Blackburn Rovers will be hoping to end a seven-match winless run and re-ignite their promotion hopes by beating 3rd place Luton Town at Ewood Park. Rovers have fallen out of the top six thanks to four points from the last 21 available and though the visitors are assured of their play-off spot and a second leg home tie, they won’t have things their own way here with Luton unbeaten in 12 and having beaten fellow promotion hopefuls Middlesbrough last time out.
We’ve provided the stats pack below so you can build your own Blackburn Rovers vs Luton Town bet builder without having to do the work. If you need some guidance on how to use the data and increase your chances of picking a winning bet builder, check out my Stats Pack Guide.
BlackBurn Rovers vs Luton Town Predicted Lineups
Blackburn Rovers have rotated their starting XI all season but Jon Dahl Tomasson will want a return to winning ways and is likely to choose what he believes to be his strongest XI in a bid to get that. They remain without Daniel Ayala while first-choice striker Sam Gallagher is absent so Tyrhys Dolan is expected to lead the line again while Sorba Thomas could come in for Ryan Hedges.
While their opposition last Monday made big changes to freshen things up ahead of their play-off campaign, Luton Town stayed true to their strongest available XI. They are without centre-backs Gabriel Osho and Reece Burke but Sonny Bradley has returned. Jordan Clark may replace Allan Campbell in midfield.
BlackBurn Rovers vs vs Luton Town Team Stats
Despite finding themselves involved in the race for promotion all season, Blackburn have struggled for dominance and chance creation in games with only six sides scoring fewer goals per game and four sides creating fewer.
Despite their defensive strength showing in the number of goals and chances conceded, only six teams have allowed the opposition more shots on target than Blackburn. Their games tend to be full of cards with both they and their opposition picking up more than two per game – Rovers have picked up two or more in five of their last seven outings.
Luton Town are fully deserving of their spot in the table based on the numbers – only Burnley have a better defensive record and allow their opposition to create fewer chances per 90. It’s little surprise that no team in the division concedes fewer shots on target.
The Hatters are happy to mix and match their game to suit their opposition but it’s always with the aim of getting their wing-backs involved high up the pitch, which has led to a high number of corners won. Like Rovers, both they and their opposition pick up over two bookings per 90.
Sammie Szmodics, Tyrhys Dolan, Carlton Morris, Elijah Adebayo Shots and Shots on Target stats
While Ben Brereton is the big cheese at Blackburn Rovers, it’s actually those around him enjoying themselves of late. Attacking midfielder Sammie Szmodics has started his side’s last 14 matches and had two or more shots in ten of those with a shot on target in seven of them, including each of his last two. Tyrhys Dolan is likely to start up top again and his last two starts as a striker have seen him have seven shots with four of those on target.
Luton Town’s front two have been the main men this year, Carlton Morris and Elijah Adebayo leading their charge to a top-four finish. Morris comes into this having had a shot on target in 10 of 14 matches and at least two shots in 11 of those while Adebayo has had two or more attempts and a shot on target in four of his last six starts. Keep an eye on Alfie Doughty too – he has had a shot at goal in each of his last eight starts.
Ben Brereton, Tyrhys Dolan, Carlton Morris, Elijah Adebayo Goals and Assists stats
Despite having fewer attempts of late, Ben Brereton has still been the standout for Blackburn, hitting double figures for the second season in a row. He has not scored since before the international break and may be due to a goal. I’ve noted Tyrhys Dolan’s shooting stats above and if you fancy something more exciting for your Blackburn Rovers vs Luton Town bet builder, he’s available to score anytime at 13/5.
Carlton Morris has been the main man for Luton Town this year and he comes into this game having broke the 20-goal mark for the first time in his career – he’s available to find the net anytime at 9/4. His strike partner Adebayo took time to grow into this season but has found his feet again since the turn of the year. The giant forward has 1 league goal from a combined 6xG over his last 15 league games.
dominic Hyam, adam wharton, tom Lockyer, Sonny Bradley passing stats
Blackburn Rovers are at home and like to dominate the ball, so they would the side to back in your bet builder if you want to look into the passing markets. Dominic Hyam sees most of the ball for Rovers, averaging 70 passes per 90 minutes for a side that do like to play out from the back. It’s rare for an ‘8’ to see so much of the ball but Adam Wharton isn’t afraid to drop deep and get involved.
I would avoid looking at Luton Town players for your bet builder because of both their style of play and the potential for second half substitutions to keep players fresh – they made five substitutions in their previous outing. Unsurprisingly, It’s the defence that see most of the ball – Tom Lockyer and Sonny Bradley often taking possession before looking to find a wide option or one of their powerful forwards.
Blackburn Rovers Cards and Fouls stats
Lewis Travis is a player that gets on the nerves of fans up and down the country and he sits top of the table for cards and fouls for Rovers. He will play as the deepest midfielder here, tasked with stopping runs from deep. Hayden Carter has found himself in trouble referees a lot recently – the centre-back has committed a foul in each of his last five league starts and seven of his last nine – he’s going to have his hands full against Carlton Morris and Elijah Adebayo.
Jordan Clark has been fouled in his last four starts as the furthest forward midfielder for Rob Edwards’ side and he could start with or be benched in favour of Allan Campbell, who has been fouled in six of his last nine starts. Carlton Morris is as powerful as they come in the Championship and he has been fouled in seven of his last eight starts, including twice in three of his last four appearances.
Key matchups:
Lewis Travis v Jordan Clark
Hayden Carter v Carlton Morris
Sammie Szmodics v Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu
Luton Town Cards and Fouls stats
It’s often the case that physical target men end up giving away more fouls than they win and that is the case with Carlton Morris and Elijah Adebayo who are not only committing a high number of fouls but have also accrued a combined 19 cards for their troubles. Wing-back Alfie Doughty loves a tackle – he has committed a foul in nine of his last ten starts and finds himself against awkward opposition in Joe Rankin-Costello, who makes a number of inside runs from his nominal position of right-back.
It could be a fun afternoon for Lewis Travis who will be the man offering for possession between the Luton midfield and attack – only Tyrhys Dolan draws more fouls per 90 minutes for Blackburn. What Blackburn do have is a number of players that like to run with the ball – they have four players that commit more than 1.9 dribbles per 90.
Key matchups:
Carlton Morris v Hayden Carter
Jordan Clark v Lewis Travis
Alfie Doughty v Joe Rankin-Costello
Blackburn Rovers vs Luton Town Bet Builder tips and Picks of the Pack
Plenty of stats there for you to sink your teeth into, and all of them should assist you wen making your bet builder selections. I’ve had a browse myself, and come up with 4 picks that you can find below.
Blackburn Rovers vs Luton Town
1st May
kick off 17:30 Alfie Doughty 1+ shots
Doughty averages 1.19 shots per 90
Doughty has had a shot on goal in each of his last 8 starts
Carlton Morris 1+ shots on targetMorris averages 3.01 shots at goal per 90
Morris averages 1.04 shots on target per 90
Morris has had a shot on target in 10 of last 14 matches
Hayden Carter 1+ foulsLockyer has committed a foul in 7 of his last 11 league starts
Ben Brereton has been fouled in three of his last four matches
Tyrhys Dolan draws 1.78 fouls per 90
Tom Lockyer 1+ foulsCarter has committed one foul in 7 of last 9 starts
Carlton Morris and Elijah Adebayo are fouled 1.12 and 1.33 times per 90, respectively
