Sheffield Wednesday vs Southampton
Tella was devastating at this level last season, turning out for champions Burnley.
He made 22 goal contributions (17G, 5A) in 39 matches.
Saints are the favourites for this one, and I expect a positive result for them.
Tella’s incredible pace, wonderful feet and devastating end product make him a great pick in this market. With JWP looking to find him, Tella won’t be short of opportunities to take on a shot or try and set up a team mate.
One set piece may be all we need here. JWP is the best free kick taker in the world, he’s also Southampton’s designated penalty taker.
He averaged 0.48 SOT/90 last season. Not crazy, but that was nearly a 50% rate when it comes to accuracy.
He now looks set to stay following West Ham’s pursuit ending. The drop down in level here could mean a sensational season for JWP.
He scored 9, 10 & 8 goals in his last 3 PL seasons, so well in to double figures is a reasonable assumption.
Expect him to get more chances from open play too, as his intelligence will afford him more space and time in this division.
The price on offer for a Bannan foul drew my eye right away. He’s not the most persistent in this market, however the fact he’s the shortest odds for a card (2.20) should tell you everything.
Bannan committed 0.50 fouls/90 last season. He was booked 7 times.
These two met in the EFL Cup last season, and Bannan committed a foul.
The step up should see his average rise, as he faces much better players.
That’s very true here, against the likes of Alcaraz & JWP. Alcaraz drew 1.49 fouls/90 in the PL. If the likes of Lavia (1.91 drawn) and Edozie (3.49 drawn) feature, then this selection looks even better.
Last season, Saints games averaged 9.60 corners, rising to 9.95 in away games. This selection landed in 84% of their away fixtures.
JWP’s set pieces can’t be understated, and corners are a real weapon for Southampton.
I’d expect them to earn plenty this year, building on their average of 4.13 last season.
Wednesday games averaged 9.08 corners last season. They were very prominent in this market at home, taking just shy of 6 per game.
Roared on by a huge home crowd, I expect The Owls to have some periods of sustained pressure. They’re not short of physical presence either, so they too will look to utilise corners.