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Bournemouth vs Man United Stats Pack, Bet Builder Tips and Predictions

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Bournemouth vs Man United

Calendar 13th April
Football icon kick off 17:30
Football icon Over 6.5 Bournemouth Corners
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Bournemouth average 6.29 corners per game, and have taken 8+ corners in 6 of their last 7 home league games.

United have struggled with conceding corners recently, shipping 8+ corners in 10 of their last 11 Premier League games, including to Luton, Everton and Brentford.

BTTS has landed in 11 of United’s last 13 games, with United scoring in all 13 games.

BTTS has landed in 9 of Bournemouth’s last 12 games, with the Cherries having scored in all but 1 of those 12 (v Man City).

Football icon Lloyd Kelly to Commit 1+ Fouls
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Kelly commits 1.03 fouls per game, and has committed a foul in 6 of his last 7 starts for Bournemouth.

He is up against Alejandro Garnacho, who won 2 fouls in the reverse fixture, and who wins 2.04 fouls per 90, the most of any United player.

Football icon Dango Ouattara to be fouled 1+ times
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Ouattara has won a foul in 6 of his 8 Bournemouth starts this season, and wins the second-most fouls per 90 at 1.26

His matchup is Aaron Wan-Bissaka, who commits 1.02 fouls per 90 and has committed at least one foul in 5 of his last 6 Premier League games

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An intriguing clash between Bournemouth and Man United awaits on Saturday evening, as the Red Devils seek to snap a three-game winless streak in the Premier League.

Bournemouth thrashed United 3-0 at Old Trafford back in December and with Erik ten Hag’s men struggling for personnel they will believe it is possible. They may have lost their last game 2-1 away to Luton but prior to that Andoni Iraola’s side were on a three-game winning streak, and they will be keen to get back to that if possible.

The Vitality Stadium has become a tougher test for visiting sides as the season has gone on, and the reverse fixture proves United can take nothing for granted here.

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bOURNEMOUTH vs mAN uNITED Predicted Lineups

Iraola to tweak the side after Luton defeat

A disappointing loss to Luton, surrendering a 1-0 lead late in the game means Iraola is expected make several changes here. Justin Kluivert will be holding a more central role to accommodate for the return of Dango Ouattara returning, who could start in place of Marcus Tavernier. Dominic Solanke keeps his place up top, as do Ryan Christie and Lewis Cook in central midfield. At the back, Adam Smith and Illia Zabarnyi will be the right-side, while Lloyd Kelly will shift to left back, allowing Marcos Senesi to return at centre-back, with Milos Kerkez missing out.

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Just the one change for United this time around

A fantastic 2-2 draw with Liverpool has helped the mood around Old Trafford after their shocking collapse away to Chelsea just over a week ago. Erik ten Hag has limited options at the back with Raphael Varane, Lisandro Martinez, Victor Lindelof, Luke Shaw, Tyrell Malacia and Jonny Evans all out. That means Harry Maguire, Willy Kambwala and the full back pair of Wan-Bissaka and Diogo Dalot are the only fit defenders at the club. Casemiro is expected to miss out, with Scott McTominay coming into the side. The front four should remain unchanged, with Garnacho, Marcus Rashford, Bruno Fernandes and Rasmus Hojlund all starting.

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bOURNEMOUTH vs mAN uNITED Team Stats

Fantastic value available on Bournemouth corners

The Cherries sit surprisingly high up the Premier League corner table, averaging 6.29 per game, the fifth-highest rate in the league. They have had at least eight corners in six of their last seven league games at the Vitality, hitting double figures three times, and even notching eight against title-chasing Liverpool in a 4-0 loss. United meanwhile have been shipping corners at an alarming rate in recent weeks, having conceded eight or more in 10 of their last 11 league games. Bournemouth to have six or more corners can be backed at 1.50, but the best value rests on seven or more corners at 1.95. With eight or more having landed so frequently for both sides, those seeking higher odds may well choose to back eight or more corners at 2.75 for a huge odds boost.

Team Stats 10

Expect the goals to flow here

Neither side are known for their defensive solidity, and with plenty of attacking talent on the pitch, we should expect this to be exploited by both sides. United have now scored in 13 straight Premier League games but have kept only two clean sheets in this span, both at home to Everton and West Ham. Bournemouth meanwhile have seen both sides score in nine of their last 12. They have scored in 11 of their last 12 and have kept just two clean sheets during this run, which came against low-scoring Burnley and Crystal Palace. Even at 1.33, both teams to score is worth backing here with goals looking all but inevitable.

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Bournemouth vs man United Shots and Shots on Target Stats

Nice value on Kluivert here

Bournemouth’s Dutch attacker has been in good form lately, bagging two goals in his last five league games for the Cherries. He averages the second-highest shots on target per 90 (0.84), just behind Solanke’s 0.98, and has now hit at least one shot on target in five of his last six games in all competitions. Despite this strong recent form, Justin Kluivert is still priced incredibly generously at 1.62 and is well worth a look in this one.

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Rasmus Hojlund to cause Cherries problems

Hojlund may have gone a couple of games without getting a shot on target, but there is no shame in failing to do so against Liverpool, and prior to this two-game barren run the Dane was absolutely flying, bagging at least one shot on target in seven straight league games, and having scored in six of those seven league games. He hits an incredibly efficient 0.84 shots on target from just 1.63 shots per 90. If he has a chance to shoot, you would expect him to hit the target, and so he is certainly worth backing at 1.40 to have a shot on target here.

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Bournemouth vs Man United Goals and Assists Stats

Solanke the only reasonable option here

Dominic Solanke has 16 goals and three assists in the Premier League this season for 19 total goal contributions. The next highest-contributing player expected to feature here is Justin Kluivert, who has notched just six all season (five goals and an assist). With the rest of the Cherries having such a low hit-rate, the only realistic option here is backing Solanke to score. The Englishman has slowed down somewhat, but he had five shots and bagged a goal at Old Trafford, and still has two goals in his last four games. He will fancy his chances against a battered and bruised United backline, and he can be backed to score anytime at 2.25.

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Bruno Fernandes in exceptional form lately

The Portugal international arrives for this game having hit seven goals and assists in his last eight games for club and country in what would be a great return for a striker, let alone a midfielder. Fernandes therefore looks very well placed to get in on the act in a game which threatens plenty of goals, and with United’s last four games averaging five goals between both sides, there should be a number of goals and assists to go round here. Fernandes has had a shot on target in six of his last seven league games and has created six or more shots from passes in eight of his last 10 in the league. He can be backed to score or assist at 2.20.

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bournemouth Cards and Fouls Stats

Great value available on Lloyd Kelly

Though low on the list of Bournemouth foulers, Kelly still averages over a foul per game, at 1.03 fouls committed per 90. Kelly has committed at least one foul in six of his last seven starts for the Cherries and is in for a tough test here. He will be back at left back, and up against one of the best foul-winners in the league, Alejandro Garnacho. The Argentine draws more fouls than any other United player at 2.04 per 90 and won a foul from Adam Smith when playing down the left in the reverse fixture at Old Trafford back in December. Kelly therefore looks to offer fantastic value, available at 1.73 to commit one foul or more here.

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Rasmus Hojlund looks likely to win fouls here

The Danish striker played just 35 minutes of the reverse fixture, but that was already enough to win a foul. Averaging 1.32 fouls won per 90, the second-highest in the United side, Hojlund is always a threat in this market, but up against Marcos Senesi (1.73 fouls per 90) and Illia Zabarnyi (0.71), he is extremely likely to win a foul here, not least with Senesi having committed two or more fouls in six of his last seven Bournemouth starts. Hojlund has won a foul in nine of his last 12 Premier League starts and can be backed to win at least one here at 1.25.

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Man United Cards and Fouls Stats

Kobbie Mainoo worth a look here

Mainoo sits just outside the top-five for fouls for United, but he is certainly worth considering here. The youngster commits 0.86 fouls per 90 for the Red Devils and has committed fouls in three of his last five United starts. However, it is not Mainoo’s record that makes this bet so appealing, it is his matchups. He will be tasked with dealing with both Dango Ouattara and Ryan Christie, who draw the first and third-most fouls of any Bournemouth players at 1.26 and 1.25 fouls per 90 respectively. With two and a half fouls won per game between them, it seems unlikely that Mainoo will not commit at least one foul here, so backing him to commit one at 1.44 looks a very solid play.

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Dango Ouattara is near-guaranteed to win a foul when starting

Ouattara may not have started many games for Bournemouth this season, with just eight under his belt in all competitions, however, his record when starting is impressive, having won at least one foul in six of eight. Ouattara has won a foul in three of his last four games for the Cherries, despite starting only two of them, winning fouls against Luton and Everton in just 17 and 32-minute cameos. He will be up against Aaron Wan-Bissaka who commits the fifth-most fouls of any United player at 1.02 per 90 and has now committed a foul in five of his last six Premier League games. Ouattara can be backed to win a foul at 1.36. 

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