Monday 2nd August, Beat the Drop Tips
Sirius vs Orebro
Will Sirius win the match?
These two sides play their football in the Swedish top tier (Allsvenskan). The league starts at the beginning of the summer so they’re 12 games in so far with Sirius currently sitting in 12th place whilst Orebro are rock bottom of the league (16 teams in the league).
Sirius have picked up 6 points from their last 5 games whilst Orebro have picked up a very measly 1 point in the same period. Whilst there’s not that many places separating the two sides that would lean you towards a home win.
The bookies have Sirius as the odds on favourite to win this game. They’re 1.83 to win, 3.75 for the game to be a draw and 4.00 for Orebro to win.
I think home form is important here. Sirius have the 8th best home form out of all the teams in the league and that is despite playing the least amount of games (a win here could push them into 6th in that table).
They’ve lost just one game at home all season and that was against 3rd place Elfsborg whilst they’ve beaten Halmstad, Degerfors and Mjallby who are all higher than Orebro. Information like that is probably why Sirius are clear favourites.
Orebro meanwhile have the worst attack in the league scoring just 7 goals in 12 games and the worst defence in the league conceding 24 goals in the same period losing all of their last 5 games on the road.
I’m going to recommend going for yes on this one, play to the stats and go with the odds with Sirius the favourite – it’s the wise choice.
Beat the drop tip: Yes
Goteborg vs Norrkoping
Will both teams score?
Sticking in the same league here and this time it’s 9th placed Goteborg vs 6th placed Norrkoping in what looks a tough game to call. Both teams are very evenly matched over the last 5 with Goteborg picking up 7 points from a possible 15 and Norrkoping 6 points.
Recent games for both teams make this game look good for a both teams to score bet. In the last 5 Goteborg have beaten 3rd bottom Mjallby and 2nd bottom Ostersunds both by a five goal thriller scoreline of 3-2.
Norrkoping meanwhile played out a 2-1 defeat last week to 4th place Hammarby and just last month shocked everyone to a five goal thriller vs league favourites Malmo beating them 3-2 at home!
The Swedish Allsvenskan is a great league for goals with Norrkoping averaging 2.25 goals per game so far this season and Goteborg 2.33.
Norrkoping have one of the leagues top goalscorers in their squad in Samuel Adegbenbro who has scored 7 goals in 12 appearances including one just last week, however they’ve only kept 3 clean sheets, 2 of which have come against low ranked opposition in 3rd bottom Mjallby and rock bottom Orebro.
They clearly are a side who have quality players up top but are shaky at the back and that’s perfect when looking at both teams to score. Goteborg meanwhile have seen both teams score in 4/5 of their last home league games this season.
To answer this Beat The Drop question then, the odds for the match suggest your best option would be answering ‘Yes’… Betfair will give you 1.62 for both teams to score or 2.25 for it not to happen.
Beat the drop tip: Yes