12th of May, Wednesday Accumulator
You can load my accumulator by clicking here on mobile. There’s 6 selections in total from across Europe, it’ll get started at 6pm on Wednesday evening.
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Sevilla v Valencia (Sevilla win)
· Despite the majority of European leagues now closing in on the end of the season, there is still plenty to play for in the majority of the leagues. An array of fixtures across Europe tonight so I have pulled together a cracking looking acca of adds just shy of 12/1.
· We start in La Liga where we are primed with one of the closest title races in years. Four teams are still mathematically in the race with Sevilla included but the hosts know they can’t afford any more slip-ups.
· While now highly unlikely, Sevilla won’t give up until it is mathematically impossible to win the title. They currently sit 4th, 6 points behind league leaders Atletico with 3 games left to play.
· That means a win tonight is imperative for their chances and anything else means that the title will be out of reach. Remains the case though that it has been a fantastic season for Sevilla who have done well to even be in the mix with the usual big-hitters of Real Madrid, Barcelona and Atletico.
· The same can’t be said for their opponents tonight, Valencia. They have endured a pretty torrid campaign and at times there was even talk about a potential relegation battle which is unthinkable for a club of their size and stature.
· Javi Gracia was dismissed as manager at the beginning of May and the visitors will be very keen to see the back of this season. They currently sit 13th and are far closer to the drop-zone than they are to the top 7 which is where Valencia tend to find themselves.
· Lopetegui comes into this game with a full Sevilla squad available to choose from, with no major injury concerns for the fourth-placed side.
· With a win an absolute must tonight to keep their slim title dreams alive, I expect Sevilla to get the job done tonight and hope the three teams above them slip-up in what has been a thrilling Spanish title race!
Toulouse v Pau (Toulouse win)
· Ligue 2 giants Toulouse know full well only a win will do this evening if they want to keep up their chances of automatic promotion back to Ligue 1 alive.
· They currently sit 3rd, 4 points behind 2nd placed Clermont who currently fill the final automatic promotion spot. Toulouse do however have a game in hand meaning should they win tonight they will narrow the deficit to just one point going in to the final round of fixtures at the weekend.
· They take on struggling Pau this evening who sit 16th in Ligue 2 and are still very much under the threat of relegation.
· The hosts will really fancy their chances of taking the promotion race to the final day especially when you consider their extraordinary home record.
· They have won every Ligue 2 played at home for the past 5 months equalling 11 straight wins prior to tonight.
· Over those 11 games they have scored 29 goals and conceded just 6 which shows you just how dominant a team they are when playing at Stadium TFC.
· Pau meanwhile have won just twice on the road from their 18 away games played this season seeing them with the second worst away record in the division. Struggle to see how they get anything tonight.
· The hosts have a more or less full strength squad to select from and welcome back first-choice left back Deiver Machado from injury. The suspended Stijn Spierings appears to be the only notable absentee from the squad going in to this evening.
· Given the respective home and away records of the two sides and with Toulouse in desperate need of a win to keep their hopes of automatic promotion alive I only really see this tie going one way and expect the hosts to seal a fairly routine home win.
FC Volendam v Jong AZ Alkmaar (Over 2.5 goals)
· Off to Holland next where it is the final day of the Eerste Divisie and I obviously couldn’t resist including a fixture from this wonderful league in my accumulator this evening.
· With it being the Eerste it obviously has to include goals and none of the fixtures look better to me than the game in Volendam as they host Jong AZ this evening.
· The hosts have already secured their place in the playoffs and tonight will be a game used to build confidence and momentum and against a team as defensively vulnerable as Jong AZ they have the perfect opportunity to do so.
· Other than league winners Cambuur, no side has scored as many goals as Volendam with 77 this season. Apart from bottom of the league Dordrecht, no side has conceded more goals than Jong AZ this season- I think you can see where I am going with this…
· A top attack against a weak defence usually is a great sign for goals. These two are pretty much as reliable as it gets in the division and in reality I am expecting a bit of a cricket score tonight.
· 27 of the 37 league fixtures (73%) involving Jong AZ this season have featured over 2.5 goals, the best record in the division. They also average nearly 4 goals per game in their fixtures and are pretty much as goalsy as they come in the Dutch 2nd tier which is quite some feat.
· The reverse fixture was a 6-2 Volendam win back in October which gives you an indication on the sort of game we could be expecting tonight. Can’t foresee 3+ goals causing us too many issues here.
Red Bull Salzburg v Rapid Vienna (Over 2.5 goals)
· If there is another league in Europe that can compete with the goals produced in the Eerste Divisie then it would probably have to be the Austrian Bundesliga.
· Salzburg are pretty as goalsy as they come and with the title within touching distance I can’t see the hosts faltering tonight.
· A point is all that is needed from Salzburg to retain the Austrian title for the 8th successive season and be the perfect parting gift for manager Jesse Marsch who has agreed to succeed Julian Nagelsmann as the head coach of RB Leipzig going in to next season.
· Salzburg have been relentless since returning from the winter break, winning 14 of their 17 league matches in 2021, which is an Austrian Bundesliga record.
· They have also won each of their last 6 matches prior to tonight, scoring 2+ goals in each of them as their ridiculous scoring form continues.
· The hosts are at full strength with long-term absentee Albert Vallci the only senior player missing with an Achilles tendon tear.
· Both sides have over 2.5 goals success rates of 60%+, in-fact they are the two most consistent teams in Austria when it comes to this market.
· They have played each other 4 times in the past couple of months with a mammoth 19 goals scored in those matches at an average of 4.75 goals per fixture.
· With the title up for grabs, all the big guns will be starting for the hosts including the hugely talented Patson Daka. Rapid will do all they can to halt their title charge but whichever way the result swings I can’t see it being short on goals!
Inter v Roma (Inter win)
· Newly-crowned Serie A champions have shown few signs of taking their foot of the gas despite having the scudetto all wrapped. Antonio Conte has now allowed for his team to relax and wants to continue winning every game between now and the end of the season.
· Conte has worked wonders at the helm and continues to show the rest of Europe what a wonderfully gifted manager he is.
· Inter are unbeaten in the league since January, a run of 19 straight Serie A games without defeat. Since Christmas they have been pretty much perfect and no one can touch them at the moment with an air of invincibility around the San Siro.
· It has not been such plain sailing for Roma who have all but conceded their chances of a top 6 finish thanks to their woeful form in recent months.
· Injuries certainly haven’t helped but it seems from the outside looking in that Fonseca has lost the dressing room and I wasn’t entirely surprised to hear that he will be leaving the club come the end of the season.
· Inter rested quite substantially at the weekend and still managed to win 5-1 at home to Sampdoria which gives you an idea in to the strength in depth they now have within the squad.
· The likes of Lukaku, Barella and Brozovic are expected to return here in what should be a near full strength Inter side with Vidal and Kolarov the only injury concerns.
· Roma in comparison are riddled with injuries with as many as 9 senior players expected to miss out so many inexperienced players are expected to again fill-in as a result.
· Inter are imperious winning machines at the moment and I expect the machine to roll on in Milan tonight as they cruise past a depleted Roma outfit.
Genk v Anderlecht (Over 2.5 goals)
· We round the acca up in Belgium for a game between two of the biggest sides in the league as Genk host Anderlecht this evening.
· Just 3 points separates the sides in the Championship Group so although Club Brugge have wrapped up the Belgian title there is still plenty to play for in this one.
· The Belgian league has been brilliant for goals this season with a huge average of 3 goals per game flying in this season from the 306 matches played in the regular season. These two are as good as it gets when it comes to goals and I struggle to see how this one fails to land.
· Genk are the second top scorers in the league behind only league champions Club Brugge and are absolutely stacked with attacking talent. Paul Onuachu has been a revelation for Genk this season and the 6ft 7in forward has smashed home an incredible 33 goals in 38 games in all competitions this season.
· Such is the Nigerians form that he has been heavily linked with a move away from Genk in the summer. The likes of Arsenal have been linked with his signature which gives you an indication of the sort of goalscoring talent that he has. He is fit and will lead the line for the hosts tonight.
· Scoring goals certainly hasn’t been the problem for Genk this season; it is at the other end of the field where the problems really exist. They have conceded a massive 48 goals which despite sitting 4th sees them with the worst defensive record of any side ranked amongst the top 7 in Belgium.
· Anderlecht aren’t quite as prolific but still have Man City loanee Lukas Nmecha within their ranks who has been a revelation this season. The striker has 18 goals to his name and looks certain to have a bright future in the game.
· Over 2.5 goals has featured in 11 of the last 13 games involving Genk and 9 of the last 11 involving Anderlecht which is very positive omen going in to tonight. Don’t expect this one to fail to live up to the billing and hopefully round off a successful acca!