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Two teams who got knocked out of the midweek EFL Cup meet at Villa Park eager to get back to winning ways. These sides are also involved in European football so the hectic schedule forced several rotations in midweek.
With two offensively-minded managers at the helm, this is expected to be a cracker of a match for neutral observers. We have you covered with some bet builder tips and picks of the pack. To learn more on how to get the most from these articles you can read our Stats Pack Guide here.
Aston Villa vs Brighton predicted lineups
Leon Bailey and Jacob Ramsey are slight injury doubts
Villa made five changes in the EFL Cup vs Everton, but all of their key men should return in time to face the Seagulls. They are still without long term absentees such as Tyrone Mings, Emiliano Buendia and Bertrand Traore. Defender Diego Carlos also remains on the sidelines for now. Both Leon Bailey and Jacob Ramsey are rumoured to be carrying knocks.
Ferguson carrying a knock
Predicting the Brighton lineup is difficult these days because they have quite a vast squad and Roberto De Zerbi does like to rotate. They will be without Julio Enciso, James Milner and Pascal Gross who are ruled out for a few more weeks yet. Evan Ferguson is doubtful with a knock and might have to be content with a place on the bench.
Aston Villa vs Brighton team stats
Villa carry offensive threat
Villa average two goals per game and have a healthy xG to match. Defensively, they’ve been far from secure as they average 11.33 shots against them which is quite a lot. A large proportion of those have been on target so they’ve given up big chances. Villa have a decent shot on target average themselves and have been reasonably accurate. Corners and cards are both on the high side in their fixtures averaging 11 and 5.34 respectively.
Cards and corners heavy Brighton
Brighton have averaged a whopping three goals per game, and this is helped by a huge shot average of nearly 18 per game. The Seagulls are yet to keep a clean sheet and have an xGA of 1.65 per 90 minutes which is high for their early league position. They will give up some big chances despite only conceding 7.83 shots per game so far. Similar to Villa, both cards and corners have been high in their fixtures with the cards especially standing out at 6.33 per game.
Aston Villa vs Brighton shots and shots on target stats
Cash on the money
Matty Cash averages 2.35 shots per 90 and 1.18 on target. He is worth looking at to add to your Aston Villa bet builder at 2.38 for a shot on target and 1.20 just to have one shot. Both Moussa Diaby and Ollie Watkins will likely chance their luck a few times as well with Nicolo Zaniolo cutting inside from the left wing. The Italian is quite an individual player and will likely try something outlandish at some stage.
Firing squad aiming for targets
Brighton average nearly 18 shots per game so it makes sense to target some individuals in this market. Solly March is currently firing 3.15 shots per 90 and is well worth considering in your Brighton bet builder. Two others who are averaging over a couple of shots per game are Kaoru Mitoma and Danny Welbeck. March and Mitoma are the most likely to hit at least one shot on target.
Aston Villa vs Brighton goals and assists stats
Watkins wanting more
Matty Cash and Moussa Diaby along with Douglas Luiz are the joint top-scoring Villans so far with a couple of goals each. Ollie Watkins is yet to hit top form in the Premier League but is now on the scoreboard after netting vs Chelsea, and he’s also weighed in with two assists. He can be backed at 1.91 to score or assist which looks appealing.
Pervis to service?
Kaoru Mitoma stands out for Brighton with three goals and three assists. He is a dual threat in this category and must merit consideration in any Aston Villa vs Brighton bet builder. Ecuadorian left back Pervis Estupinian also has three assists and can be backed at 4.50 to supply another goal at Villa Park. This could be tremendous value on one of the best left backs in the Premier League.
Aston Villa cards and fouls stats
Digne diving in
The hosts have been fairly dirty racking up 16 cards so far this season. Lucas Digne and Douglas Luiz both have three cards already and can be looked at in this market along with obtaining at least one foul. It is no surprise to see them priced up as short as 1.22 and 1.20 respectively to have one caution or more. Matty Cash averages 1.33 fouls per 90 and could be a more tempting price of 1.40 to add to your Aston Villa bet builder. It may also be important to note that referee Andy Madley holds one of the highest card averages in the league at 6.25 per game.
Joel Veltman is the most fouled Brighton player at 2.43 per 90 minutes. This would perhaps add more weight to backing Digne to have at least one foul considering it’s his side of the field. Mitoma will prove a pest to Matty Cash with the Villa right back looking vulnerable in this match.
Brighton cards and fouls stats
Seagulls pecking their opponents
Brighton have obtained 18 cards so far this season in the Premier League, the fourth most of any side. They have been spread around the whole team though with an incredible 14 players already finding a way into the referee’s book so far. The Brighton left side has been the dirtiest with Estupinan and Mitoma picking up a couple of cards each.
Several Villa players are fouled on average around 1.50 times per 90. Nicolo Zaniolo is an interesting candidate set to start on the right wing. He can pop up anywhere but because of his insanely high dribbling rate (7.37) he is sure to cause issues to the Brighton left hand side, giving further weight to looking at Estupinian or Mitoma for cards and fouls. Elsewhere, John McGinn in midfield is always someone to watch for both getting stuck in and being involved in key clashes.
Aston Villa VS Brighton BET BUILDER TIPS AND PICKS OF THE PACK
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Aston Villa vs Brighton
Every Brighton match has contained over 2.5 goals. Their fixtures average 4.3 goals per game whilst Villa matches average 3.70. Their 1-0 win vs Chelsea last week was the first time one of their games went under 2.5 goals this season.
Every Brighton match has seen both teams score and they are yet to keep a clean sheet. Villa have only shut out the opposition twice, vs Everton and then against 10 man Chelsea last week. It would be a surprise if both teams didn’t contribute here.
Brighton average nearly eight shots on target in the Premier League this season. They are the sort of team who like to shoot a lot (17.7 per 90) which evidently increases the chances of them finding the target more.
Unai Emery’s men average 5.33 shots on target per game in the Premier League this season. Playing at home against a defence which is yet to keep a clean sheet will help this selection.