This looks like a game for goals.
The hosts have seen O2.5 hit 90% of fixtures this season (five from six in the Premier League).
Brighton have seen seven of eight games played exceed the O2.5 threshold, with each of their six Premier League games seeing a minimum of four goals scored.
Given that, it’s not surprising that Brighton top of the league in average goals per game, with 4.33 scored on average. Villa on the other hand, sit joint 3rd in the league with an average of 3.67 goals scored in their games.
Both sides score at a high level. The Seagulls top the league in goals scored with 17 (2.83 per game), and rank in the middle of the pack when it comes to goals conceded – 1.33 against per game.
The Villains score twice per game on average (5th highest) and although they are a top half defense, their 1.25 goals against means they aren’t invincible by any means.
Aston Villa have only seen BTTS hit in 50% of league games, however two of these games came against a lackluster Everton in game week two and a blunt Chelsea attack last weekend. Villa have only failed to score once in six league games.
Brighton have seen both teams score in all six of their games so far this year. The visitors may be excellent going forwards but this has left them open at the back. High scoring wins against Luton, Wolves, and most recently, Bournemouth support this assessment.
Both fixtures last season saw each side finding the back of the net, Villa winning both encounters 2-1.
The Home side averages a very respectable 6.0 corners per game, significantly higher than last years 4.26. This does drop to 5.50 at Villa Park but still way above the four we’re after.
Emery’s men have won at least four corners in 83% of league matches, and in both of their league games at Villa Park to date.
Brighton concede an average of 5.17 corners per game, this number rises to 6.50 corners give away when on the road.
On the road, the seagulls face 3.83 SOT per game, however this number climbs to 4.49 per game when on the road.
Visiting sides often invite more pressure than when they are at home, and Brighton are no different. Brighton face three more shots per game on their travels, seeing 10.25 at The AMEX compared with 14.0 away from home.
Steele and Verbruggen have split the minutes in goal for for De Zerbi, however both shotstoppers have faced an average of 4.0 shots on target against; with Steele saving 3.00 efforts compared with Verbruggen’s 2.33.
Villa will pile on pressure in their third Home game of the season, an average of 13.17 shots per game is fairly consistent both home and away (13.0 at home).
However accuracy spikes at home, 46.2% up from an average of 38.6%. Villa record the 5th most shots on goal (5.33) as well as the 5th highest shots accuracy rate.
Aston Villa have also forced keepers into 3.67 saves on average.