14th of April – 11/1 Champions League Double
There’s another good couple of matches on tonight from the quarter-finals of the Champions League. You can load my double by clicking here on mobile.
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Dortmund v Man City
· After an intriguing night of UCL action last night with PSG and Chelsea progressing to the semi-finals, we have another exciting night ahead of us with two more fantastic fixtures to look forward to.
· We begin at Signal Iduna Park, where Borussia Dortmund host Manchester City in a finely poised second leg with City having edged a 2-1 win in the first leg in a thoroughly entertaining encounter.
· Dortmund held their own for much of the tie and actually had plenty of decent chances to win the game on the night. They have shown they are not frightened of City and will go for it from the off with attack the best form of the defence for BVB.
· On that note, I am expecting goals once more tonight as there were in the first leg and with Dortmund having to attack I expect over 2.5 goals should fly in. Dortmund simply don’t do boring games and have seen over 2.5 goals feature in 21/28 (75%) of their Bundesliga games this season. I don’t see 3+ goals causing us any problems here given the forward talent on show.
· Haaland was predictably impressive in the 1st leg; the only real thing that was missing was a goal. He assisted Reus on the night for the Dortmund goal and was a constant threat with his pace and power on the counter-attack.
· He has 33 goals in 34 apps this season, including 10 goals in 7 Champions league appearances and is quite frankly a remarkable player. He averages a little under 2 shots on target per 90 minutes for Dortmund this season and I fully expect him to get at least one on target for us tonight.
· The other player we will be focusing on will be Kevin De Bruyne. The Belgian maestro opened the scoring at the Etihad last week and I expect will have a big say once more in the game tonight.
· He averages over a shot on target per 90 this season and will undoubtedly be the first name on both penalties and freekicks for City which only increased the probability of a shot on target tonight.
· He will play in the pockets of space between the Dortmund midfield and attack. With Dortmund having to chase the game he will be afforded plenty of room and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him score once again, let alone register a shot on target for us in Germany tonight.
Liverpool v Real Madrid
· We finish the night at Anfield where Liverpool will need another famous Champions League comeback if they are to have any chance of qualifying for the semi-finals.
· The hosts certainly have history in doing so, you only have to go back a couple of years to remember their historic 4-0 win over Barcelona at Anfield and don’t even get me started on Istanbul!
· With that in mind, I generally believe Liverpool will be confident they can qualify going in to tonight. They have done it before and with the attacking players they have at their disposal they are capable of doing it again.
· Liverpool require at least 2 goals to have any chance of qualifying and will need to attack Madrid from the off in a bid to get back in to the game. Madrid will look to hit on the counter with the likes of Benzema and Vinicius as they did so effectively in the first leg.
· With this in mind, I can’t see this being short on goals with Liverpool needing to attack and Real Madrid so dangerous on the break. I expect over 2.5 goals to comfortably feature in this one.
· Liverpool boss Jurgen Klopp has said as much and stated Liverpool have ‘nothing to lose’ going in to tonight.
· In reality, if Liverpool are to have any hope in qualifying tonight then their talisman Mo Salah certainly has to be at his absolute best. Despite his critics, Salah is once again comfortably the top scorer at the club and has 28 goals to his name already this season.
· He scored in the first leg and was definitely the biggest threat for Liverpool and I expect he will be once more tonight. Real Madrid are short at the back and it is something that the Egyptian will undoubtedly look to exploit.
· Sergio Ramos, Raphael Varane and Dani Carvajal remain out and Lucas Vazquez has been added to that defensive injury list having picked up an injury in the El Clasico at the weekend. It will be very much a makeshift Madrid backline.
· Salah averages well over a shot on target per 90 and with Liverpool chasing the game he is likely going to be allowed more offensive freedom then he would usually be. He rarely lets you down on the big occasion and I am expecting big things from Salah tonight!
· As for Madrid, well again I will be looking to the main man to do the business for Madrid once more. He arrives in Liverpool in fantastic form having scored a wonderful hell-flick goal in El Clasico at the weekend and the Frenchmen is finally getting the plaudits his talents deserve.
· He has 25 goals to his name this season and is quite possibly enjoying his finest individual campaign in his 12 year Real Madrid career. He has dragged his team back in to the La Liga title race and is without doubt the most important player at Real Madrid at the moment.
· His shooting stats are thoroughly impressive averaging a touch under 2 shots on target per game this season. In the absence of any other experienced attackers tonight I think he will be the focal point of everything Madrid do from an attacking sense. Fully expect he will be able to get at least one shot on target for us tonight to get this selection ticked off.
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