Tottenham vs Arsenal
Harry Kane managed 2 shots on target back in October when these two fierce rivals faced off at the emirates. In fact, you’d be hard pressed to find the last time that Kane failed to muster a shot on target in the Premier League.
The English forward has had a shot on target in all of his Premier League appearances this season, that’s 18 straight games, with an average of 1.57 shots on target P/90.
In fact, you have to go back to Tottenham’s 1-1 draw with Liverpool in May for the last time that Kane failed to have a shot on target in the Premier League, meaning that he’s currently on a run of 21 straight league games with a shot on target.
Arsenal themselves are only conceding 2.65 shots on target P/90 this season, but Kane should take confidence from the fact that he managed 2 in October. He will be on penalties and free kicks as well, and should have plenty of opportunities with which to force Ramsdale into a save.
Odegaard has been in fantastic form this season. Silky on the ball, but hard-working off it, the Norwegian is certainly capable of biting into a few tackles, and a fouls isn’t out of the question.
Odegaard is averaging 1.01 fouls P/90 as it stands in the Premier League and perhaps most notably, was booked early for hauling Bruno Guimaraes to the ground to prevent a counter against Newcastle.
He’ll be up against young Senegalese midfielder Pape Sarr, who has shown glimpses of quality and drive in his brief appearances. The Spurs midfielder has been fouled 2.50 times P/90 this season, and will cause problems for Odegaard in what should be a hotly contested midfield battle.
If that wasn’t enough to deal with, then Hojbjerg will also be one to watch. Fouled 0.83 times P/90, the Dane combines for a formidable and gritty midfield partnership that Odegaard will have to contend with.
Regardless, the nature of the derby should lead to more fouls than usual here, and Odegaard should be good for at least 1.
Despite competition in the forms of Djed Spence and, more notably, Emerson Royal, Matt Doherty has cemented his spot in Antonio Conte’s side at right wing-back. A lively, all action player, he looks a solid shout for fouls in the North London derby.
Doherty’s average fouls P/90 make for a good reading, with his 1.52 P/90 only ranking below Skipp, Sessegnon and Bentancur in the tottenham squad. With none of those players expected to start, Doherty stands out as a great candidate for fouls.
Since the World Cup, Doherty has committed 5 in his 3 games, 2 against Brentford, and surprisingly, 3 in a dominant display over Palace.
The Brazilian forward has been fouled 1.37 times P/90 this season, and if the last North London Derby is anything to go by, then Martinelli managed to get wing-back Emerson Royal sent off.
With 4.10 dribbles P/90, Martinelli will not give Doherty a moment’s rest, and the spurs players should fall afoul of the referee at least once.
Another selection that landed in the meeting between these two back in October. Saliba has proven an incredibly worthy addition to Arteta’s set up, but he’s certainly no stranger to a foul.
The Frenchman is Arsenal’s most carded player this season, and he’s averaging 0.77 fouls P/90, a stat of not given that Arsenal are largely dominating games, with 57% average possession.
Saliba has committed 3 fouls in 3 Premier league outings since his return from the World Cup, and that, combined with his 2 fouls in the last North London Derby, would suggest that further fouls certainly aren’t out of the question on Sunday afternoon.
Spurs talismanic forward Harry Kane will be Saliba’s likely opponent, and the Englishman is crafty enough to draw something out of the Arsenal man.
Kane is fouled 1.46 times P/90, and is keen to drop into pockets of space and drive forward with the ball, evidenced by his 2.75 dribbles P/90.
Saliba is certainly willing to lunge into a challenge, and his 1.49 attempted tackles P/90 should lead him into multiple duels with Kane.