4th of July, Saturday Accumulator
I’ve picked 5 selections from Saturday’s matches with combined odds of 9/1. Load the accumulator by simply clicking the button above. If more than 5 selections appear, click ‘Remove All’ then click the button again. Enter your stake in ‘5-Folds’ then click ‘Place Bet’.
Want to know why I picked each selection in this accumulator? Read my reasons below.
Meppen v Eintracht Braunschweig
It’s the final day of the season in the German 3rd Liga, it’s a league I’m definitely going to miss.
I’m going for Eintracht Braunschweig Win or Draw (Double Chance) away to Meppen. Braunschweig have been promoted back to Bundesliga 2 after a few years away. They’re currently 2nd in the league and only 1 point above 3rd but because Bayern Munich II (1st place) can’t be promoted, it means Braunschweig have already secured promotion.
Braunschweig could win the title if they beat Meppen on Saturday. With Munich II facing Kaiserslautern and having lost a few key players because of contract expiry, it would be no surprise if they failed to win.
Opponents Meppen are 8th in the league and the season is basically over for them now. A win could maybe put them in to 7th place and a defeat could maybe drop them to 9th but that’s it, they are too far away from a promotion play-off. What’s more, having done some extra research in to this match, Meppen are without top goalscorer Deniz Undav after he turned down a contract extension.
Meppen have been on decent form lately but given the circumstances and with Braunschweig still something to play for, I can’t see them losing this one.
1860 Munich v Ingolstadt
The situation in this one is quite confusing. Ingolstadt are 4th which normally would mean no promotion but because Bayern Munich II are top it basically means it’s the same as finishing 3rd which means a promotion play-off spot.
However, they’re only 1 point ahead of 5th and 6th and 2 points ahead of Saturday’s opponents 1860 Munich, in 7th place. So 1860 can still get 4th place but they would need to beat Ingolstadt and hope that Duisburg and Rostock fail to win.
Situationally this could be fantastic for goals, both teams needing 3 points means a very open match from the start. What’s more, 1860 Munich have a full team to pick from but Ingolstadt have to do without key defender Bjorn Paulsen.
Ingolstadt have the 2nd best defence in the league but Paulsen will be a huge loss today, he’s featured in 30 matches this season. 1860 Munich matches average 3.11 goals per game, Ingolstadt matches only 2.68 goals per game.
The previous match this season finished 2-2 and given the situation and what’s required for both clubs, I fully expect this one to have at least 3 goals.
Sassuolo v Lecce
This one really stands out for goals. Each of the last 8 Lecce matches have had over 2.5 goals, 7 of the last 8 Sassuolo matches have had over 2.5 goals.
In their last 4 away matches, Lecce have conceded 13 goals, Sassuolo have scored 10 in their last 4 home matches.
Sassuolo score on average 2.21 goals at home, they concede 1.79 goals on average away. Lecce score 1.07 goals on average away, concede on average 2.43 goals away.
Sassuolo are 3rd in the average goals table with 3.48 per game, Lecce are 2nd with 3.52 per game. The previous encounter this season finished 2-2 and I fully expect this one to have at least 3 goals again.
Blackburn Rovers v Leeds United
All over Leeds this weekend, I think they’ll get back to winning ways against a depleted Blackburn Rovers team.
Blackburn have John Buckley and Darragh Lenihan returning this weekend but they’ll have to do without Ben Brereton after his straight red against Barnsley midweek. He joins Lewis Travis, Amari’i Bell, Derrick Williams, Corry Evans and Joe Rankin-Costello on the absentee list. There’s also concern over Joe Rothwell’s fitness who took a knock midweek so that could be another added to the list!
I didn’t see the Leeds match midweek but I did see the stats, they absolutely dominated Luton but couldn’t get the winning goal. I checked the xG which is a great statistic to determine what the true score should’ve been, it was recorded as 2.41 for Leeds, 0.29 for Luton. That sums it up.
Blackburn have lost their last 2 matches and have seriously fallen off pace in finishing top 6. They’re 5 points adrift and have to play top 6 opposition in their next 3 matches.
Momentum has well and truly gone, combine that with the depleted squad and I really can’t see them taking anything from Leeds on Saturday.
Fulham v Birmingham
Fulham got back to winning ways midweek coming from behind to beat QPR 2-1. On the same night Birmingham suffered a terrible 3-0 defeat at home to Huddersfield Town stretching their winless run in all competitions to 9 matches.
Since the return from lockdown Fulham have slipped down to 5th place and are now only 7 points clear of Derby in 7th place. With 6 matches remaining, 3 of those are against top 6 opposition so it’s crucial Fulham pick up all 3 points against Birmingham on Saturday.
Defensively, Birmingham have seriously struggled since the break. Although they kept a clean sheet against West Brom, they’ve conceded 3 goals in each of the other 3 matches. They’re fortunate Fulham are without Mitro but there are still plenty other goalscoring options for the Cottagers.
I’m backing Fulham to win this one and take one step closer to securing a play-off place.
Please Gamble Responsibly
Please always make sure you gamble responsibly. Don’t expect every bet to win, make sure you only ever stake what you can afford to lose and keep it fun. 18+.