Manchester City vs Arsenal
I probably don’t need to tell you why this is a good bet. But, here goes…
Haaland averaged 1.72 SOT/90 last season. He averaged 3.77 shots per game.
He had 51 more shots than any other City player and 31 more shots on target; more than double the next highest.
He met Arsenal 3 times last season, he managed a total of 8 shots on target – 5 & 2 in the league, and 1 in the FA Cup.
More risk here, but that’s reflected in the price and I think there’s value here.
With no Jesus, Saka is primed as the main threat in this Arsenal forward line.
He’s also Arsenal’s designated penalty taker.
Saka averaged just shy of 1 SOT/90 last season, but he always has the potential to have a standout game.
He hit 2 or more on target on 11 occasions last season for club and country.
That included 2+ against Liverpool, Man United and Chelsea.
With his ability to cut in on that left foot, it only takes a split second for Saka to get this selection simmering.
Every bet I place on City games tends to include this man for fouls.
In big games, Bernardo is a terrier. That’s why Pep loves him.
Silva averaged 1.27 fouls/90 last season, but those numbers go through the roof in big games.
In the two league meetings with Arsenal last season he made 4 & 3 fouls.
He committed 4 against Inter, and 4 & 3 in the two legs against Real Madeid.
He also committed 2 vs United, and 2 in both cup meetings against Chelsea.
He’s so keen to get stuck in, always leading the charge from the front as he presses his opposing man.