Palmeiras vs Flamengo


Two Brazilian giants clash on Sunday morning when third-place Flamengo makes the journey to Sao Paulo to face fourth-place Palmeiras in Serie A.
Neither of these teams have an issue finding the back of the net.
Flamengo tops the league tally for goals, having scored 26 goals in 13 games. Whereas Palmeiras sit joint second on 24 goals.
Palmeiras also have the joint highest xG in Serie A with 1.96.
Despite losing just once in their last nine league games, Flamengo’s defensive record is shocking.
They’ve conceded 17 goals already this season. And their average xGA is 1.77, which is one of the worst records in the league.
Here are some of their recent score lines on the road: 2-3, 4-0, 1-4, 2-3, 2-1.
83% of Flamengo’s away games this season have finished with both teams scoring.
This also matches Palmeiras’s 83% BTTS record this season when playing at home.

Both teams should get plenty of chances here and I expect Barbosa to nab a shot on target or two in this tie.
He’s racked up 10 of them so far this season averaging out to 1.14 per game. And he’s bagged at least one shot on target in 70% of the games he’s played.
Barbosa has scored four times in the league in this season, including in Flamengo’s last game against Fortaleza.
He’s also Flamengo’s designated penalty taker and has scored three out of the four he’s taken this season.

Bookies are giving fantastic odds for Flamengo to have three or more shots on target here. This will be an extremely competitive game with both sides vying for the win. And that stats look fantastic here.
Flamengo are averaging 4.32 shots on target per game so far this season. Whereas Palmeiras concede 3.46 SOTs per game.
Flamengo have racked up three or more shots on target in 84% of their league matches. Palmeiras have conceded three or more in 77% of their games.

The focus here is on Flamengo midfielder Gerson who is fouled on average an incredible 3 times per 90.
He wreaks havoc on opposition defences and has picked up at least one foul in every single league game bar one. In the game against Cruzeiro he was fouled seven times.
Mayke will be the man tasked with keeping him at bay on Sunday morning. He averages 1.59 fouls per game and has already picked up three cards this season – the joint second highest in the Palmeiras side.