Revenge is likely to be top of Brighton’s list as they host Man United at the Amex Stadium. These two teams met at Wembley recently where United progressed to the FA Cup final on penalties. Brighton have since bounced back well with an emphatic 6-0 victory vs Wolves and are strongly in the hunt for Europe. Man United only have the 5th best away record in the Premier League and will be eager to secure themselves a top four finish.
For any and all of your Brighton vs Man United bet builder selections, you can use the data provided in this stats pack to assist you. This Stats Pack Guide should also help you make the best use of the stats for goals, shots, corners, passes, cards, and fouls.
Before you get started, make sure to unlock your £30 in free bets. Just sign up to Betfair today to claim them.
Brighton vs Man United Confirmed Lineups
Key trio set to return, including Mitoma
Adam Lallana, Joel Veltman, Evan Ferguson are all doubtful to feature for Brighton. The manager rested some key players at the weekend such as MacAllister, Mitoma and Caicedo. All three are set to return to the starting XI here. If Veltman is not fit enough to play, then Pascal Gross will probably fill in at right back. Brighton did just win 6-0 and several players impressed such as Billy Gilmour, so the XI is certainly not set in stone.
Luke Shaw still preferred over Harry Maguire
Raphael Varane is still a confirmed absence for Man United along with Scott McTominay and Alejandro Garnacho. The likes of Lisandro Martinez and Tom Heaton are long term absences. Erik ten Hag is likely to prefer Luke Shaw partnering Lindelof at centre back because he still doesn’t trust Harry Maguire enough. Wout Weghorst is unlikely to start for the visitors here with Rashford preferred upfront and Sancho cutting in from the left wing.
Brighton vs Man United Team Stats
Strong underlying metrics for Brighton
Brighton average a whopping 1.97 goals for and 1.29 against. These numbers are very much in line with their underlying metrics and the south coast outfit are a legitimately strong team. They fire in plenty of shots (15.77) and average just three SOT against in each fixture.
Brighton have racked up a high average number of corners in each game (6.29) and just 3.52 against. They’ve been a well-disciplined side this season picking up a low number of cards and generally drawing several from their opponents.
Shots on target & corners plentiful for United
Man Utd average 1.53 goals per game and 1.22 goals against. Their xG and xGA figures have correlated quite well. Man United only average 14.69 shots per match which is lower than some other big teams around Europe but have a strong SOT rate of 5.22. For your Man United bet builder then consider SOT overs because they do hit the target quite often.
Corners are on the high side in Man United fixtures. They average 4.94 per game themselves, a number which has been increasing throughout the season. The Red Devils have conceded 5.50 corners on average at the other end. In terms of discipline, they have not been lacking for cards, obtaining 2.16 in each fixture and drawing only 1.25 from the opposition.
Brighton vs Man United Shots and Shots on Target Stats
Expect Welbeck to fire in some attempts
Danny Welbeck is projected to start upfront, and you can expect him to fire in plenty of shots here, especially against one of his former clubs. The trio of March, MacAllister and Mitoma all can all be expected to pepper the target at least a couple of times and most likely test the goalkeeper. MacAllister is particularly worth looking at as he is on penalty duty.
Rashford the main man up front
Marcus Rashford could play upfront here which makes adding his shots or SOTs an appealing option to your Man United bet builder. He averages 3.06 shots per 90 mins with nearly half of those testing the keeper. Antony is another shooting machine (3.41) although slightly less reliable for accuracy. Jaydon Sancho is less of a shooter (1.16), but Bruno Fernandes does like to try his luck more often.
Brighton vs Man United Goals and Assists Stats
Gross and March are a dual threat option
Brighton have scored a lot of goals this season which have been shared out amongst the whole team. Gross and MacAllister lead the charts here but there are several others to consider. Because Gross and March offer more of a playmaking option then taking either of them to score or assist to your Brighton bet builder could be worth some consideration.
Fernandes technical quality should be considered
Marcus Rashford is again the clear standout player and leads the scoring charts for United. He is the obvious main danger because the inverted wingers Sancho and Anthony don’t offer enough of a consistent and reliable threat. The visitors may need to show their technical quality here so Bruno Fernandes to score or assist could be a value piece to add to your Man United bet builder.
Brighton vs Man United Passing Stats
Dunk and Webster worth looking at for pass-hungry Brighton
Brighton average over 60% possession and their usual style is to dominate the ball. Lewis Dunk averages over 80 passes per 90 mins and along with Adam Webster are probably the most reliable options to last the full match. With other players such as Gross or Caicedo, a lot depends on the position they adopt, especially with the former.
Potential lack of possession for the visitors
Man United average nearly 54% possession but could be overshadowed by Brighton in this department and are more likely to try and counter-attack on the break. In the FA Cup semi-final they allowed Brighton to have 61% of the ball so it would probably be unwise to look at any United players in the passing markets.
Brighton Cards and Fouls Stats
Potential lack of possession for the visitors
Man United average nearly 54% possession but could be overshadowed by Brighton in this department and are more likely to try and counter-attack on the break. In the FA Cup semi-final they allowed Brighton to have 61% of the ball so it would probably be unwise to look at any United players in the passing markets.
The highest dribbler on the list for Man United is Antony, who is worth watching out for due to his back of tricks and high levels of agility. He looks like a matchup nightmare right now and in fairly good form. Both Sancho and Rashford are also of a similar ilk and represent a significant challenge to the Brighton defence.
Brighton vs Man United key matchups
Moises Caicedo vs Bruno Fernandes
Pervis Estupinian vs Antony
Alexis MacAllister vs Casemiro
Man United Cards and Fouls Stats
Casemiro and Dalot could come under considerable pressure
Casemiro is always a candidate for fouls and cards. He will happily accept a tactical or cynical foul to benefit the team. Luke Shaw is likely playing centre back so might not be as prone to producing fouls here. Bruno Fernandes is not always the great timer of a tackle and is maybe worth considering adding for at least one foul to your Man United bet builder.
Several Brighton players will cause United issues. In midfield Alexis MacAllister and Caicedo will keep the likes of Casemiro busy, whilst out wide March, Veltman & Estupinian are regularly fouled. Considering Wan-Bissaka is so good one on one then Brighton may well target the right hand side, so Dalot especially looks likely to come under pressure from Solly March.
Brighton vs Man United key matchups
Casemiro vs Alexis MacAllister
Diogo Dalot vs Solly March
Bruno Fernandes vs Moises Caicedo
Brighton vs Man United Bet Builder Tips and Picks of the Pack
The stats pack should have guided you by now to a few Brighton vs Man United bet builder selections, but here’s a few extra to get you started. You can load it as a bet builder below.
If you’re placing a bet, do remember to make use of all the latest sign up offers and free bets on my website here.
Brighton vs Man United
4th May
kick off 20:00 Antony to commit 1+ fouls
Antony commits 0.75 fouls p/90.
He’s committed 8 fouls in his last 8 appearances.
Pervis Estupinan draws 0.95 fouls p/90.
Antony committed 2 fouls in the FA Cup meeting in April.
Kaoru Mitoma to commit 1+ foulsKaoru Mitoma commits 1.08 fouls p/90.
He’s committed 13 fouls in his last 7 games – a rate of 1.94 fouls p/90.
He committed 3 fouls in the FA Cup match last month.
Marcus Rashford to have 1+ shot on targetMarcus Rashford averages 1.44 shots on target p/90, from 3.06 attempts.
He has had 6 shots on target in his last 3 games, and managed 1 on target from 2 attempts last time out vs Brighton.
Brighton over 5.5 cornersBrighton average 6.29 corners per game.
This increases to a huge 7.40 at home.
United concede an average of 5.50 corners per game.
Brighton managed 8 corners at Wembley.
Man United over 1.5 cardsMan United average 2.16 cards per game.
Brighton opposition average 2.29 cards per game.
In their meetings with Brighton this season, United have received 3 and 4 yellow cards respectively.
