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Brighton vs Grimsby Town Bet Builder Stats Pack

Brighton vs Grimsby Town Bet Builder Stats Pack Featured Image

Premier League Brighton host League Two Grimsby Town in the Quarter Finals of the FA Cup. Grimsby’s place in the cup is the story of the tournament. They’re the first team ever to knock out five teams from a higher division in a single campaign. They famously beat Southampton in the last leg with two penalties converted by Gavan Holohan, but travelling to their neighbours Brighton could be a huge step up given they’re 76 places above them in the English Leagues.

I’ve compiled as many of the stats I could for both sides, admittedly harder to find for League Two, so you can pick a winning bet builder. If you’re not 100% sure on how to use the data, be sure to check out my Stats Pack Guide.

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Lineups

Robert Sanchez will return in between the sticks for Brighton. He has recently been usurped by Jason Steele as the #1 GK in the Premier League but the manager confirmed the Spaniard gets the start here. There could also be some changes with the likes of Van Hecke, Gilmour and Sarmiento getting some game time. Promising youngster Evan Ferguson will probably be given another FA Cup start upfront. Wing back Tariq Lamptey is ruled out injured.

Brighton Stats Pack TW lineup

Grimsby strikers George Lloyd and Mikey O’Neill are both cup tied along with midfielder Stephen Warne. Grimsby are otherwise in fairly healthy condition. The Mariners have been mixing up their formations and tactics this season, but since the turn of the year seem to be employing a 3-4-3 style more often than not. That was how they approached the last 16 tie vs Southampton and they are expected to try the same tactic here at the Amex Stadium. 

Grimsby Stats Pack

Team Stats

Brighton average 1.84 goals per game and 1.24 against. These numbers correlate very closely to their xG and xGA metrics. The Seagulls only average 9.20 shots against per game and exactly 3 SOT which has massively aided their cause. 

It is noticeable how many corners Brighton have obtained per match (6.08). They have only conceded 3.68 in each fixture which is a significant difference in numbers. De Zerbi’s men have been well disciplined this season only racking up 1.32 cards in each game but managed to draw 2.44 from their opponents.

18 03 2023 BRIGHTON betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS

Grimsby average 1.09 goals per game and 1.21 against. They have fired in 12 shots per game and just 10.85 against. It is noticeable that their SOT against ratio is quite decent at 3.59. They only conceded three shots on target vs Southampton in the previous round. Cards have been middling in Grimsby games with 1.76 for and 1.59 against. These stats are from League 2 football though.

18 03 2023 GRIMSBY TOWN betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS

Player Shots and Shots on Target

Striker Evan Ferguson averages a hefty 3.28 shots per 90 mins with an impressive 1.74 SOT. Mitoma is one of the most talked about players this season but is fairly selective with his attempts, averaging just 1.63 shots per 90 mins and roughly one SOT. Both Solly March and Sarmiento are two others to look at in this market.

18 03 2023 BRIGHTON betbuilder stats pack SHOOTING
18 03 2023 GRIMSBY TOWN betbuilder stats pack SHOOTING

The man who scored a brace to put Grimsby into the FA Cup quarter final Gavan Holohan averages 1.57 shots per 90 mins and might feel confident enough to try his luck at least one here. McAtee and Orsi-Dadomo both average over 3 shots per 90 min but this will be much tougher for them vs Premier League opposition. Grimsby only attempted four shots in the last round and are unlikely to pepper the Brighton goal too much.

Player Goals and Assists

Solly March is now the joint leading scorer for Brighton with 7 goals, along with Alexis McAllister. Pascal Gross and Mitoma have six goals each and the assists are generally spread around evenly with March and Gross leading the way with four each. Young striker Evan Ferguson is one to watch with 3 goals and 2 assists but from more limited minutes.

18 03 2023 BRIGHTON betbuilder stats pack GOALSCORING

Clifton is the top Grimsby scorer with 6 goals. McAtee and Holohan have two goals each and the former also has four assists. Another notable mention goes to Lloyd who has chipped in with a few goals and assists this season.

18 03 2023 GRIMSBY TOWN betbuilder stats pack GOALSCORING

Player Passing

Brighton average nearly 60% possession and that figure should surely rise even more in a fixture like this one. The centre back duo of Dunk and Webster average 79.4 and 69.5 passes per 90 mins respectively and are the most likely to rack up the numbers here. 

18 03 2023 BRIGHTON betbuilder stats pack PASSING

There are no passing numbers for Grimsby at League 2 level.

Brighton Cards

The Seagulls are generally a clean team, but midfield enforcer Moises Caicedo stands out as a key man to watch in this category. He averages 2.03 fouls per 90 mins and obtained 8 cards. The next highest foul average is from right winger Solly March who will press from the front and likely give away a couple of cheap free kicks. Both full backs Estupinian and Veltman stand out in this category as well. They get far enough forward to give away fouls in less dangerous areas.

18 03 2023 BRIGHTON betbuilder stats pack CARDS FOR

Players who could maybe cause Brighton some problems are out wide Efete and Driscoll-Glennon. Of the attacking players Harry Clifton gets fouled the most. Brighton will have to give midfielder Holohan some respect after his performance vs Southampton in the previous round.

18 03 2023 GRIMSBY TOWN betbuilder stats pack CARDS DRAWN

Match ups to watch:

Moises Caicedo vs Gavan Holohan

Pervis Estupinian vs Michee Efete

Joel Veltman vs Anthony Driscoll-Glennon

Grimsby Cards

Three starters who might find their way into the referee’s book here are Driscoll-Glennon, Waterfall and Clifton. The former could be potentially up against Sarmiento who will definitely cause grief with his high dribbling rates. Waterfall will hope to dry up Evan Ferguson, whilst Clifton will press from the front and probably have a few clashes with Joel Veltman.

18 03 2023 GRIMSBY TOWN betbuilder stats pack CARDS FOR

Two elusive players to watch out for in this match are Jeremy Sarmiento and Alexis Mc Allister. Both also have high dribbling rates and Sarmiento could especially be a big problem in a game like this vs League 2 opponents. Right back Joel Veltman is fouled at a decent rate (1.52) and knows how to win a free kick.

18 03 2023 BRIGHTON betbuilder stats pack CARDS DRAWN 1

Match ups to watch:

Anthony Driscoll-Glennon vs Jeremy Sarmiento

Luke Waterfall vs Evan Ferguson

Harry Clifton vs Joel Veltman

My Bet Builder Picks of the Pack

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Looking through the pack, there’s a few bet builder selections that caught my eye at 10/1. There’s always room for an upset in the league, but I’m backing a Brighton walkover here.

Bet of the Day
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Brighton vs Grimsby Town

Calendar 19th March
Football icon kick off 14:15
Football icon Evan Ferguson to score or assist
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Evan Ferguson has 3 goals and 2 assists in just 466 minutes this season. That’s a goal contribution every 93.2 minutes in the Premier League.

Ferguson scored in the last round against Stoke.

Football icon Over 2.5 Goals
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Brighton games average 3.08 goals.

Grimsby games average 2.30 goals.

Brighton games in the FA Cup this season have averages 3.00 goals.

Grimsby games in the FA Cup have averaged 3.33 goals.

Football icon Brighton Over 6.5 corners
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Brighton earn an average of 6.08 corners per game.

This increases to 7.31 at the AMEX.

Football icon Anthony Driscoll-Glennon to be shown a card
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Driscoll-Glennon has received 7 cards this season in League Two.

He commits 0.92 fouls p/90.

Possibly up against Jeremy Sarmiento, and Joel Veltman or Tariq Lamptey.

They draw an average of 2.00, 1.52, and 2.80 fouls p/90 respectively.

Stake £10
Potential Returns £113
load my picks at 10/1 Arrow right
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