9th February, 9/1 Tuesday Accumulator
Here we go! After landing a 7/1 Acca on Sunday I’ve used the exact formula to pick out a 9/1 Acca for tonight going for back to back winners!
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✔️ It wins = you win £207 cash
❌ It loses = your £20 stake is refunded in cash
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Simple. As always I’ve attached my research behind picking each selection:
Notts County vs Dag & Red
With ground to make up on the front runners and games in hand it’s crunch time for County.
The 1-0 win away at Weymouth made it 3 games in a row without conceding for the National League giants. They’ve lost just 2 of their last 11 league games and at home only Torquay and Hartlepool have taken more points (20) than their 19.
The National League is notoriously hard to get out of and there’s some big sides in there now, County are arguably the biggest of the lot and the expectation is very high. Nothing aside from promotion will be deemed a success and a home game like this against 17th placed Dag & Red is a must win, no excuses.
The biscuits have won just 1 of their last 5 and that was against 3rd from bottom Kings Lynn. They’re just 5 points above them after that win and are no doubt looking over their shoulder rather than at the melee of sides above them.
Often at this level it comes down to a sheer gulf in class when you look at the squads at the managers disposal. With no disrespect to Dag & Red, their squad on paper doesn’t compete with their more illustrious hosts.
There’s a number of football league quality players in the County ranks. Jake Reeves, veteran midfielder Michael Doyle and top scorer Kyle Wootton just to name a few. Wootton bagged 13 in this division last year and with 8 already to his name he’s already well on his way to bettering that, he’ll lead the line for this one.
Really fancy a strong County side to dispatch of Daggers here, the visitors have only scored 18 times in 19 games this season and this could be a long evening for them.
Tranmere vs Stevenage
League Two is incredibly tight, every time you look at the table it feels like everyone is slipping up and different sides are in and out of the play offs.
However over the past month, Tranmere have quietly been going about their business. In fact, that doesn’t do them justice – they’ve been absolutely smashing it. 5 wins in a row and this is on paper their easiest game of the lot. In their run they’ve beaten Forest Green, Bolton, Morecambe and they even beat Peterborough in the EFL Trophy.
They’ve been convincing too, they’ve scored 2 or more in all bar the win at Morecambe and put 3 last Vale, Harrogate and FGR. From mid table they’re now 3rd in the league, 4 points off top and lead the form table along with Mansfield.
Former Everton forward James Vaughan has been motoring along nicely for them, he’s got 6 in 5 and is up to 16 for the season. Only Cambridge’s Paul Mullin has scored more so far and there’s no doubt Vaughan’s purple patch has been a hugely beneficial factor in their rise up the table.
There’s a few teams really scrapping in the relegation places. Stevenage, Barrow, Grimsby and Southend have been cut adrift slightly from the rest with a 5 point gap from tonight’s hosts to Bolton above them.
Aside from Southend, who we’ll get to shortly. Stevenage are, for me at least, the worst side in the division. They were saved from relegation by a number of mitigating factors last year and only the poor performances of the sides below them are likely to keep them afloat this season. Only the bottom 2 have scored fewer goals and nobody has won less games.
Away from home they’ve had a torrid time too. 1 win in 12 is appalling and with just 9 goals scored it’s easy to see why they haven’t won more. That solitary win came last time out at a rudderless Grimsby side and it was also the first time since the 18th of January 2020 that Stevenage scored more than 1 goal in an away match.
If I’m honest I expected Tranmere to be priced lower, probably closer to 1.7 so I think there’s a good bit of value in the home win here. Let’s hope the hosts can continue their impressive run.
Portsmouth vs Swindon
After a tough couple of defeats to title rivals Hull and Lincoln, Portsmouth have been back amongst the goals with a 3-1 win at The Valley before a 2-2 draw here with Plymouth. With Plymouth on a good run recently it was a tough task for Pompey and at 2-0 down they looked buried. However two goals in a minute dragged them back level in the late stages, the impact of that comeback could be huge for their season as a whole.
Those two aforementioned defeats are the only 2 league losses in Pompey’s last 10 and against sides lower in the league than them they do tend to produce the goods. They smashed 4 past Wimbledon, Crewe and Northampton at Fratton Park. With the second worst away side in the league visiting this evening they’ve got to fancy their chances of 3 points.
No side has lost more away games in League One than the Robins. They’ve lost 8/12 on the road and have taken just 8 points from 36 available, the joint lowest in the league along with Burton. Swindon really aren’t a side who grind out points, their 17 league defeats is the highest in the league, it’s all or nothing for them normally and I struggle to see how they take everything from a vastly superior squad.
Ronan Curtis has struggled to get his full fitness back since his return from injury, he sat out the win at Charlton before coming on to score first in the comeback at the weekend. With John Marquis leading the line too they have one of the league’s best strikers, albeit he’s without a goal in 4 games this will be one he’ll fancy to get his mojo back.
Looks a very one sided game this one, Pompey to have the ability to really turn on the style. They’re the leagues top scorers and are playing against the worst defence in the division. 3 points is expected here.
Tranmere vs Stevenage
League Two is incredibly tight, every time you look at the table it feels like everyone is slipping up and different sides are in and out of the play offs.
However over the past month, Tranmere have quietly been going about their business. In fact, that doesn’t do them justice – they’ve been absolutely smashing it. 5 wins in a row and this is on paper their easiest game of the lot. In their run they’ve beaten Forest Green, Bolton, Morecambe and they even beat Peterborough in the EFL Trophy.
They’ve been convincing too, they’ve scored 2 or more in all bar the win at Morecambe and put 3 last Vale, Harrogate and FGR. From mid table they’re now 3rd in the league, 4 points off top and lead the form table along with Mansfield.
Former Everton forward James Vaughan has been motoring along nicely for them, he’s got 6 in 5 and is up to 16 for the season. Only Cambridge’s Paul Mullin has scored more so far and there’s no doubt Vaughan’s purple patch has been a hugely beneficial factor in their rise up the table.
There’s a few teams really scrapping in the relegation places. Stevenage, Barrow, Grimsby and Southend have been cut adrift slightly from the rest with a 5 point gap from tonight’s hosts to Bolton above them.
Aside from Southend, who we’ll get to shortly. Stevenage are, for me at least, the worst side in the division. They were saved from relegation by a number of mitigating factors last year and only the poor performances of the sides below them are likely to keep them afloat this season. Only the bottom 2 have scored fewer goals and nobody has won less games.
Away from home they’ve had a torrid time too. 1 win in 12 is appalling and with just 9 goals scored it’s easy to see why they haven’t won more. That solitary win came last time out at a rudderless Grimsby side and it was also the first time since the 18th of January 2020 that Stevenage scored more than 1 goal in an away match.
If I’m honest I expected Tranmere to be priced lower, probably closer to 1.7 so I think there’s a good bit of value in the home win here. Let’s hope the hosts can continue their impressive run.
Newport vs Southend
Off to Rodney Parade for this one as Newport look to continue to recover from their rough run of form by getting back to back wins against the bottom 2.
After a torrid run that had seen them lose top sport, Newport got back to winning ways at the weekend against lowly Grimsby. Nicky Maynard joined on loan for the remainder of the season and the veteran striker has made an instant impact, scoring the winner on Saturday to secure the 3 points. He may be ageing but his eye for goal and poaching ability might be exactly what County needed to reignite their challenge for promotion.
Southend had a decent December, they avoided defeat in 6 out of 7 games and picked up 3 wins. That’s 3 of only 5 they’ve got all season and since the turn of the year they’ve slumped back in to their old ways.
Not to bash them too hard but they’re the holders of meat enough every negative stat in L2. Bottom of the league, 2nd worst defensive record, failed to score more times than any other side, lowest number of league wins and highest number of league defeats it’s looking bleak for the current basement club. Their only hope lies with getting points off the clubs down there with them, games like this don’t look even remotely attainable in my opinion.
Last time out they were thumped 5-1 by a Port Vale side who were on a terrible run themselves. Southend are that side that when you’re on a bad run, you look to see when you’re playing them.
After a rough month, back to back games against Grimsby and Southend is a godsend for Newport. I expect them to take full advantage.
Walsall vs Mansfield
As mentioned, the only side matching Tranmere of late has been Mansfield.
The Stags were fancied to make some headway this year and push for a play-off place at the very least. After a terrible start to the season Graham Coughlan was relieved of his duties. Although they were rarely beaten they simply couldn’t get wins over the line, drawing more than 1 in 2 during the first part of the season.
Nigel Clough is at the helm now and he’s got this side playing some excellent football. Not only are they winning games but they’re scoring goals. They scored 3 away at both Scunthorpe and Oldham as well as demolishing Port Vale 4-0. They took the 5 game form table with thanks to their goal scoring, now they’re 10 points outside the play offs with 2 games in hand on some of those teams.
Continuing the momentum would be huge here. It’s a tough game but double chance means they only have to avoid defeat, which I think looks very likely in this trip to an inconsistent Walsall side.
Walsall hit a similar run of form over Christmas, winning 4 on the bounce and going 6 unbeaten. Since then though it’s been a struggle for Darrell Clarke’s men who’ve managed just 1 win in their last 6. A struggling Scunthorpe and depleted Carlisle both came here and won with Oldham also avoiding defeat.
This inconsistency has cost Walsall dearly and like Mansfield in the early days they’ve drawn far too many games. 11/25 shows their inability to get games over the line and against a Mansfield side in supreme confidence this is another I can’t see them taking max points from.
I’ve gone safe with double chance but draw no bet looks good too for slightly higher odds. I think this is only the beginning of Mansfield’s assault up the table, another 3 points here would show they really mean business.
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