Tuesday 29th June, Euro 2020: 25/1 England vs Germany Bet Builder
England v Germany
Here we go then, the last 16 of the Euros against the old enemy at Wembley, doesn’t get much bigger does it!? With Paddy Power being generous and giving us all a free fiver tonight on a bet builder it would be rude not to have a bash wouldn’t it?
Let’s start with a shot on target then and it is hard to look past my old Chelsea mate Kai Havertz this afternoon. Fresh from winning the Champions league back in May; Havertz is enjoying a really fruitful period and looks to be on the top of his game at the moment.
He has been the standout player for the Germans this summer with 2 goals and has lead the line effectively in the ‘false 9’ role he has been deployed in by Low. He averages over a shot on target per 90 from the nearly 3 shots he attempts. I think England could struggle to deal with his clever movement and I fancy him to be able to rattle a shot off between the posts tonight- let’s just hope he doesn’t score!
Now on to the cards market. I am not expecting a clean game between these two great rivals and with a partisan Wembley crowd likely to bring a raucous atmosphere I fancy this one to get pretty dirty.
For England I fancy Kalvin Phillips to pick up a booking. He will start in the midfield pivot alongside Rice as he has done all tournament and his main duty tonight from a defensive standpoint will be to stop the influential Toni Kroos.
Phillips did a job against Mateo Kovacic when England played Croatia, getting close to him continually and knocking him off his game, and he does a similar job for Leeds United. He will be expected to get close to Kroos and also keep tabs on the dangerous Thomas Muller who will try and find the spaces in behind him.
Phillips certainly isn’t shy of a card and the 10 he picked up in the Premier League last season ranks him 3rd in the division which highlights his love for a tackle and getting stuck in. Given what is at stake and the occasion I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see Phillips take one for the team and pick up a card this afternoon.
As for the Germans, well I feel Mats Hummels looks a prime candidate here. Having watched all the German games so far it is fair to say age has caught up with the Dortmund centre-half who recently when playing against France looked like he was quite literally walking in treacle.
With his usual CB partner Rudiger a doubt, Hummels will be exposed with the pace in behind of the likes of Sterling and Saka and I feel he could be targeted by Southgate due to his lack of pace. He is bound to get caught out at some point this evening and a professional foul to stop a dangerous England break seems inevitable. He seems a good a pick as any to pick up a card tonight and I think the ageing centre-half could be a real weak point for the Germans.