16th of January, Bet 1 of the £10-£500 Bad Man Builder
After the success of the last Builder, I’m starting a new one this weekend! £10 to £500, let’s do it. You can load Bet 1 of the new challenge by clicking here.
Read my research behind Bet 1 below:
Torino v Spezia
· After getting through to bet 5 in our last builder challenge I feel it would be rude not to give it another go this weekend. We first travel to Turin, Italy, where struggling Torino host a rejuvenated Spezia in what is an important fixture in the lower reaches of Serie A. The hosts are blessed with a talented squad and shouldn’t really be where they are in the league. Defensively however they have been a shambles this season and it is something that needs to be rectified quickly or they face the prospect of an unexpected relegation battle.
· Only bottom of the league Crotone have conceded more than the 35 the hosts have leaked in Serie A this season. On average they have conceded over 2 goals per game per league fixture which is a real worry for Marco Giampolo, a problem he is yet to solve. Luckily he has exceptional attacking options at his disposal which is the only thing to be positive about at Torino at the moment.
· Torino captain and talisman Andrea Belotti is one of the top strikers in Serie A and the hosts really are blessed to have him within their ranks. The Torino skipper already has 9 goals and 5 assists in his 16 appearances. To put Belotti’s influence into perspective, he has contributed to over 55% of Torino’s goals this season — more than half. Such are the quality of his displays he has being heavily linked with a big-money move away this transfer window. He was rested in the cup in midweek and certain to return to the starting 11 tomorrow.
· Spezia aren’t short on goals themselves and in Mbola Nzola have one of the in-form strikers in Italy. The Frenchmen has been one of the surprise packages of the season and is quite literally in the form of his life having scored 9 in his last 10 games. Since October, only Cristiano Ronaldo, Ciro Immobile and Cagliari’s Joao Pedro have bagged more than the Spezia forward’s nine league strikes. It is defensively where the visitors struggle, similarly to Torino having conceded 32 goals themselves- the 5th highest in the division.
· Unsurprising then to see both sides have had their games full of goals this season. They both have an 88% success rate when it comes to over 1.5 goals with 15 of their 17 league fixtures seeing 2 goals or more. Expect this to be a thoroughly entertaining and high-scoring affair and can’t foresee too many issues in seeing a couple of goals in this one.
Mouscron v Genk
· Genk know they must get back to winning ways and I expect they will be at it from the off tomorrow evening as they travel to bottom of the league Mouscron. They were shocked last weekend in their 2-1 defeat to Kortrijk and know they must be respond here or lose further ground on table-toppers Club Brugge who have opened up a 4 point lead at the top of the Belgian top tier.
· Despite their recent inconsistent results which have seen them surrender top spot to Brugge, one thing that hasn’t been inconsistent with Genk is their ability to score goals. No side in Belgium has scored more than the 43 that Genk have netted this season at an average rate of 2.3 goals per game. It is their defensive frailty which is the main reason why they trail Brugge in the standings- They concede well over a goal a game (25) while Brugge have conceded just 13.
· In Paul Onuachu the visitors have one of the most prolific strikers in Europe this season. His goal in Genk’s 2-1 away loss Kortrijktook his tally to 19 goals in 20 league games. That’s an incredible goal return, which shows that Onuachu should not be ignored anymore. It appears his brilliance in front of goal has piqued Lyon’s interests, who are in talks to pay 12 million euros for his services. This could then be one of his last games for Genk and I suspect he will want to go out with a bang.
· You couldn’t pick a more favourable team to score against than bottom of the league Mouscron who concede goals for fun and I expect Onuachu will be licking his lips at the prospect of facing them. In only 2 of the 20 league games Genk have played this season have there been under 1.5 goals. They are an ideal selection for a goals bet due to their superb attack combined with their vulnerable defence and I suspect a couple of goals shouldn’t be too much to ask to see us on to bet 2 of the challenge.
18+, Please Gamble Responsibly
If you’re getting involved in the challenge, please start with an amount you’re comfortable with. That’s how we keep it fun and enjoyable. If you’d like to read my guide which explains how a Builder works, click here.