 90 minutes. He’s been hitting the target roughly twice per 90 so the 1.91 on offer that he has just two or more shots looks massive. Brighton should dominate the game territorially, but AEK are at home and will get chances. Other possible players to look at are Mijat Gacinovic and Domagoj Vida.

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Ferguson to fire on goal

There’s no doubt that Evan Ferguson will take centre stage for Brighton in attack here. The Irish international averages 2.60 shots per 90 minutes with a very healthy accuracy rate. He can be backed at 1.25 to have one or more shots on target and 2.10 to double up on that statistic. Either of these options could be a decent addition to your Brighton bet builder. Joao Pedro is the other obvious player to look at considering he’ll be on penalty duty. He can be backed at 1.44 to have one or more shots on target, generous.

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AEK vs Brighton Goals and Assists Stats

Zuber again the standout

No player has scored more than once for AEK in the Europa League this season. They tend to lack a clear standout scorer this season although goals have been spread about the whole squad in all competitions. Both attacking players Steven Zuber and Mijat Gacinovic look like decent dual-threat options to both score or assist. Zuber is 3.10 in this market which could be of interest to an AEK bet builder.

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Joao Pedro penalty appeal

Evan Ferguson is the bookmakers’ favourite to score anytime in this game at 2.80. That could be a big price considering he’ll be spearheading the Brighton attack. Joao Pedro will be on penalty duty so the 3.0 that he finds the back of the net could make for some appeal. For those after a bit more safety, Pascal Gross or Simon Adingra to score or assist might be worth looking at. Both offer a significant threat and can be backed at 2.50 and 2.60 respectively.

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AEK Cards and Fouls Stats

Several card candidates for AEK

The Greeks have been one of the dirtiest sides in this season’s Europa League averaging 15.30 fouls per game which is the third-most of any team. They also top the cards charts with 17 yellows and 1 red. An incredible 13 different players have already gone into the book, and we’ve only had four matchdays. Serial offenders have been midfielder Nordin Amrabat and Orbelin Pineda with Djibril Sidibe also a foul-machine.

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Brighton have been the second-most fouled team in the Premier League this season (13.50 per game), but that figure reduces to 11.30 in the Europa League. Teams have perhaps sat back more against them in this competition and maybe even given them more respect with less of a willingness to engage. Two players who are fouled significantly are Joao Pedro and Joel Veltman. Brazilian international Joao Pedro has a bag of tricks, high flair and tonnes of skill.

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Brighton Cards and Fouls Stats

Low foul rate for Brighton in the Europa League

Roberto De Zerbi’s men have been one of the cleanest teams in this year’s competition averaging just 9 fouls per game. Only Olympiacos have been better disciplined in this category. Brighton rank joint-third for yellow cards obtained though (12) and are the sort of team who go in the book for things like dissent or clear-cut fouls. They also rank in the top five for cards in the Premier League, so this is usually the better angle to go down. Their biggest card offender in this competition Jean Paul van Hecke is suspended but 9 other players have all gone in the book.

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AEK only average 41.5% possession so have perhaps not had enough of the ball to cause consistent problems for opponents. Defender Domagoj Vida has been fouled 1.70 times per game which stands out. His experience allows him to win some cheap free kicks and some of the Brighton attackers might be vulnerable against him. 

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