7th of May, £10 to £100 Weekender Bet 1
It feels like a lifetime ago since we did a betting challenge… I’ll be starting a brand new £10 to £100 Weekender on Friday night, hoping to reach the target after 5 bets throughout the Weekend.
I recommend opening a Betfair account if you want to get involved. Sign up here and you’ll get a £20 risk free bet to start with as well as access to the best odds that you won’t find elsewhere.
Risk free is the perfect way to get involved. So if you sign up and place up to £20 on Bet 1 of the Weekender, you’ll get your stake back as cash if it happens to lose!
I’ll be providing research behind each bet as always, you can read my reasons behind Bet 1 of the challenge below:
Turkgucu Munchen v Verl (Over 1.5 goals)
· Following a week’s hiatus from the Weekender due to the social media boycott last week it is time to go again and see if we can complete the challenge once again this weekend! We begin the evening in Germany and the 3rd tier to be precise where 10th placed Turkgucu host 7th placed Verl in something of a midtable clash. There is in reality little to play for in this one but that doesn’t really matter with goals a regular fixture for both these sides domestically this season and we need just a couple here to get this one ticked off nice and early.
Turkgucu Munchen have seen over 1.5 goals feature in 27 of their 35 (77%) league fixtures this season.
Verl have seen over 1.5 goals feature in 32 of their 35 (91%) league fixtures this season. The best goals record in the division.
Turkgucu Munchen have seen over 1.5 goals feature in 6 successive league games prior to tonight.
Verl league games this season have averaged 3.29 GPG the highest goals average in the entire division.
· The hosts have had a reasonable season and sit safely in midtable with both relegation and a chance of promotion no longer mathematically feasible. They can take the handbrake off a little now and try to enjoy games with little to no pressure given there is nothing other than pride left to play for.
· Yesterday afternoon they actually had to Part Company with head coach Serdar Dayat. Not because of poor performance but because the Turkish born manager has been struggling with severe back problems. Assistant manager Andreas Pummer will act as interim manager between now and the end of the season.
· They are aren’t in the best of form coming in to the game this evening and actually lost 4-1 away at 11th placed Hallescher on Tuesday night. They will be a little wary of facing a side with the attacking talents of Verl who they know have more than enough quality to put them to the sword multiple times.
· Verl have certainly not been overawed by the increase in standard since promotion and continue to play with the pressing & possession style of football which served them so well last campaign. Manager Guerino Capretti has instilled a winning mentality within his players and has encouraged them to ‘continue to play the way they know’ throughout the entireity of the season.
· Their offensive and attacking style employed by Capretti has seen him linked with some big names across Germany with Paderborn the latest club to show interest in the Italian. Despite being positioned 7th, they are the 3rd top scorers in the entire division having notched 63 times in just 35 games this season.
· Defensively is where work needs to be done having leaked 52 goals, unsurprisingly the worst of any side in the top 7. Capretti won’t surrender on his attacking ways however which is what makes Verl games so terrifically entertaining. Their fixtures tend to guarantee goals and just a couple shouldn’t cause us any issues tonight.
Genk v Club Brugge (Over 1.5 goals)
· A big game in Belgium up next as we head in to the 2nd game of the Championship round where Genk host Club Brugge. The visitors hold a 7 point advantage over the hosts and barring a late catastrophe should go on to win all the honours that domestic Belgian football has to offer this season having already sealed the Pro League. In the overall standings they are on 76 points, 16 points ahead of second place, and 20 points above Genk and have been without doubt the standout team in Belgium once more this season. The result is irrelevant for us here though with goals the market we look at once more and just a couple required to see us through to Bet 2 and Saturday.
Genk have seen over 1.5 goals feature in 31 of their 34 (91%) league games this season. The second highest average in the league.
Club Brugge have seen over 1.5 goals feature in 28 of their 34 (82%) of their league fixtures this season.
Genk have only failed to score in 4 of their 34 (12%) league games this season making them the joint most consistent scorers in the division.
Club Brugge have scored 74 goals this season at an average of well over 2 goals scored per game seeing them as the top scorers in the division.
· The Belgian league has been brilliant for goals this season with a huge average of 3 goals per game flying in this season from the 306 matches played. These two are as good as it gets when it comes to goals and I struggle to see how this one fails to land.
· Genk are the second top scorers in the league behind only tonight’s opponent and are absolutely stacked with attacking talent. Paul Onuachu has been a rvelation for genk this season and the 6ft 7in forward has smashed home an incredible 32 goals in 37 games in all competitions this season.
· Scoring goals certainly hasn’t been the problem for Genk this season, it is at the other end of the field where the problems really exist. They have conceded a massive 48 goals which despite sitting 4th sees them with the worst defensive record of any side ranked amongst the top 7 in Belgium.
· With the title wrapped up it is fair to suggest that Club Brugge have taken their foot off the pedal somewhat, especially from a defensive standpoint. They have conceded in each of their last 5 league games prior to tonight, something they simply weren’t doing earlier in the season.
· Luckily for Brugge they have an exemplary attack which keeps on firing even if they have gotten a little lax defensively of late. What is most impressive for Brugge is they don’t rely on one player to bring them the goals; they have four players who have each scored 10+ goals in all comps this season making them a very difficult side to contain.
· Each of the last 9 meetings between these two sides have featured over 1.5 goals and the reverse fixture back in January was a thrilling 3-2 win for Brugge which could be signs of things to come tonight. Expecting a couple of goals should be fairly straightforward in Belgium tonight.