17th February, 5/1 Wednesday Accumulator
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Simple. As always I’ve attached my research behind picking each selection:
Celtic v Aberdeen (Celtic win)
· The hoops have won their last 4 league matches in succession and although the title is beyond them they will want to make it as hard as they possibly can for Rangers to win the league.
· Now for the visitors, well they really are in a spot of bother and head to Glasgow tonight without a win in 5 league games.
· Probably even more worrying for Derek McInnes is the lack of goals, in that run of 5 winless games they haven’t even managed to score a goal.They are now approaching the 500 minute mark since Andrew Considine notched against Motherwell back in January.
· No doubt the deadline day departure of striker Sam Cosgrove to Birmingham City as well as the untimely injury to winger Ryan Hedges is a big contributor to their lack of goals. Unfortunately for the visitors Hedges will miss out once more due to a muscle injury.
· Celtic certainly don’t have such problems with goals and have been banging them in at a rate of knots in recent weeks with 17 scored in their last 6 games.
· Odsonne Eduoard has rediscovered his goalscoring touch in recent weeks and has 8 goals in his last 6 appearances! He will lead the line once more tonight.
· Given the respective form of the two sides and the obvious gulf in quality between the squads it is hard to see past a comfortable home win at Parkead this evening.
Levante v Atletico Madrid (Over 1.5 goals)
· Goals aren’t something you always associate with Atletico Madrid but in recent weeks and months they have been extremely reliable in the goalscoring markets.
· Their last 5 league games in succession have seen over 2.5 goals, while the last 7 in succession have seen over 1.5 goals.
· Defensively they are looking far less resolute and have failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 games.
· Offensively they are superb and only Barcelona have scored more than the 44 they have notched in La Liga this season.
· The signing of Luis Suarez was exceptional business and it is of little surprise for me to see him top scorer in La Liga with 16 league goals already this campaign. He will lead the line once more tonight.
· They will be further boosted by the return of Joao Felix who has returned to training following a spell out with Covid-19.
· Levante are extremely consistent for goals themselves with 19 of their 22 games seeing over 1.5 goals this season (86%). Only Celta Vigo and Real Betis have higher success rates in the whole division.
· Levante have exceptional forward options of their own. Roger Marti and Jose Luis Morales have formed a brilliant partnership this season and contributed to 19 league goals already this season. They will lead the line once more for the hosts tonight.
Oostende v Genk (Over 2.5 goals)
· Now to Belgium and the Jupiler league which has been extremely consistent for goals this season. This evening we head to Oostende as they host Genk with just 4 points separating the two sides.
· The hosts are the very definition of ‘goalsy’ when playing on home soil. 5 of their last 6 have seen over 2.5 goals and BTTS whereas each of their last 9 have seen BTTS.
· I don’t think Genk should have much trouble getting on the score sheet. The visitors are the 2nd top scorers in the league only behind league leaders Club Brugge. They have notched 50 times in just 26 games.
· A lot of thanks can be put on the shoulders of Paul Onachu for their impressive goalscoring. The Nigerian international has 23 goals this season and was reportedly close to joining Lyon in January. He will lead the line once more for the visitors tonight.
· The hosts have a fine goalscorer of their own with Zambian international Fashion Sakala notching 13 league goals so far this campaign. He has scored 7 in his last 6 and will lead the line for the hosts.
· Both these sides are ranked amongst the top 3 in the league when it comes to over 2.5 goals. Oostende are 2nd with 69% success rate (18/26 fixtures) and Genk are 3rd 65% success rate (17/26). Expecting this to be an absolute belter and fingers crossed we can see 3 goals or more in this one to get the all-important tick.
Porto v Juventus (Juve DNB)
· Now to the Champions league then where Serie A giants Juventus will be expecting a positive result in the first leg of their last 16 clash with Porto.
· Despite their surprise defeat to Napoli at the weekend it has been a fine 2021 so far for Juve and Andrea Pirlo. Prior to that defeat Juventus managed to turn over Milan, Napoli and Inter – among several others – also keeping clean sheets in all five league matches.
· Defensively they look incredibly resolute and have conceded just twice in total across their past 8 matches.
· Porto meanwhile are stumbling of late, failing to win in each of their last 4 domestic games as rivals Sporting look to be running away with the Portuguese title. Porto are currently 2nd but are now 10 points behind Sporting who lead the way.
· The hosts have several key absentees to contend with too this evening particularly in defensive areas. Fullbacks Zaidu Sanusi and Nanu are expected to miss out along with key midfielder Otavio.
· The depleted backline will have to deal with a formidable Juve forward line of Ronaldo and Morata who are both set to start. The Spaniard is actually joint top scorer in this season’s Champions League having already notched 6 times.
· Ronaldo meanwhile has been typically prolific has scored 23 times in just 26 appearances. He will likely wreak havoc against a makeshift Porto backline and will want to impress back in his homeland. Fully expect Juve have the sufficient quality to get a result in Portugal this evening.
Everton v Man City (Man City win)
· There is just no stopping Pep Guardiola’s side at the moment and I expect they will extend their winning run to 17 games at Goodison Park tonight.
· City are now 23 games unbeaten in all competitions and in reality no one gets close to them in this seasons Premier League and I fully expect them to go on and win the league from here fairly comfortably.
· Everton meanwhile were thoroughly outplayed and well beaten at home to relegation threatened Fulham which will be a real worry for Carlo Ancelotti. They were toothless in attack without the injured Dominic Calvert-Lewin and were ripped open by Fulham on multiple occasions.
· Although close to a return Ancelotti confirmed DCl will miss out once more tonight and James Rodriguez is also expected to miss out having limped off on Sunday against Fulham. Difficult to see where goals will come from without their two main men.
· For City, Gundogan is a doubt which is a blow but their squad is filled with such quality that they have numerous world class replacements who can adequately fill in.
· Sergio Aguero recently returned to fitness and should be in the squad once more and Ruben Dias has recovered from his fever and should return to the starting 11.
· I struggle to see how any side in Europe can compete with City at the moment and I would fancy them to beat anyone given the form they are in. I expect Everton will be the latest victims of Pep Guardiola’s extraordinary City side at Goodison Park tonight.
18+, Please Gamble Responsibly
If you’re getting involved then please stake sensibly. I put a lot of time and effort into research for my bets but that doesn’t mean they’re guaranteed to win. I’m on today’s acca with a tenner as I’m happy risking that. Feel free to lower your stakes or don’t bet at all if you don’t want to risk anything.
