23rd April, £10 to £100 Weekender Challenge – Bet 1
It’s Friday… It’s another Weekender challenge! I’m starting tonight and the aim will be to roll a £10 starting stake into £100 by Sunday evening. You can load the first bet and read the research behind it below.
> LOAD BET 1 HERE <
I recommend setting up a Betfair account if you want to get involved and you’ll get the best odds available for each bet. Sign up > HERE < and you’ll also get a £20 risk free bet to kick things off with.
That means if you sign up and place up to £20 on the first bet of the challenge, you’ll get your stake refunded as withdrawable cash if it loses.
There’s no guarantees that we’ll go all the way again and I’m open and honest about that. So just start with a stake you’re comfortable with and you’ll have fun whilst enjoying being involved in the challenge.
Here’s my research behind Bet 1:
Dordrecht v MVV Maastricht (Over 1.5 goals)
· Another weekend is upon us which can only mean one thing, another badman weekender! Only one place to head on Friday nights really isn’t there? Of course we will begin in Holland and the wonderful Eerste Divisie where goals are once more on the menu. We begin in Dordrecht where struggling Dordrecht host midtable MVV with both sides struggling for form. Their games however certainly haven’t been struggling for goals and we need just a couple here to get this one ticked off.
Dordrecht have seen over 1.5 goals feature in 29 of their 34 (85%) league games this season.
MVV have seen over 1.5 goals feature in 29 of their 34 (85%) league games this season.
Dordrecht fixtures averaged 3.68GPG in the league this season. The 4th highest average in the whole of the Eerste Divisie.
MVV have scored 2+ goals in 6 of their last 7 league fixtures.
· The hosts will certainly be pleased that relegation from the Eerste Divisie isn’t possible given how poor they have been this season. They currently sit 2nd bottom having accumulated just 27 points from their 34 league games this season.
· They come in to this game in awful form having lost 3 games on the spin and even more worryingly conceding 15 goals in the process. That brings their goals against tally to the season to 90 which sees them now as officially the worst defensive side in the Eerste Divisie which takes some doing.
· The Dordrecht official site has even taken swipes at the sides lack of defensive quality in the match report of their most recent 6-2 defeat to Den Bosch which illustrates just how bad things are at the back for them. They also arrive tonight with some important absences at the back with first-choice defender Julien Bliek suspended right Robin Polley still out with a persistent knee problem.
· MVV are certainly more than capable of making Dordrecht pay with their defensive lapses and are certainly in fine goalscoring form at the moment. They have scored in each of their last 10 games prior to tonight and look to be in good shape going forwards.
· It is defensively where their problems exist having conceded 9 goals in their previous 3 games they seem unable to keep teams out. They will also have to do without Belgian centre-back Manuel Angiulli who misses out through suspension. Holding midfielder Thomas Van Bommel (Yes, son of Mark!) is also struggling with injury.
· Given the defensive naivety of both sides I can’t see this one being short of goals. 32 combined goals have featured in the last 3 league games involving these two sides prior to tonight and we just need a couple to see us through this one.
Jong AZ v Cambuur (over 2.5 goals)
· You didn’t think I would leave my old pals Cambuur out did you? Their 4-1 win over Helmond last week saw them guarantee promotion but they won’t stop there with winning the league the final objective to tick off to cap what has been a wonderful season. Tonight they travel to Alkmaar where they face Jong AZ and I am expecting an absolute cracker as two most goalsy sides in the division clash horns.
Jong AZ fixtures have averaged 3.97 GPG in the league this season. The highest goals average of any team in the Eerste Divisie.
Cambuur fixtures have averaged 3.85 GPG in the league this season. The highest goals average of any team in the Eerste Divisie.
Jong AZ have seen over 2.5 goals feature in 25 of their 34 (74%) of their league fixtures this season. The 2nd highest average in the Eerste Divisie.
Cambuur have scored 100 goals this season in the league at an average of almost 3 goals scored per game. That is 28 goals more than the next highest scoring team in the division.
· Jong AZ games are generally fantastic for goals with the young players encouraged to express themselves and be brave in possession and not to worry too much about the consequences.
· Unsurprising that they struggle with the defensive side of the game given the age of the players and the physicality that is required to defend sufficiently in modern day football. The average age of a Jong AZ player is 20 and they are on a weekly basis competing against full grown men and of course physically they are at a supreme disadvantage and defensively there is little doubt it costs them. The 85 goals they have conceded see them with the 2nd worst defensive record in the division.
· Luckily they pack a punch in attack and have bagged 50 goals this season. 14 of the last 16 Jong AZ games have featured over 2.5 goals and with the prolific Cambuur coming to town I can’t see this one not following suit.
· With promotion wrapped up, time to now win the league for Cambuur who only need one more win to secure the title. They will want to get it wrapped up so they can begin the party and take it easy in the remaining 3 league games of the season following the game tonight.
· Robert Muhren bagged anther brace last week to take his league tally to the season to a ridiculous 34 goals, 15 goals more than any other player in the league. Since the start of the 2019/2020 season he has 59 league goals to his name. Only Robert Lewandowski (69) can boast to have more across the whole of Europe which gives you an indication of his goalscoring exploits.
· Muhren is fit as are all the Cambuur attacking players going in to this one and they will fancy their chances of putting quite a few past a defensively naïve AZ side. They already have 100 league goals but I expect they could get plenty more between now and when the season finishes in a few weeks time.