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The Emirates is bound to be rocking for a game which could prove to be season-defining for both sides. It was this time last year when Manchester City went away to the Emirates and won, beginning their slow overhaul of Arsenal’s lead at the top of the Premier League as they went on to comfortably beat the Gunners to the title.
Liverpool are already five points clear and will know that this is the biggest test they will face on the road for the remainder of the season, having already come away from the Etihad with a point. If they can win this game, they really can start to dream of a Premier League title to send Jurgen Klopp off in the best possible way.
The two sides met just a month ago, also at the Emirates as Liverpool dispatched the Gunners 2-0. Since then though, Arsenal have won two games in a row to snap what had been a four-game winless run. That patchy run has seen them drop to five points behind Liverpool, so a win tonight is vital if Arsenal want to claim a first league title since 2004.
Whichever team gets the result here, it’s sure to be a fascinating, pulsating encounter, and, of course, it looks ripe for a bet, so read on for our Arsenal v Liverpool bet builder tips as we help you craft a Sunday evening bet builder.
Check out the Stats Pack Guide to gain a greater understanding of the data used in this article.
Arsenal vs Liverpool Predicted Lineups
No changes expected for the Gunners
With no major injury concerns, besides Jurrien Timber who has been out since August, Mikel Arteta is likely to name the same XI that secured a 2-1 win away to Nottingham Forest last time out. That means a second consecutive start for Emile Smith-Rowe, which would be only his third league start this season. The Kai Havertz experiment has not been a total failure for Arsenal, but it has been far from a success, and Arteta may well be losing faith in the German’s ability to play in midfield, hence the return of Smith-Rowe.
Trent set to return at right back
Perhaps harsh on 20-year-old Conor Bradley who has done a superb job in deputising for Trent Alexander-Arnold, however the quality of Liverpool’s number 66 makes this a no-brainer for Jurgen Klopp if he is fit to start as expected. Despite two assists and a goal against Chelsea in midweek, Bradley looks set to be the only player to drop out of the starting lineup for Liverpool here. Salah remains out after picking up an injury at the Africa Cup of Nations.
Arsenal vs Liverpool Team Stats
Corners always a great option for Arsenal
No side in the top-flight has a bigger gap between their corners won and corners conceded per game average this season. Arsenal have won 7.91 corners per game whilst conceding just 2.73. They have failed to take at least five corners just once at home this season, and racked up five in their 1-1 draw at Anfield in December. We’re backing Arsenal to have over 4.5 corners (1.40), but taking them in the corner match bet market (1.57) or to win the corner battle with a -1 handicap (1.91) look like solid plays too.
Goals likely to flow at the Emirates
With both sides averaging two goals per game, (2.32 for Liverpool and 2.00 for Arsenal), we should be in for a treat here. Big teams can sometimes cancel each other out, but since last season, the four games between these two sides have seen 13 goals. Both sides have scored in all but their last meeting, though with both sides fielding weaker-than-normal teams, thatgame shouldn’t factor too much into our thinking. Over 2.5 goals can be backed at 1.57, whilst both teams to score is available at 1.50.
Arsenal vs Liverpool shots and shots on target stats
Bukayo Saka a nice option for a shot on target
Last time these two sides met, Saka had five shots, beaten only by Kai Havertz’s six. The young English winger has been in fine form recently, notching three goal contributions in his last four starts, all the while piling up high shots totals. His last five games have seen him take nine, three, five, two and six shots respectively, accumulating six total shots on target. At 1.62 for just one shot on target here, you could do much worse than backing Saka to make Alisson work at least once.
Darwin Nunez’s outrageous shooting numbers
The goals may not be flowing for Nunez just yet, but that isn’t from a lack of trying from the Uruguayan. He covers every blade of grass, makes intelligent runs to open space for others and he is yet to meet a shot he doesn’t like the look of. He has now had three or more shots in his last seven straight games, including four in a 35-minute cameo off the bench against Fulham, and four against Arsenal in the FA Cup last month. He can be backed for three shots at 1.62, and considering he had 10 (yes, ten) shots in the game against Chelsea midweek, this looks like a steal.
Arsenal vs Liverpool Goals and Assists Stats
Gabriel Jesus in a purple patch
The Brazilian has had a stop-start Arsenal career so far, with early promise coming unstuck mostly due to injuries that have cost him 27 games for club and country since his move from Man City last summer. However, since returning from his latest injury setback, Jesus has notched three goal contributions in his last two games. Despite being the bookies’ favourite to score or assist, there is still value to be found at odds of 2.2.
Jota the pick of the bunch for the Reds
Of the players available to Jurgen Klopp, only Darwin Nunez (14) has more combined goals and assists than Diogo Jota. The Portuguese forward missed a month of the season, but since his return he has wasted no time in adding to his total, bagging three goals and an assist in four starts. Available at 2.75 to score or assist here, or 3.75 to score anytime, Jota offers exceptional value considering his record and his recent form.
Arsenal Cards and Fouls Stats
Ben White’s tough assignment
Despite a low number of fouls, Ben White has picked up more yellows than any Arsenal player likely to feature here, besides Gabriel Jesus. The English right back commits just over a foul every other game, but here he will be faced with Luis Diaz, who is fouled 1.66 times per game and has been fouled in five of his last six starts for Liverpool, including in the 1-1 draw between the two sides earlier this season. At 4.0 to be booked, White is one to watch in a game where we expect referee Anthony Taylor to be busy.
Some unexpected cards options could be available here thanks to Alexis Mac Allister’s impressive ability to win fouls. Being fouled just under twice per game, the Argentine will be up against Declan Rice, Emile Smith-Rowe and Martin Odegaard. Rice has only been booked twice in the league this season, but one of these was against Liverpool, whilst the other came against another side with a high line and deep-lying playmakers, Aston Villa. At 3.4 to be shown a card, Rice offers good value to those looking for a higher odds Arsenal v Liverpool bet builder.
Liverpool Cards and Fouls Stats
Liverpool offer value in the total cards market
Arsenal’s low cards totals have seen them average just over 1.59 cards per game, whilst Liverpool’s average is up at 2.09. In Arsenal’s last 10 league games they have seen 2+ cards just three times, Liverpool, meanwhile, have seen 2+ cards in eight of their last 10 Premier League matches. With six of Arsenal’s last 10 opponents seeing at least two cards, backing Liverpool to see the most cards here looks a very nice play at 1.83.
Jesus’ foul drawing ability makes him one to look at here. The Brazilian striker is the standout option here. He has won at least two fouls in four consecutive Premier League starts, both before and after his recent injury setback. The first league game between these two sides saw Jesus winning three fouls, whilst demonstrating his combative streak by committing three fouls of his own. Jesus can be backed to win two fouls at 1.67 which looks a great price.
Arsenal vs Liverpool Bet builder Tips
We have put together an interesting Arsenal vs Liverpool bet builder for you to consider ahead of this massive Premier League clash. Check out the Free Bets Page ahead of the fixture.
Arsenal vs Liverpool
Arsenal have had 5+ corners in 10/11 home league games this season, and average the most corners per game of any side in the division.
Liverpool have conceded 5+ corners in 6/11 away league games this season.
3+ goals have been scored in 3 of the last 4 meetings between the two sides.
Both sides have kept just 1 clean sheet in each of their last 5 games in all competitions.
Has taken 3+ shots in his last 7 games in all competitions, averaging 5 shots per game in this stretch.
Nunez has had 3+ shots in 11 of his 14 Premier League starts this season.
Jesus has won 2+ fouls in 4 consecutive starts for Arsenal.
Jesus was fouled 3 times the last time these two sides met in the league.