In this article
Blackburn went all the way to the quarter-finals last season, losing 3-2 at Ewood Park to a stunning Tommy Doyle goal late in the game that sent the Blades to Wembley in place of the hosts.
Wrexham were also knocked out by then-manager Paul Heckingbottom’s side, so they come into this game aiming to avoid a second-straight fourth round exit at the hands of second tier opponents.
We expect a high-tempo and high-scoring game, with 10 goals being scored in Wrexham’s two fourth round ties last season, whilst Blackburn’s mini-injury crisis in defence should give the Welsh side confidence ahead of this one.
Blackburn manager Jon Dahl Tomasson must find solutions having lost two of his three regular centre-back starters, and with his side expected to move to a four-back formation instead of their usual 5-3-2, Wrexham will hope to exploit any disruption to the rhythm of the hosts as they look to reach the fifth round for the first time since 1981.
This is a game full of very appealing looking options for a bet, so read on for our Blackburn v Wrexham bet builder tips.
Fancy £50 in free football bet builders? Betfair have you covered if so:
blackBurn vs Wrexham predicted lineups
Mini injury crisis for Blackburn at centre-back
Blackburn’s point at home to Huddersfield came at a cost, with Hayden Carter and Harry Pickering now both set to miss several weeks having picked up an injury. Jon Dahl Tomasson will have to ring in the changes, and in all likelihood drop the preferred five-at-the-back for a four-man defence instead. Semir Telalovic is likely to come into the side up front, whilst Sammie Szmodics should drop into the number 10 role. Tronstad, Gallagher and Chrysene are all set to miss out as Andrew Moran and Arnor Sigurdsson come into the side to add some width that would usually be provided by Blackburn’s wing-backs.
Multiple changes expected for Wrexham
Steven Fletcher is expected to return to the side in place of Sam Dalby, whilst Andy Cannon is also expected to replace James Jones in midfield. Ryan Barnett is also expected to drop to the bench, with Forde dropping out. William Boyle’s straight red card suspension only applies to League Two, but Eoghan O’Connell, who came on after the sending off against Newport, is still expected to take his place here.
Blackburn v Wrexham Team Stats
Chances likely to be few and far between for the hosts
Both sides have found the net in five games in a row for a struggling Blackburn side who have not kept a clean sheet since November. Over 2.5 goals has now landed in eight of the Lancashire side’s last nine games. Even games against lower league opponents have produced high goal totals; Cambridge scored twice at Ewood Park in the last round, though Blackburn still won the game convincingly, 5-2. Expect more goals here, with Blackburn likely being far enough away from the relegation zone to treat the Cup as an opportunity rather than a distraction.
Wrexham games usually guarantee goals
Wrexham are flying in League Two, sitting second in the division and their steady accumulation of proven Football League talent gives them the ability to play above their level here. Their 54 goals is the fourth-most in the division, but their 37 conceded is notably high for a side in second place. Last season they faced Sheffield United at this stage of the competition, drawing 3-3 at home before bowing out with a 3-1 defeat at Bramall Lane. We should expect another high-scoring affair here, with the defence unlikely to keep out Blackburn for a full 90 minutes.
Blackburn v Wrexham Shots and Shots on Target Stats
Arnor Sigurdsson’s efficient shooting
Sigurdsson’s 0.95 shots on target per 90 is the second most on the team, just behind Sammie Szmodics on 1.37 per game. However, the Icelandic international is racking up those numbers on almost half the number of shots Szmodics takes per game, taking just 1.67 shots per 90 compared to the Irishman’s 3.49. Having now hit at least one shot on target in six of his last 10 games for the club, Sigurdsson will surely get a few opportunities against lower-league opposition, and his efficiency means you can be confident at least one will be on target, making him the ideal candidate for a Blackburn shot on target bet.
Top scorer Elliot Lee looks a nice option
Though Steven Fletcher and Paul Mullin have more shots on target per game, Elliot Lee is not far behind Mullin’s 1.53 per game, sitting on 1.13, and is much more efficient. Four of his last five games have seen Lee hit a shot on target, the one exception being Wrexham’s 1-0 loss to Newport in which they played for 72 minutes with 10 men. In this game Blackburn should have the lion’s share of possession; Wrexham will have limited opportunities, so Lee’s efficiency gives him a solid edge over his teammates on the shot on target market.
Blackburn v Wrexham Goals and Assists Stats
Hard to look past Championship top scorer Sammie Szmodics
Irish forward Szmodics has racked up 16 goals in the league alone this season, whilst the last round of the Cup saw him hit a hat-trick. Sitting at just over evens, 2.2 still looks to be a good price for a player in great form, having racked up five goals in his last four appearances. This should be a high-scoring game with both teams going for it, and that will suit Szmodics just fine, averaging an efficient 1.37 shots on target per game in what is otherwise a very average Blackburn side.
Steven Fletcher on a hot streak
The 36-year-old Scot is a familiar name for English football fans, having bounced around a variety of sides in the Premier League and Championship across his long career. He now finds himself at Wrexham and has been in superb form since being introduced into the starting line-up. Fletcher notched a hat-trick in only his second start for the club and has now scored four goals in three games. Having taken 10 shots in these three games alone, there is little doubt that Fletcher will shoot on sight if he gets the chance, and in this form, few would bet against him finding the net.
Blackburn cARDS AND fOULS stats
Plenty of cards shown in Blackburn’s games so far
Averaging 4.5 cards per game between both sides, this should be a competitive affair, and therefore a look at the total cards market makes sense. Wrexham also average over four total cards per game, and with Blackburn averaging 2.39 per game and their opponents sitting at 2.07, everything points to a busy afternoon for the referee. With over 3.5 match cards sitting at just under evens, 1.83, it looks to be a no-brainer for any Blackburn v Wrexham bet builder. Over 2.5 is also a solid option at 1.29 if you’d like to play it a little bit safer.
With Elliot Lee and Andy Cannon in the Wrexham midfield both drawing over 1.5 fouls per game (1.80 and 1.64 respectively), it is set to be a tough battle for control with Adam Wharton and Jake Garrett in the Rovers’ midfield. Wharton in particular commits 1.43 fouls per game and has already picked up five cards this season. Sitting at 4/1 to be shown a card, Wharton is a nice option for a high-odds bet builder, but those seeking a smaller boost to their odds could do much worse than backing him for one or two fouls here.
Wrexham cards and fouls stats
Mcclean not so clean
34 Year old James McClean is a well known face within the Premier League and the EFL and upon his arrival in Wrexham he has been racking up the Cards with eight already and looks to be the best option once again, as he faces up against Moran, who is Blackburn’s most fouled player. Elsewhere, Cannon has committed three or more fouls in his last three starts and one or more in his last six, could be a good angle for your Blackburn vs Wrexham Bet Builder.
Moran is the man most likely to be targeted, as highlighted above in his duel with McClean. However, Blackburn have an array of players who are drawing fouls consistently. Adam Wharton is one of those, drawing one or more foul in four of his last five appearances.
Check our Free Bets Page for the best value for money available ahead of kick-off.