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Erik ten Hag breathed a huge sign of relief after securing a late win away against Fulham at the weekend, but he remains the bookmakers’ favourite to be next manager out of a job in the Premier League. The noose around his neck has only been loosened a little and another poor result in Copenhagen would immediately apply huge pressure. United were fortunate to beat the Danes 1-0 in the reverse fixture with Andre Onana saving a late penalty.
There is everything to play for in this group and the hosts themselves desperately need three points to get back into qualification contention. Everything is set up for a special night at Parken Stadium, which as usual will be absolutely buzzing.
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Copenhagen vs Man United Predicted Lineups
Elyounoussi injury means Jordan Larsson can make amends
William Clem and Davit Khocholava remain out long term for the Danes. Attacker Mohamed Elyounoussi is doubtful after missing recent games with an injury, whilst left back Birger Melling is sidelined. FC Copenhagen are expected to lineup in a 4-3-3 formation and should field a similar XI to the one that took to the field at Old Trafford. Jordan Larsson is expected to be in from the start this time and will be eager to make amends for his penalty miss.
Varane to bolster the United backline
The Red Devils have been dealt a boost by the news that Raphael Varane should be fit enough to start this game. He came on briefly at the weekend as a late substitute and his presence at the back will be hugely welcome. However, the injury to key midfielder Casemiro continues to be a real blow. It looks like Scott McTominay and Christian Eriksen will start in midfield for this fixture. Erik ten Hag must decide what to do with out-of-form winger Antony and whether Marcus Rashford is fit enough to come back into the team. Alejandro Garnacho and Facundo Pellistri are predicted to start out wide.
Copenhagen vs Man United Team Stats
Decent accuracy from the Danes
The Danish champions have some impressive metrics but let’s remember most of these stats are from their own domestic league so are padded up to a degree. They clearly possess a strong offensive threat and one stat that is noticeable is how accurate they are with their shots at 7.50 on target per game. Corners have been high in FC Copenhagen matches at an average of 12.33. Cards have been low, but the Danish Superliga is a different animal compared to the UEFA Champions League.
Look to corners in United games
Man United have only averaged 1.09 goals per 90 but their xG figure is 1.39. They have underachieved in front of goal with the likes of Rasmus Hojlund and Marcus Rashford being especially guilty. Their defence has not been reliable and will have to stand up in the Copenhagen cauldron. They aren’t helped by the fact that they’ve conceded over 14 shots per 90 minutes. Corners and cards have been really high in their games with corners averaging an outrageous 13.19.
Copenhagen vs Man United Shots and Shots on Target Stats
Larsson likely to try his luck
Diogo Goncalves, Jordan Larsson and Elias Achouri look the best value in the shots market for the hosts. The first two especially average over two shots per 90 and will probably try their luck if given the opportunity. Jordan Larsson can be backed at 1.50 to have two or more shots and Goncalves at 1.67. Either could be an option to add to your Copenhagen vs Man United bet builder.
Garnacho to fire regularly?
The data is a bit skewed because two predicted starters, Garnacho and Pellistri, often come off the bench. Garnacho is prone to getting shots off and can be backed at 1.62 to have three or more. Bruno Fernandes and Antony are also regular shooters of the ball, but neither can be relied on for accuracy. Scott McTominay has arguably looked the most likely goal source of late and has been accurate, evidenced by him averaging 1.26 shots on target per 90.
Copenhagen vs Man United Goals and Assists Stats
Goncalves again the biggest threat
Portuguese attacker Diogo Goncalves leads the hosts’ scoring charts with six and is their biggest goal threat. He can be backed at 3.75 to score anytime which is a big price to add to any bet builder.
Fernandes to build on winning goal?
Scott McTominay can be backed at 6.50 to score anytime at Parken, which is a price that will surely tempt many to back as a single. The Scotland international has been in great form and had a goal marginally disallowed at the weekend vs Fulham. Bruno Fernandes has delivered a combined five goals and assists this season and can be backed in the ‘to score or assist’ market at 2.10. He might be the best option to add to your Man United bet builder.
Copenhagen Cards and Fouls Stats
Jelert to come under fire
The Danes average 1.86 cards per game which is not particularly high. Attacker Jordan Larsson is a pressing attacker and has a high foul count (2.17 per 90) in addition to picking up several cards. Central defender Kevin Diks is another contender for a card although is less prone to fouling. Larsson is a massive 5.0 to be carded which could be worth considering for a longer odds Copenhagen bet builder.
The big threat to FC Copenhagen should come out wide, with whoever United start there. The duo of Pellistri and Garnacho have high dribbling rates and are fouled regularly. Brazilian trickster Antony is out of form and may drop to the bench, but if he comes on he’s still very capable of winning fouls. Both Copenhagen full backs will be strongly tested in a game like this, especially Elias Jelert who leads their card count. He is 1.50 to commit one or more fouls and 3.0 to be carded.
Man United Cards and Fouls Stats
Wingers wired to force pressure
The visitors average 2.36 cards per 90 but one of their dirtiest players is injured (Casemiro). The mantle of primary aggressor might fall to Bruno Fernandes who is never far from threatening the referee’s book. He is 3.75 to be carded and that could be generous in an away match. Newcomers into the team Garnacho and Pellistri could be worth watching for fouls. Both might be over-eager and can get away with giving away some cheap free kicks. Pellistri is 1.40 to give away one or more fouls which looks a generous price.
FC Copenhagen have drawn less than two cards per match from their opponents. Midfielder Rasmus Falk has drawn a significant number of fouls, and therefore could challenge Fernandes and McTominay in the middle of the park for United.
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