AC Milan vs Lazio Stats Pack, Bet Builder Tips and Predictions

Olivier Giroud has so often been the main man for Milan this season. Only Leao has scored more goals for Pioli’s side, and the French target man will likely be called upon once again in order to steer Milan to European football.

I expect Milan to largely control the game at home, especially given that they’re the side chasing the points here. Opportunities should come with that territory and possession, and Giroud appears the most likely candidate to register a shot on target.

He averages 1.11 P/90, and games against Napoli excluded, Giroud has registered a shot on target in 8 out of 10 starts since the World Cup.

Lazio concede 3.39 shots on target P/90, but given Milan’s need to come out and attack, I expect Lazio may well be content with soaking up a little pressure in this one.

Another selection that I think has legs given the pressure that I expect Milan will try and place on Lazio this afternoon.

Milan average 4.64 corners P/90 as it is, and with the the pace of Leao out wide, and the hold up play of Giroud through the middle, that comes as no surprise.

They’ll need both to be firing this afternoon, and if they are, then Milan should comfortably see that corner count rise.

Milan corners in last 5 league games: 10, 5, 4, 6 9

Lazio won’t necessarily sit in for 90 minutes, but they’re looking relatively comfortable in second, so I would expect them to be content with soaking up some pressure and hitting on the counter, conceding corners as a result.

They concede 4.67 P/90, suggesting that we should be in safe hands here.

I may be expecting Milan to control the game, but that doesn’t mean to say that some of their players won’t fall afoul of the referee this afternoon.

Sandro Tonali is one such name that I’m expecting a foul from, and he should be involved in a hotly contested midfield battle.

The Italian averages 1.26 fouls P/90, already has 7 cards to his name this season, and has committed a foul in each of his last 6.

Tonali fouls in last 5 league games: 2, 1, 1, 3, 1

Dealing with the likes of Marcos Antonio, and the powerhouse that is Sergej Milinkovic-Savic, won’t be an easy task either. The Lazio midfield pair are fouled 2.50 and 2.29 times P/90, numbers that would suggest that Tonali could struggle, particularly in transition.

Sergej Milinkovic-Savic is an absolute beast in the Lazio midfield. The 6ft 3 Serbian is deceptively silky on the ball, but his size and power can often see him on the wrong side of a refereeing decision.

In a game like this, away from home with Milan likely to bombard forward, he could well come under the cosh as Milan pile forward.

The Lazio man averages 1.25 fouls P/90, but, his recent stats have been hit and miss. However, when he gives away a foul, he tends to give away at least another.

Milinkovic-Savic has committed a minimum of 2 fouls on 16 occasions in all competitions this season, and committed 2 in the reverse fixture in January.

His stats are still encouraging, but the opposition is what has me confident with this selection. The likes of Bennacer, Tonali, and Krunic, will all be buzzing about the Serbian midfielder throughout the game, and are fouled 1.17, 1.11, and a.1.16 times P/90 respectively.

Milinkovic-Savic will do well to deal with the constant pressure from those 3 this afternoon.