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Armenia vs Wales Stats and Bet Builder Tips Preview

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With second place very much up for grabs in this group, Wales travel to Armenia in what is a crucial Euro 2024 qualifying match. The reverse fixture resulted in a shock 4-2 victory for Armenia and if they could repeat the double they would be in with a shout of automatic qualification. Wales know if they win their two remaining games they will be in Germany next year and claimed a shock of their own in the previous round of fixtures by toppling Croatia 2-1. Everything is on the line in the Armenian capital of Yerevan.

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Armenia vs Wales predicted lineups

Familiar setup for the hosts

Armenia should lineup in their usual 4-3-3 formation spearheaded by their key attacking duo of Lucas Zelarayan and Tigran Barseghyan. Only one change was made to the squad compared to the previous international window so there is an air of familiarity surrounding Armenia under the current regime.

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Brennan boost for Wales

Key Wales attacker Brennan Johnson returns to the fold after missing the previous international window due to injury. He should come straight back into the side and Wales possess great pace with him and in-form Leeds man Dan James. Aaron Ramsey remains on the sidelines, so Ben Davies retains the captaincy. Joe Morrell is available after suspension and Jay Dasilva received his first call-up to the Wales team. Both are likely to be benched though. Kieffer Moore could lead the line for Wales in attack.

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Armenia vs Wales Team Stats

Armenia defence riding their luck

Armenia matches average over ten corners which is quite high for international football these days. They have overachieved at both ends of the field compared to their xG metrics with their defence especially lucky a times. It is concerning that nearly half of the shots they’ve conceded have been on target. Cards have been slightly on the high side and Armenia have managed to draw nearly three per game from their opponents.

Team Stats1 2

Wales’ impressive accuracy

One noticeable stat is their impressive accuracy rate in front of goal. Wales only average 15.20 shots per game but 5.00 on target. They make the most of their opportunities when presented with them.  The Welsh defence have been stingy and allowed just 10.20 shots against per game. Cards have been high, and Wales have goaded their opponents into four cards per match which is a high number.

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Armenia vs Wales players to watch

Zelarayan quality to shine

Former Columbus Crew attacker Lucas Zelarayan is perhaps the standout technical star for Armenia. He has scored twice during this qualifying campaign but only averages one shot per 90 minutes. He is 5.50 to hit the back of the net and 1.67 to have a shot on target. The 1.30 that he has two shots or more could be something to add to your Armenia vs Wales bet builder.

Spertsyan shooting value

Midfielder Eduard Spertsyan averages nearly three shots per game in this qualifying campaign but is yet to convert any of those into goals. He plays his club football for Krasnodar in Russia, and he’s netted in half of his domestic games this season. This is clearly a player who will fancy his chances so the 2.10 that he has two or more shots could make for some enticing value. For those feeling brave, the 3.75 on him to have three or more shots looks potentially massive.

Wilson strong attacking option

Attacking midfielder Harry Wilson averages the most shots per 90 minutes for Wales in this qualifying campaign and he has converted that into three goals. He likes to chance his luck from distance but also gets into some strong positions. He can be backed at 1.80 to have three or more shots and 1.44 to have a shot on target. Wilson is an interesting 4.50 to score at anytime which looks like a generous price.

Moore to come?

Kieffer Moore may well come into the side and lead the Welsh line in Yerevan. Moore is a very physical player who is dangerous in the air and will put himself about. He averages exactly three shots per game in this qualifying campaign, several of which will be headed attempts. He is 3.30 to score and 1.29 to have a shot on target. Possibly the best option might be to take him to have three or more shots though at 1.50, that way you don’t have to worry about his accuracy which can sometimes be wayward.

Johnson to have some joy?

Tottenham attacker Brennan Johnson was unavailable in the last international window so will be eager to come back with a bang. He’s predicted to start and will be desperate to prove his worth. The former Nottingham Forest man brings with him a wealth of qualities considering he’s an excellent athlete and has some great skills. The odds of 3.60 on Johnson to score anytime could look big if he gets in behind this defence. The 1.44 on him to have one or more shots on target could be a good addition to any Wales bet builder.

Armenia vs Wales matchups to watch

Tigran Barseghyan vs Ben Davies

Wales have a knack of drawing cards from their opponents and attacker Tigran Barseghyan could get sucked into a battle with experienced defender Ben Davies. Barseghyan averages close to two fouls per game during this qualifying campaign and might get over-eager in trying to win the ball back. If odds become available, he could be one to watch in the fouls and cards market.

Chris Mepham vs Norberto Briasco

Armenia has an interesting striker in their ranks who is Argentinian-born. Norberto Briasco is still searching for his first Armenia goal after firing blanks in each of his 16 caps so far. The interesting thing to note is that he’s been fouled at least twice on average per 90 minutes during this qualification campaign. He may well put some pressure on the Welsh defence with Joe Rodon and Chris Mepham, particularly at risk. Mepham is 1.30 to commit a foul and Rodon an even bigger 1.62.

Lucas Zelarayan vs Connor Roberts

The technical excellence of Zelarayan on the left wing could cause problems to the Welsh defence, most notably Connor Roberts who is set to start at right back. Zelarayan is fouled more than 1.50 times on average per 90and odds of 1.50 on Roberts to commit an offence look generous. The Armenian star could also drift infield to a more central role where Ethan Ampadu is vulnerable. The Leeds United man is 1.91 to register two or more fouls which is very possible for a player in his position.

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