Crystal Palace vs Leeds
Crystal Palace have lost two of their last four matches, but the defeats came against Manchester City and Chelsea, so it’d be harsh to give them criticism for that.
They were unfortunate to lose against Chelsea also as they took the lead and Conor Gallagher nicked it very late.
Selhurst Park is a difficult place to go to and that’s for most Premier League sides. Palace have only lost twice in their last ten home matches in the league, and they came against Arsenal and Chelsea. It’s rare that Palace suffer a home defeat to sides in and around them.
Palace are unbeaten in ten of their last 12 competitive matches at home, winning six and drawing four. They’re also unbeaten in their last six home meetings with Leeds.
Leeds started the season well, however they’re now on a run of four matches without a win, losing a couple of them.
Leeds don’t travel too well in the league. They’ve kept just a single clean sheet from their last 15 away matches in the Premier League and they’ve only taken three points from three of their last 12.
Crystal Palace have conceded just six goals in four home games so far so that could be a worry of Leeds who looked toothless in attack against Aston Villa last time out. One of the worst Premier League matches I’ve sat through in a while.
Crystal Palace average 10.7 shots per game with 4.70 hitting the target, that’s a really good rate of accuracy. The number of shots they have per game rises to 11.8 when they’re at Selhurst Park.
Palace have had 4+ shots on target in three of their last five Premier League matches, during that run they only failed to do so against Man City and Chelsea. They’ve been great for shots on target against teams around them, for instance they had nine on target at home to Villa and another nine on target away at Newcastle.
A worrying thing for Jesse Marsch and Leeds ahead of this one must be the fact that they’ve conceded 15 shots on target across their last two matches.
Their latest away match was a 5-2 thrashing at Brentford where the hosts had a total of eight shots on goal. They then drew 0-0 with Villa in that drab game, however Villa probably should’ve won it after having seven shots on target and numerous chances.
A predicted front three of Zaha, Edouard and Ayew for Palace is more than enough talent to test Leeds’ Melier at least four times.
Crystal Palace last hosted Leeds back in April. And while it was a boring 0-0 on paper, this selection would’ve been a winner. Palace had their fair share of chances with seven shots on target and six corners taken.
Arsenal vs Liverpool
Arsenal have averaged 5.88 corners per game which increases to 7.50 at the Emirates where this selection has returned in every fixture so far.
Liverpool themselves have conceded an average of 5.67 corners on their travels, and against a side that averages 59.0% possession I’d expect similar figures.
Wingers Gabriel Martinelli and Bukayo Saka should find space behind Alexander-Arnold and Tsimikas, and they both rank amongst some of the top crossers in the league (44 and 35 crosses respectively).
Not to mention, of Arsenal’s 138 shots in the league this season 40 of them have been blocked (5 per game), and that often leads to a corner off a deflection.
This season, Granit Xhaka has found himself in a much more advanced position and has thrived as more of a box-to-box midfielder, with his average position being well into the opposing half.
He’s found himself in goalscoring and goal creating positions with 5 goal contributions in 8 games, grabbing a derby day goal last weekend.
So far in the league, the Swiss midfielder has averaged 1.38 shots per game.
He’s managed at least one shot in each of his last 7 fixtures and has enjoyed the most shots in games against the big 6: 3 shots vs Man United and another 3 shots against Tottenham.
Against Liverpool, Xhaka should find himself with even more space to fire shots away up against the defensive frailties of Trent Alexander-Arnold in the Liverpool defence.
Everton vs Man United
An easy place to start here is Antony’s first 2 Premier League games for United, which were not easy tasks against league toppers Arsenal and Manchester City.
He managed 2 shots on target in each game from a total of 8 shots and scored in both.
His per 90 figures are top of the team, with 2.45 on target from 4.90 shots.
Of his 5 United games in all competitions, he’s managed a shot in all bar one against Sheriff Tiraspol.
What’s more impressive is that his goal, 2 shots on target and 3 shots on his debut against Arsenal came in just 57 minutes. Since then, he’s played more of the full 90 and I’d expect him to stay on the pitch for the long haul tonight.
Tonight, the silky Brazilian is up against Mykolenko, Iwobi and Gordon on the Everton left flank – all players looking to advance forward allowing Antony space in behind.
Only Nottingham Forest (24) have received more yellow cards than United (23), who average 3.29 cards a game.
They’ve been in the referee’s book at least 3 times in every Premier League outing so far, with Diogo Dalot (4), Scott McTominay (4) and Bruno Fernandes (3) being the main culprits. If McTominay doesn’t start, why not bring on Casemiro who received 11 yellows for Madrid last season.
Against Everton, United are going to find themselves with plenty of possession given Everton have had more possession than their opponents just once this season. Only Forest (41.3%) and Bournemouth (33.7%) average less possession than Everton (42.3%).
The Toffees like to play on the counter, and that means that United will have to make professional fouls to stop that – great for yellow cards.
That may explain why Everton’s opponents have averaged 2.25 cards per game.
To add to the case, this selection would have returned in 5 out of the last 6 meetings between the two sides, with an average of 2.50 United cards.