Tuesday 15th June, Euro 2020: 10/1 France vs Germany Bet Builder
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The biggest game so far in Euro 2020 as the World Cup winners and tournament favourites face off against a fresh looking Germany side. This game will have a huge affect on the tournament as a whole with both these sides featuring in the group of death along with Portugal. 3 points here could be massive if either side can claim them given that both will be confident in picking up a win against the touted whipping boys of the group – Hungary.
France have a boat load of talent to call on and their forward line is absolute filth. It looks like we’ll see Benzema and Mbappe partnered up top with Griezmann given the freedom of a number 10/shadow striker role. The main decision for Deschamps will be whether to start Tolisso or Rabiot in the holding role.
For Germany, Serge Gnabry will lead the line. He’ll likely be supported by Champions League winner, Kai Havertz. Veteran Thomas Muller looks likely to play and with a back 3 set to start it looks as if Joshua Kimmich will be deployed as a right wing back.
France predicted XI: Lloris, Pavard, Varane, Kimpembe, Hernandez, Rabiot, Kante, Pogba, Griezmann, Benzema, Mbappe
Germany predicted XI: Neuer, Ginter, Hummels, Rudiger, Kimmich, Gosens, Kroos, Gundogan, Muller, Havertz, Gnabry
Shots & shots on target predictions
It’s hard to go too far wrong here. Any of France’s front 3 are more than capable of hitting the target with all of them boasting impressive shooting stats for club and country. I think against a defence that lacks pace, this is a game that is built for Kylian Mbappe. Hummels has experience but I’ve watched numerous Bundesliga games where he’s been hideously exposed thanks to his pace. Ginter also takes his time to get up to speed, I fear for Mbappe running in behind them, with Pogba and Griezmann available to pick passes this could be pretty destructive. Mbappe averages 1.2 shots on target per game for France and 1.78 per game for PSG.
On the German side I’m all over Serge Gnabry. Always willing to drive with the ball and take on shots, he’ll be a huge part of any potential result for the Germans here. He averages 1.6 shots on target per game for Germany and a massive 3.6 shots per game. In recent competitions he’s Germany’s top scorer and has got in to double figures in 3 consecutive seasons for Bayern Munich.
If you’ve seen the build up to this game, you might have seen the comments from my Chelsea boy – Antonio Rudiger. He’s going to war here and having watched him all season, I know exactly what that means. He’s said that Germany need to play dirty against France’s forwards and has also spoke about ‘laying down a marker’ against the likes of Kylian Mbappe. I love Rudiger, I think he’s a great defender but he is rash at times. He’s plays right on the edge and plays full of emotion, we saw that in the Champions League final with that clattering challenge on Kevin De Bruyne. Again with France’s forwards darting around him and a clear mentality in his mind, I think he’ll overstep the mark here on at least one occasion. He was booked in the loss against North Macedonia and also racks up almost 2 fouls per game on average.
Hardest one to call yet, but as I’ve said from the off I think France win the whole thing and I also think they win this group. Germany have talent, there’s no question of that but I think they could be exposed here. Their defence isn’t up to scratch in my opinion and France possess the best forwards at the entire tournament. Hard to back against Germany scoring given their talent, so I’d be going for BTTS & win for the French. 2-1 I’ll say.