Wednesday 7th July, Euro 2020: 4/1 England vs Denmark Bet Builder
As promised alongside my bigger odds bet builder I have put together a shorter odds selection which has come out at around 4/1 and I feel has a real chance of landing.
Let’s start with goals then and after the display against Ukraine and the attacking performance in general, I get the feeling that England have found their mojo from an attacking sense.
Harry Kane now has 3 goals to his name and it wouldn’t surprise me one bit if he goes on to win the golden boot from here. He has looked much more himself in recent matches and I expect him to cause Denmark all kinds of problems.11 of the last 14 games England have played at home have featured over 1.5 goals. The Danes are just as reliable for goalscoring on their travels with each of their last 6 away games seeing over 1.5 goals land.
No doubt they will trouble England and although the three lions have looked superb defensively, they rode their luck at times against Germany and Denmark can certainly trouble them.
One man in particular who I feel could have a big say on the outcome of this game is left wingback Joakim Maehle who has been one of the standout players of the tournament.
After netting the fourth goal in the decisive group win over Russia, Maehle struck a superb third in the 4-0 defeat of Wales in the previous round. Before the quarter-finals, no defender had scored more goals, taken more shots (nine) or completed more dribbles (11) than the Atalanta wing-back.
Calling him a defender may be a little inaccurate and it is when he is going forwards where he particularly flourishes. I am worried about what he could do to us tonight and hopefully, he doesn’t rip us apart as he has done to almost every side he has played against this summer.
I am backing him for just a shot on goal here and given his offensive tendencies I have little doubt he can deliver. He averages a very healthy two shots on goal per 90 and we need just the one to have this selection ticked off tonight.
Now for cards, well as I mentioned in my other bet builder research, the slates have been wiped clean for this one meaning nobody is at risk from missing the final (unless they get themselves sent off).
Given the magnitude of the game and a partisan and expectant Wembley crowd spurring them on I expect this game to be competitive, intense, and at times dirty if necessary with professional fouls and time-wasting a particular occurrence.
There are also plenty of names set to play who aren’t averse to picking up a card or two. Hojberg, Phillips and Maguire all featured amongst the top 5 most booked players in the Premier League last season with a mammoth 30 picked up between the three of them. Over 2.5 cards really shouldn’t be an issue here.
We finish with corners and I fancy the Danes to rack up quite a few tonight with their wide play utilising their attacking fullbacks a particular strength of theirs.
They have accumulated 34 corners throughout the tournament so far, the 3rd highest in the tournament at an average of nearly 7 per game. We need just 4 from them tonight to get the job done and if England stick with 4 at the back as they are expected to then the Danish wingbacks should get plenty of joy from the wide positions.