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Two of Europe’s biggest hitters clash once more as AC Milan host PSG in the Champions League stage.
PSG won the reverse fixture a couple of weeks back, beating Milan 3-0 as part of a sensational run of form – they have won each of their last five matches, scoring three in each game and conceding just three in total. However, as you will read below, there are concerns with their performances on the road.
That will give an AC Milan side hope after a tough run of games. Since the last international break, they’ve not only been beaten by PSG but also Juventus and Udinese, in the league, while letting a two-goal lead slip to draw against Napoli.
You can pick up all the information you could wish for in order to build a winning AC Milan vs PSG bet builder below. Our Stats Pack Guide can help you better understand them and aid you in your bet builder selections.
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AC MILAN VS PSG PREDICTED LINEUPS
Loftus-Cheek could return for Milan
Milan lost Rade Krunic at the weekend but may not need to fear with Ruben Loftus-Cheek’s return anticipated this midweek. Malick Thiaw had a difficult outing against PSG in the reverse fixture but he should start with Simon Kjaer out. Davide Calabria sat out the previous tie but was called upon at half time and has started the last two.
Luis Enrique happy to rotate
It can be difficult to predict the PSG XI given Enrique’s preference for rotation but certain players are stepping up, including midfield pair Manuel Ugarte and Warren Zaire-Emery. Randal Kolo Muani is likely to get the nod ahead of Goncalo Ramos, having scored in the reverse fixture, while another scorer in that game, Kang-in Lee, is expected to start.
AC MILAN VS PSG TEAM STATS
Cards galore in Milan matches
It’s evident that Milan are a feisty outfit, with intent on being destructive. They’ve collected two or more cards in 11 of their 14 matches in all competitions, including all three Champions League outings to date while drawing two or more in 13. Fouls play a big part in this – the Italians have committed ten or more fouls in 12 of their 13 matches while drawing 13 or more in their last four.
PSG having issues on the road?
PSG have played six matches away from home this season. Both teams have scored in five of those and deservedly so – the French giants have conceded 1 xG or more in five of six those matches, the outlier being the 4-1 loss in Newcastle, where they allowed just under 1 xG. Corners may be backable in your bet builder given Luis Enrique’s side have had five or more corners in eight of their last nine matches and seven or more in seven of those.
AC MILAN VS PSG SHOTS AND SHOTS ON TARGET stats
Giroud finding form again
Olivier Giroud has had a bit of a lull following a good start to the campaign, but he appears to be finding his form again. The vastly experienced Frenchman has had a shot on target in his last four matches and managed an impressive four shots in the reverse fixture against PSG. If he’s not on it, he will hope wide man Rafael Leao is, the Portuguese winger has had two or more shots in his last four, taking four shots in the reverse fixture and registering a shot on target in nine of his 14 appearances this term.
Dembele finding his feet
Ousmane Dembele’s had three or more shots in four of his last five starts, something you can back at a whopping 2.4 in your AC Milan vs PSG bet builder. He’s also 1.83 to have a shot on target, something he has managed in six of his last seven outings.
AC MILAN VS PSG GOALS AND ASSISTS stats
Milan’s front three the ones to watch
It goes without saying that you want your forwards to be heavily involved when it comes to goal contributions and that is the case for Milan’s front three, who have a combined 21 goal contributions this season. Giroud leads the list with nine and he has been responsible for the only two goals scored since the international break – he can be backed to score at 3.1. As for Leao and Christian Pulisic, you can back them to make a telling contribution at 2.5 and 3.0.
It’s Mbappe’s world
Unsurprisingly, Luis Enrique is building his side around Mbappe and getting the reward for it. He’s one of the best players in the world and has proved that with 11 goal contributions this term already, ten of those being goals that he has scored across eight of their 13 matches. He can be backed in your bet builder to score at evens – it’s rare you will get a price that big.
AC MILAN CARDS AND FOULS stats
Milan love a card and a foul
Milan have two players that have already picked up five yellow cards across all competitions while their centre halves now having four apiece. Malick Thiaw is the player that should be featured in this section given he’s 1.3 to commit a foul and 2.4 to commit two. He was withdrawn at half time last time out against PSG having committed two fouls, the eighth time he’s done that in 12 games, and picked up a yellow. Christian Pulisic, meanwhile, is a dark horse having committed a foul in ten of his last 11 Milan appearances – he’s 1.5 to do it again.
The latter is likely because he’s up against Lucas Hernandez, the flying left back who draws fouls for fun – he has been fouled in 11 of his 12 starts and twice or more in all three Champions League games so far. Unsurprisingly, Mbappe has been fouled in every game he has played this season and the same goes for defensive midfielder Manuel Ugarte.
PSG CARDS AND FOULS stats
Hakimi vs Leao the key battle
Achraf Hakimi has committed a foul in all three Champions League games and he’s committed two or more fouls in six of his 13 matches across the campaign, something worth noting ahead of his battle with Rafael Leao. More on him later. Midfield general Manuel Ugarte is enjoying his game in midfield, committing two or more fouls in his last four starts and young pup Warren Zaire-Emery is learning his trade nicely, fouling in nine of 13 appearances and committing five fouls across his three Champions League games.
Rafael Leao, then. He’s finding his feet despite Milan’s poor form, being fouled an impressive 16 times in his last five matches. It should be a cracking game of chicken between him and Hakimi. Yunus Musah will be the man those dogged midfielders will be watching out for having been fouled in seven of his last nine appearances, while somebody will need to stop Theo Hernandez, who has been fouled in his last eight appearances and two or more times on six of those occasions.
AC MILAN VS PSG BET BUILDER TIPS AND PICKS OF THE PACK
We have crafted a four-leg AC Milan vs PSG bet builder for your consideration, make sure to read through our reasoning for the selections before adding them to your betslip below.
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AC Milan vs PSG
7th November
kick off 20:00 Olivier Giroud 1+ shots on target
Giroud had a shot on target in last four games.
He had four shots against PSG last time out.
PSG have conceded four or more shots on target in seven of last 12 matches.
PSG 10+ foulsPSG have committed ten or more fouls in seven of their last eight matches.
Milan have drawn 13 or more fouls in their last four matches, including the reverse fixture vs PSG.
Malick Thiaw 1+ foulsThiaw has committed a foul in ten of 12 matches and two or more in eight.
Thiaw struggled in the reverse fixture and was withdrawn at half time.
PSG have drawn 11 or more fouls in seven of their last eight matches.
Christian Pulisic 1+ foulsPulisic has committed a foul in ten of his last 11 appearances.
Left back Lucas Hernandez has been fouled in 11 of 12 appearances and twice or more in all three Champions League matches.
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