In this article
Aston Villa were in action midweek, slumping to an incredibly disappointing 3-1 home loss to a Chelsea side that had conceded four goals in each of their previous two games.
That defeat saw Villa exit the FA Cup, though this does mean they can focus on their quest for European glory in the Conference League, and their attempt to break into the Champions League spots in the Premier League.
United meanwhile are rolling at the minute, having won four and drawn one of their last five games in all competitions, albeit two of which were against League One and League Two opposition in the third and fourth rounds of the FA Cup.
Last time these two met it was a barnburner, with United coming from 2-0 down at half time to win 3-2 at Old Trafford. Villa know they can score; the question is can they keep it tight at the back and secure the three points this time after letting them slip the first time around?
This should be another cracker, and what could be better than crafting a bet builder to track as you watch the late afternoon game on Super Sunday? Our Aston Villa v Man United bet builder tips are below, so read on and get involved.
Have a look at our Stats Pack Guide to gain a greater understanding of the data used in this article.
Aston Villa vS Man United Predicted Lineups
Few changes from midweek expected
Unai Emery went strong in the FA Cup, with the only player not usually in their strongest XI to start being Youri Tielemans. The Belgian is expected to drop out again here to make way for Moussa Diaby as Villa return to their fluid 4-4-2 which allows Leon Bailey to join the front two and John McGinn to shuffle across from the right to shift into a 4-3-3 as required.
Harry Maguire to step back in for injured Martinez
Lisandro Martinez’s fresh injury means Harry Maguire is likely to come back in, though it must be said he was very solid considering how dire it looked when both Raphael Varane and Martinez went down earlier in the season. Casemiro and Luke Shaw are both now firmly back in the XI after earlier injuries and besides Maguire, the rest of the XI is expected to be as it was against West Ham last time out.
Aston Villa vs Man united Team Stats
Goals galore at Villa Park
Villa have won nine of their 11 home league games this season, including eight straight to start the season. Despite this though, their defence has remained leaky, having kept just three clean sheets all season. They have also scored in each of their 11 games on their own patch, meaning both teams to score has landed in eight of that 11. Both teams to score can be backed at 1.44, and looks good value, especially when considering United have now scored at least once in seven straight games in all competitions.
United’s struggles on the road
Despite the recent upturn in form, this will be a tough test for Erik ten Hag’s side. Before their last-gasp win at Wolves last week, United had failed to win four straight away games in the league, losing to West Ham and Nottingham Forest in this run. Villa meanwhile had not lost at home until Newcastle stunned them 3-1 last time out. With Emery’s side having claimed the scalps of Man City and Arsenal at Villa Park already, backing them to win at 2.15 or in the double chance market at 1.33 both look like good value picks here.
Aston Villa vs Man united shots and shots on target stats
Leon Bailey on a roll
After a slow start to his Villa career, a stellar set of performances against Bournemouth and Man City has seen Bailey become one of the first names on the team sheet. The main question mark surrounding the Jamaican winger was his finishing but in recent weeks he has racked up a shot on target in each of his last four league starts, and averages 1.06 shots on target per game this season. He had two shots, one on target when these two sides last met, and can be backed to do so again today at 1.67, offering great value to anyone who backs him.
Rasmus Hojlund finally finding his feet
After a slow start, it was looking like the young Danish striker was struggling under the burden of his price tag and the expectation at United, but what a difference a few goals can make. Since finding the net against Villa for the first time in the Premier League, Hojlund has now scored in all of his next three Premier League games. He has had at least one shot on target in each of his last four league starts and can be backed to do so again at 1.50, a very good price considering his form. If you like his chances of making it five goals in five games, he can also be backed in the goalscoring markets at 3.0 to score anytime.
Aston Villa vs Man United Goals and Assists Stats
Impossible to overlook Ollie Watkins
He may not have scored or assisted at Old Trafford earlier in the season, but Watkins has been in superb form in the Premier League ever since. In his last four league starts he has racked up two goals and four assists, only failing to notch one of either in Villa’s goalless draw with Everton. He has scored in his last two league games and has three goal contributions in his last two PL games at Villa Park. Thanks to Watkins’ knack for setting up his team-mates, we would recommend avoiding the goalscoring market and instead backing Watkins to score or assist at 1.91.
Rashford in red-hot form
Whenever United are getting results, it tends to be because Marcus Rashford is performing, and the lad from Salford has been excellent in recent weeks. He bagged an assist against Villa at Old Trafford over Christmas and since then has plundered three goals in his next four games. Rashford has been averaging just under two shots per game in his last five league games and is averaging one shot on target per game in this run. In this kind of form, and with goals expected here, backing Rashford to either score or assist one at odds of 2.50 looks a very solid bet.
aSTON vILLA Cards and Fouls Stats
Douglas Luiz a nice option for the Villans
The Brazilian midfielder averages the second-most fouls of any Villa player in this one and has committed a foul in 12 of his last 13 Premier League games in which he has played more than 45 minutes. Luiz commits 1.48 fouls per game in the league and has committed two or more in three of his last six. He can be backed at 1.25 for one foul, which is a solid addition to any bet builder, and at 2.2 to commit two or more.
Second amongst his team-mates in fouls won per game, United’s Danish striker has been winning fouls at a rate of 1.40 per game this season. However, those numbers have shot up recently, providing a nice opportunity for an odds-boosting selection. He was fouled twice against Villa at Old Trafford and has been fouled twice or more in five of his last six Premier League starts. Against Diego Carlos, who commits just under a foul per game, and is often tasked with holding the ball up, backing Hojlund to win one foul at 1.25, whilst backing him to win two has some serious earning potential at 2.25.
Man UNITED Cards and Fouls Stats
Good value available on Diogo Dalot
The Portuguese right-back has committed a foul in seven of his last 10 Premier League starts for the Red Devils, and he averages 0.99 fouls per game. Dalot committed three fouls last time out, against West Ham, and comes up against the pacy and tricky Leon Bailey here, having struggled with Kudus last weekend. Bailey draws 1.15 fouls per game, so backing Dalot to commit at least one foul at 1.40 looks good value considering the Portuguese’s track record.
Ezri Konsa was fouled four times in the fixture at Old Trafford in December, and much of this was when Alejandro Garnacho was switched to his side later in the game, the Argentine committing two fouls. Moreno will be matched up with Garnacho here, and with Moreno drawing a foul in each of his last seven Villa starts in all competitions, backing him to be fouled just once here at a price of 1.73 looks to be an absolute steal, and a must for any Aston Villa v Man United bet builder.
Aston Villa vs Man United Bet builder Tips and picks of the pack
We have put together an Aston Villa vs Man United bet builder for you to consider ahead of this Premier League matchup. Check out the Free Bets Page ahead of Super Sunday.
Aston Villa vs Man United
Bailey has had 1+ shot on target in each of his last 4 league starts.
The Jamaican had 2 shots, 1 on target the last time these sides met.
Hojlund averages 0.77 shots on target per game, the most of any United player.
The Dane has now scored in four straight games, of course having at least 1 shot on target in each of these games.
Luiz has committed 1+ foul in 12 of his last 13 Premier League games in which he has played more than one half.
Luiz committed a foul the last time these sides met in December.
Moreno has been fouled in seven straight starts for Villa.
He draws the second-most fouls of any Villa player at 1.83, just behind John McGinn on 1.84.