Espanyol vs Elche
We return to Spain and another match including Elche, however, this time we’re looking for goals not a result.
You have to take emotion out of betting and focus on identifying the strongest possible bet and over 1.5 goals in Espanyol and Elche looks good value.
Espanyol rank 5th for goals scored/conceded in La Liga with an average 2.90 per game, 70% of matches have had at least two goals.
Elche rank 4th with an average 3.00 goals scored/conceded per game, 90% of their matches have had at least two goals.
Espanyol have only failed to score in one of their five home league matches – they found the net at home to Real Madrid, two at home to Seville and two at home to Valencia.
Elche have only scored six goals but four have come in their last four matches, I don’t need to remind you about the two goals they scored away to Valencia last week.
As for xG, Elche are actually underperforming slightly – averaging 0.6 goals per game but xGF sits at 0.85 average.
Both sides are facing a relegation battle with Espanyol currently occupying 16th spot, Elche still rooted to bottom place.
Espanyol have played one match against bottom five opposition, a 2-2 draw away to Cadiz.
As for Elche, they are yet to come up against a side in the bottom five, however, they did draw 1-1 at home to 15th place Mallorca recently.
Espanyol will be without their regular full-backs Adria Pedrosa and Ruben Sanchez, Elche have no fresh injury concerns.
Groningen vs PSV
We’ll be looking to PSV to deliver us a boom once more against a sluggish Groningen who sit just 2 points off the bottom.
Ruud Van Nistelrooy’s side have only had one slip-up this entire season – a shock 3-0 defeat against Cambuur in early October – and head into this match having completed a 6-1 demolition of Utrecht in their last league game.
PSV have been in fine form all season, and have netted an incredible 35 goals in their opening 10 league fixtures making them the league’s top goal scorers.
Their away xG is also the highest in the league at 2.29 goals per game and they’ve only failed to score once all season – that defeat against Cambuur.
This alone justifies backing PSV, but Groningen head into this game following a horrible start to the season.
Groningen have lost 7 of their last 9 home matches and suffered a fourth straight league defeat last time out against FC Twente.
They have conceded 22 goals this season, the third highest in the league.
Groningen have only managed to average 1 goal a game so far, which matches their xG stats of 1 – the worst in the league.
Groningen have few attacking options, and an injury to attacking midfielder Tomas Suslov in their last league game will not help their chances of netting one against PSV.
The only notable injury for PSV is Ismael Saibari, but the lack of his presence wasn’t felt in their last league game, and I doubt it will this time either.
Head-to-head stats are also on PSV’s side. They’ve won their last 8 games against Groningen, and haven’t lost to them since 2014.