26th of September, Saturday Accumulator
I’ve picked out 5 selections for today and you can load them here. The accumulator can be placed at odds of 9/1.
Fancy having a risk free shot at winning £200? Just follow the simple steps below:
- Open a Betfair account and claim a £20 risk free bet.
- Deposit and place £20 on today’s acca as your first bet.
- If the acca wins, you’ll win £200. If it loses, you’ll get your money back!
Easy as that. If you’d like to read the research behind today’s accumulator you can do so below. Feel free to let me know what you think of it.
Monchengladbach vs Union Berlin
BMG head in to this game as heavy favourites. Both sides started in disappointing fashion but the hosts did have to start their campaign away at Dortmund. This should be a much more enjoyable encounter for them.
- BMG lost just one home match that they started as favourites last season
- They’ve scored in 16 straight home matches in the Bundesliga
- Their last 13 league wins have all seen at least 2+ goals
- Although beaten 3-0 by Dortmund, that result doesn’t reflect the nature of the game
- Gladbach has mire possession and they had chances to get something
- In the end, Dortmund were clinical but on any other day the game wouldn’t have finished 3-0
- Union Berlin have been poor since the turn of the year and they’ve failed to win a single game where they’ve gone behind (L7 D1)
- Union will likely be down the bottom end of the table this year, they finished 11th last season but the gap to the relegation spots was just 10 points
- Gladbach impressed with a 4th placed finish and notably kept hold of their star players
- In particular Marcus Thuram, the Frenchman bagged 2 here in the last meeting between these two sides, a 4-1 home win back in May. I can see something similar here. Union did secure the services of Max Kruse after his contract expired at Fenerbache. However I fear they haven’t added enough to their defence to beat the top sides this season, particularly away from home.
Zenit vs Ufa
- Ah, my old pals Zenit. The Russian giants look like they’re in for a bit more competition this year. They currently sit top of the pile on goal difference but they know they have to put games like this to bed to keep the chasing pack at bay.
- Zenit have lost just 2 league matches since September 2019, both of which came on the road
- At home, they’ve won 9 straight matches in all competitions which is phenomenal
- Their last defeat on home soil came over 20 games ago when they were beaten by that terrific Leipzig side that featured the likes of Timo Werner
- In that 9 match winning run, they scored 2 or more goals in every single game
- I’ve spoke before about the quality in their squad in comparison to many in the league
- Malcom is a ridiculous talent to be playing at this level and the evergreen Artem Dzyuba is still scoring goals for club and country
- The big mans netted in each of his last 2 league games as well as a brace for Russia during the break
- By comparison Ufa are all at sea, they’ve taken just 5 points from their 8 games and only the 2 newly promoted sides Volgograd and Khimki have fewer points
- Ufa have won just 1 game and that was on match day 2
- Since then they’ve lost 3 and drawn 2
- Only the two sides below them have conceded more goals than their 14
- Ufa have yet to beat Zenit in their history
- This is a complete miss-match as many games for Zenit often will be. Their home record is absolutely frightening and I expect them to do a very professional job on the struggling visitors.
Cagliari vs Lazio
Ah, the Serie A, it’s good to be back. Lazio were a team I loved dearly last season, brilliant for goals at both ends. Sadly their season collapsed towards the end and they threw away an incredible opportunity to win the title. They’ll want a strong start here as they look to right some wrongs.
- They also added Kosovan striker Vedat Muriqi, he was around £22m from Fenerbache
- He’ll either be the main back up to Immobile or he could even become his partner
- Immobile mainly played alone last season but they did try and pair him with Felipe Caicedo to little avail
- Pepe Reina offers some depth in the GK department too and Lazio look set up to go again in their title push
- Cagliari ended last season in dreadful fashion
- The last meeting at this ground sparked Cagliari’s downfall, after the 2-1 loss Cagliari went on to win just 3 of their next 25 matches
- Lazio are unbeaten in the last 6 H2H’s with Cagliari
- Cagliari secured the services of veteran defender Diego Godin, which on the face of it looks like a real coop
- However that doesn’t hide the fact their defence is poor, Godin will have his work cut out playing alongside former Liverpool flop Ragnar Klavan
- Lazio are a sharp and intricate side, I’m not sure the ageing CB’s will be cut out for this one
- There’s always a risk with taking results on teams first games back but I fancy Lazio to push again for the title this season and game 1 is as good a tome as any to lay down a marker. Their squad is largely the same as last season with some added depth, I think they come out on top here
Inter vs Fiorentina
After gut wrenching defeat in the Europa League final last month, Inter return to domestic football with their eyes firmly fixated on the league title.
- Inter finished 2nd last season after a strong finish to the campaign
- Inter lost just 2 home games throughout the whole of last season
- Romelu Lukaku and Lautauro Martinez are both in line for a start here
- The dynamic duo combined for 53 goals last season
- Lukaku hit 32 of those and was a player reborn, he converted a quite staggering 33% of his chances
- On top of that, Inter have strengthened with some exceptional signings
- Achraf Hakimi has the potential to be a game changer for Inter, he’s a huge upgrade on Victor Moses that’s for sure, he’s arguably already one of the best RB’s in the world, in a more advanced role under Conte he could be unbelievable
- Nicola Barella and Stefano Sensi made their moves permanent after impressive seasons
- As does Alexis Sanchez, he was another player somewhat reborn last season
- Aleskande Kolarov arrives, adding even more experience to the squad
- For me, a huge signing is Arturo Vidal, he may be 33 but he’ll bring so much to this Inter Milan side
- I expect Fiorentina to be better than they were last season on account of some good recruitment themselves
- However there’ll be a gap come the end of the season between these two, I expect Inter to get up and running instantly, Conte won’t accept any rustiness on day 1
- Inter had an exceptional home record last season with Fiorentina struggling away. Inter’s huge squad improvements should have them set up for a real challenge for the title, one I think they can achieve.
Marseille vs Metz
It’s been a really tough opening few games for Marseille. They’ve had to play PSG, Lille & St Etienne in their last 3 matches. 4 points isn’t a bad haul, particularly with them winning away at PSG. It should be more routine than that here, though.
- Marseille have a fully fit squad to choose from here, the only missing player is Jordan Amavi who’s suspended
- Florian Thauvin, Dimitri Payet and Morgan Sanson will play in support of Dario Benedetto in attack
- Boubacar Kamara has been playing in a defensive midfield role and receiving a tonne of plaudits, he’ll likely carry on there in this one
- Under Villas-Boas, Marseille have real grit, that’s been shown with the PSG result and even that draw with Lille
- Metz will do well to stay up this season and that’ll be their aim, their season won’t be decided in games like this
- They beat Reims last time out, who are winless themselves and had European football to think about
- That was Metz first win this season after losing their opening 3 games, which to be fair were very tough too
- They were beaten 1-0 by PSG, Monaco and Lille, this’ll likely be a theme of their season
- Although not battered by the big teams, they lack creative players in midfield and chances will be at a premium against the better sides
- There’s tonnes of quality in the hosts line up, let’s hope they perform
- Marseille should be on the front foot from the off here, Metz will look to keep things tight and sit in. Marseille are armed with several players who can produce moments of magic even if the game becomes tightly contested, they can rely on the likes ofThauvin and Payet to turn up.
Please Gamble Responsibly
18+. Please don’t expect every bet to win, I’m not a magician. Keep your stakes sensible and only ever gamble what you can afford to risk. If you’re new to betting and you’re wondering how different types of bets such as ‘accumulators’ work, I’ve got a guide for you here.