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Hour glass kick off 19:45 12 Oct

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Spain vs Scotland

Calendar 12th October
Football icon kick off 19:45
Football icon Over 1.5 goals
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I doubt too many saw Scotland’s 2-0 win coming when they faced off against Spain earlier this year, but regardless, it was certainly something special.

Do I see it happening again? Absolutely not. Steve Clarke caught Luis de la Fuente cold in what was just his second game in charge of the Spanish national side.

Since then, the former u21 manager has found a formula that works, with a combination of youth and experience netting for fun.

They’ve won their last two qualifiers by an aggregate scoreline of 13-1, and in fact, the Scotland game was Spain’s only qualifier so far in which they haven’t hit the over 1.5 goals line themselves.

All in all, 16 goals from 9 different scorers is pretty ridiculous over just 4 games, and as a result, this selection has landed in all of their qualifiers.

I don’t see Scotland shutting Spain out again here, but if there’s one thing that their 2-0 win showed us, it’s that they’re capable of at least getting on the scoresheet here.

In fact, most teams would fancy their chances of a goal against Spain. For all the talent they have, they’re so defensively frail.

Luis de la Fuente is lucky to have stumbled upon a decent partnership in Le Normand and Laporte, but the European giants remain weak at full back, and are incredibly easy to hit on the counter.

Scotland have scored 2 or more in every qualifier thus far, and whilst they may not do so here, they could well contribute to a game that I expect to comfortably hit the 2 goal mark.

Football icon Over 2.5 Cards
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When a side has as much of the ball as Spain do, it’s easy to rack up the cards.

Of course, Scotland won’t care given that they won 2-0, but they picked up 4 alone in the reverse fixture, with Spain receiving a further 2 for 6 in total.

You’re forced into those sorts of situations when playing a team like Spain. The pressure is relentless, and often a foul is the best way to relieve said pressure. They’re drawing 3.00 cards out of their opponents in qualifying, hardly surprising.

Scotland’s card count against Spain back in March would see us over the line comfortably, and in fact, they’ve been pretty good for a card despite their 100% record.

They’re picking up 2.40 cards per game, a number I’d expect to be eclipsed against Spain.

The hosts can absolutely contribute here, with a number of players capable of kicking out if things aren’t going their way.

Spain may only be averaging 1.00 cards per game, but 2 against Scotland last time out is hugely encouraging.

Not to mention, there seems to be a bit of bad blood here. Star man Rodri came out after the first fixture and called Scotland ‘rubbish’ so don’t be surprised if Spain start kicking if things aren’t going all their own way.

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