We have crafted a 7/1 Arsenal vs Liverpool Bet Builder ahead of this heavyweight Premier League Clash.
Make sure to check out our assortment of Free Bets before putting on any bets on Super Sunday.
Arsenal v Liverpool
27th October
kick off 16:30 Liverpool Double Chance Arsenal Goalkeeper To Make 3+ Saves Over 2.5 Arsenal Cards Kai Havertz To Have 1+ Shots On Target
In this article
Leg 1: Liverpool Double Chance
Liverpool have been flying under Arne Slot, with the Reds having won all but one of their X games in all competitions. Whilst some may note the easy fixture list to open the campaign, you can only play whoever is in front of you, and Liverpool have beaten nearly all comers so far.
Aside from the shock 1-0 loss to Nottingham Forest, Liverpool have not put a foot wrong, passing their first real test of the season last Sunday as Chelsea visited Anfield, a game the hosts deservedly won 2-1.
Arsenal had been churning out the results until last weekend’s loss to Bournemouth as Mikel Arteta struggles to deal with the injuries within the squad. To compound the manager’s misery, he will be without the suspended William Saliba after the France international was sent off in that 2-0 loss to Bournemouth.
With no Martin Odegaard and potentially no Bukayo Saka either, that leaves Arsenal short of their best defender and their best creators, so they will be expected to struggle to both score goals and protect their own. Bearing this in mind, this looks like a great price for Liverpool to either win or draw against the weakened Gunners.
Leg 2: Arsenal Goalkeeper To Make 3+ Saves
Mikel Arteta’s gameplan in a situation like this, with key players absent, tends to be to defend well and build from there. Against a side as talented as Liverpool, that will require a strong showing from David Raya in the Arsenal goal, especially without the security blanket of the world-class Gabriel-Saliba partnership in front of him.
The Gunners stopper has been forced into three or more saves in five of his eight league starts this season, with the three games in which he made fewer coming against newly-promoted Leicester and Southampton, and then against Bournemouth.
Raya made five saves against Tottenham and nine against Man City, with Wolves, Aston Villa, and Brighton all forcing three saves each. Those stats suggest that a clash with Liverpool should see Raya’s save count going over his Premier League average of 3.0 per game.
Liverpool have had at least four shots on target in all but one of their league games this season and average 5.75 shots on target per match. The Reds have seen the opposition goalkeeper make three saves in five straight in the Premier League, and in seven of eight overall.
Leg 3: over 2.5 Arsenal Cards
Arsenal’s lack of discipline has been a storyline brewing throughout the season, but Saliba’s dismissal at Bournemouth making it three red cards in eight games has brought this into sharp focus.
The Gunners have played against three of the four other sides that finished in last season’s top five already, with Liverpool being the final one. In these games they have seen three cards against both Aston Villa and Tottenham, and seven (also including a red) against Man City.
They also saw five bookings and a red card when facing Brighton, who may have finished 11th last season, but currently sit fifth. When Arsenal are playing tougher opponents, they step up the foul count and engage in the ‘dark arts’, namely time-wasting and tactical fouls. With so many injuries to contend with, a return of these dark arts could be on the cards here.
Liverpool, meanwhile, have been good at forcing their opponents to pick up cards so far this season, sitting third in the league for opposition bookings (3.38 per game). Their opponents have been booked three or more times in seven of their eight games. Wolves were the only exception, and they were still booked twice.
Leg 4: Kai Havertz 1+ Shots On Target
Of all the options in the shooting markets, Kai Havertz is the one that makes the most sense. Only Bukayo Saka has had more shots on target per 90 for Arsenal this season (1.75) than Kai Havertz’s 1.25.
The Germany international has started all eight league games for the Gunners and has notched a shot on target in six of those seven, only failing to do so against Bournemouth, where Arsenal had a first-half red card, and away at Aston Villa.
Havertz has hit multiple shots on target in four of his last six Premier League starts, including two against Brighton and Tottenham. He also has an impressive efficiency rate with his strikes, testing the keeper with 38.5% of his strikes. If we look at a narrower sample size, such as his three starts against sides in last season’s top five, Havertz took four shots, three of which were on target.
He also had a shot on target in both of the games against Liverpool last season in which he played up front, racking up nine shots with four on target across their meetings in the FA Cup and in the league.
Check out the Stats Pack Guide to gain a greater understanding of the data used in this article.
Paddy Power lead the market with their welcome offer of £50 in free football bet builders, which you can snap up below:
Arsenal vs Liverpool Predicted Lineups
Arsenal vs Liverpool Team Stats
Arsenal vs Liverpool shots and shots on target stats
Arsenal vs Liverpool Goals and Assists Stats
Arsenal Cards and Fouls Stats
Liverpool Cards and Fouls Stats
You can maximise your punting ability for this weekend’s fixtures on our Free Bets Page.
