16th April, £10 to £100 Weekender Challenge – Bet 1
It’s Friday, so you know what that means… A brand new Weekender challenge starts tonight! I’l be aiming to roll a £10 starting stake into £100 by Sunday evening. Fancy it? Load the first bet by clicking the link below.
> LOAD BET 1 HERE <
I recommend setting up a Betfair account if you want to get involved and you’ll get the best odds available for each bet. Sign up > HERE < and you’ll also get a £20 risk free bet to kick things off with.
That means if you sign up and place up to £20 on the first bet of the challenge, you’ll get your stake refunded as withdrawable cash if it loses.
There’s no guarantees that we’ll go all the way again and I’m open and honest about that. So just start with a stake you’re comfortable with and you’ll have fun whilst enjoying being involved in the challenge.
Here’s my research behind Bet 1:
Cambuur v Helmond Sport (Cambuur 2+ goals)
· Another weekend, another weekend to look forward to and fingers crossed for another winner! We of course start in Holland and the Eerste Divisie and it will be Cambuur we look to once more to bring the goals. The league leaders host Helmond tonight knowing a win will guarantee promotion to the top-flight next season. Cambuur will be hugely motivated to get the job done tonight so they can relax and let the promotion party begin.
Cambuur have scored 96 goals this season in the league at an average of almost 3 goals scored per game. That is 27 goals more than the next highest scoring team in the division.
Helmond have managed just 5 clean sheets from their 33 league games (15%) which is one of the worst records in the league.
Cambuur have scored 22 goals in their last 5 league matches going in to tonight at an average of 4.4 goals per game. They are certainly in fine goalscoring form.
Helmond have conceded 58 goals this season at an average of 1.76 goals per conceded per game.
· A win for Cambuur tonight will take them to the promised land of the Eredivisie and Dutch sources suggest they will be keen to get the job done in a convincing fashion. It will feel like justice for the fans of Cambuur who looked likely to be promoted last season before the Eerste Divisie was postponed due to coronavirus.
· Robert Muhren bagged again last week to take his league tally to the season to a ridiculous 32 goals, 13 goals more than any other player in the league. Since the start of the 2019/2020 season he has 57 league goals to his name. Only Robert Lewandowski (69) can boast to have more across the whole of Europe which gives you an indication of his goalscoring exploits.
· Manager Henk De Jong has said the job isn’t quite done yet and both him and his team will be at full concentration for the game tonight. Dutch sources suggest De Jong will name a full strength 11 in a bid to get past Helmond this evening.
· Helmond sit in midtable and in reality don’t have much to play for with both relegation and promotion now extremely unlikely. Recent form suggests as much as they come in to tonight on the back of a two game winless run and most recently lost 5-1 at 2nd placed Volendam last Friday.
· After the heavy defeat to Volendam, Helmond coach Wil Boessen was asked whether he would adjust tactically in a bid to try and frustrate Cambuur and avoid another heavy defeat. He said he wouldn’t change and his side will play the same way they always do, in a positive and attacking manner. This statement from the coach means goals for Cambuur are even more likely in this one.
· Helmond make the trip to Cambur missing quite a few important players. Gaetan Bosiers (knee), Jessy Hendrikx (shoulder), long-term injured Kay van de Vorst (foot) and Dani Theunissen (knee) are all missing for the trip to Leeuwarden.
Peterborough v Northampton Town (Boro to win either half)
· We return to more familiar territory next for the second part of bet 1 as Peterborough host Northampton in a massive game in League One. Boro are chasing Championship promotion and can go level on points with league leaders Hull City with a win tonight. Northampton meanwhile currently occupy the final relegation spot and are in real danger of the drop back to League Two. Worth also mentioning that this game is a big derby between two local rivals known as the ‘nene’ derby. There is no love lost between the two sides and motivation and desire will certainly be riding high in this one.
Peterborough are 36 points clear of Cobblers going into tomorrow’s match (with a game in hand) so certain to finish above their local rivals for the 13th season in a row.
Northampton are officially the lowest scorers in the league having managed a measly 34 goals scored in their 41 league games played this season.
Peterborough in contrast are the league’s second-highest scorers with 70 and would take over Hull as the leading scorers in the division should they score 2 or more this evening.
Northampton have officially the worst away record in the division having accumulated just 14 points from their 20 games and managing just 3 wins on the road.
· In reality this is a must win for Boro if they want to keep tabs on league leaders Hull City and they will expect to win against a relatively poor Northampton side. Peterborough have a super record in the fixture and have completely dominated their local rivals for some time now. Posh have won the last six League games between the two sides (1-0, 3-0, 1-0, 4-1, 2-0 & 2-0).
· This fixture actually pits the team with the best home form in the league against the team with the worst away form. Posh have picked up 45 points from 19 home games (six more than the rest). Cobblers have collected just 14 points from 20 away games.
· The hosts look to be at more or less full strength for the game this evening. Goalkeeper Christy Pym will miss the remainder of the season with a muscle injury but Josef Bursik kept a clean sheet on debut last week in the 3-0 win over Swindon. They will be boosted by the return to fitness of key player Sammie Szmodics who has been declared fit to play this evening following a shoulder injury.
· Northampton have improved somewhat since the appointment of Jon Brady back in February but they do remain very much in danger of relegation this season. They struggle massively with consistency and have yet to find a settled style of play under Brady with formations and tactic seeming to change from game to game.
· They make the short trip to London Road missing a number of players tonight with Mickel Miller, Jack Sowerby, Benny Ashley-Seal and Steve Arnold all confirmed to be missing.
· Given the respective home and away form of the two sides and with Boro possessing a far superior side, I can’t see the hosts failing to win at least a half tonight.