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England welcome Malta to Wembley Stadium in a match which has relatively little implications on the group table. England are assured of their place at Euro 2024 and because of their excellent head to head record vs Italy and Ukraine they will top the group.
The Three Lions have a strong habit of regularly beating clearly inferior opposition such as Malta though, so the Mediterranean visitors could be in for a rough ride. The Maltese have yet to pick up a single group point and only scored two goals in this qualification campaign.
In European qualifiers we often see significant mismatches in team quality, however this can bring up good value, something our stats pack guide and written guidance will help you exploit.
England VS Malta PREDICTED LINEUPS
Trippier to fill in at left back
With nothing really on the line then the England lineup is difficult to predict during this international window. Gareth Southgate will probably rotate around his bunch of stars, aware that management of minutes is key. One glaring hole England have is at left back where Kieran Trippier should feature. The centre back pairing could be Harry Maguire and Marc Guehi for this fixture, with Trent Alexander-Arnold staying in the midfield slot.
Teddy Teuma making welcome return
Malta should lineup in a 3-4-1-2 system and welcome back two key players Teddy Teuma and Jodi Jones. Both missed the October internationals with Teuma especially a key reinforcement. Malta could easily revert to 5-3-2 type of system without the ball, and they know they will be under significant pressure throughout the whole contest. They will try to retain some sort of counter attacking threat with Mbong and Jones in attack.
England vs Malta team stats
Three Lions dominant
The home side have totally bossed this qualification campaign and only dropped points against Ukraine. They average an astounding 3.40 goals per game and just 0.40 against. England’s metrics are excellent at both ends of the field and on average they’ve conceded just one Shot on Target per game! For a team that has dominated so much then their corner count is very low (4.20), and this is something to watch out for. Cards have also been low in England games and they are well disciplined under Gareth Southgate.
Malta’s miserable metrics
Malta’s stats and metrics make for woeful reading. They have scored just two goals in this entire qualifying campaign and average a measly 1.70 Shot on Target per match. It’s quite feasible they leave Wembley without testing the England keeper. Corners and cards have also been low in Malta fixtures. Despite being regularly dominated they’ve only conceded 5.50 corners per game. The Maltese have maintained their discipline by only picking up two cards on average.
England vs Malta Players to Watch
Trent to find the target
In the reverse fixture Trent Alexander- Arnold enjoyed himself immensely when used in the England midfield role. He netted an excellent goal and caused all sorts of problems. He should be able to pull the string from this sort of spot again. Trent looks a big price at 1.44 just to have one or more shots on target and can be backed at 4.50 to score at anytime. Value is hard to find in this game on England players, but this could be a standout.
Kane machine not slowing up
Harry Kane is in the mixer to be the highest scorer in World football for 2023 along with Erling Haaland and Cristiano Ronaldo. He has been a machine for Bayern Munich this season and if given the chances then he should take Malta to the cleaners. Kane is a measly 1.17 to score but can be backed at 1.91 to net two or more goals which should be within his range. Quite how long he stays on the field is another matter, but Kane will be motivated to keep his goalscoring streak going.
Phil to fire?
England have been waiting on their generational talent Phil Foden to totally lock down a starting spot in this team. Foden is a dual threat and capable of scoring or supplying assists. If he plays in the #10 role vs Malta then the world is his oyster against such a poor team, Foden can be backed at 2.10 to score anytime which is a decent price for a man who will be eager to catch the eye. For those who prefer to play it safer then the Man City star is 1.40 to score or assist.
Hot spot Harry aerial threat
Harry Maguire has scored seven international goals for England and is always a big threat from set pieces. He is the first man to look out for from this sort of situation. The standout selection could be for Maguire to have one or more shots at 1.30. For those who or more adventurous then 2.50 on the former Man United man to hit the target might also be tempting. He is sure to be a threat in the air though for sure.
Teddy to bare his teeth?
The best player in this Maltese squad, certainly from a technical point of view is Reims midfielder Teddy Teuma. He missed the last international window due to injury but should return to the XI here. Teuma averages 1.50 shots per game in Ligue 1 and has netted Four goals this season. He might be on set pieces as well, so the 2.80 that he has one or more shots could be tempting. Malta will not have many shots in this game, but he looks like a possible candidate.
Mbong on song?
In their most recent Euro 2024 qualifying match Paul Mbong stunned everyone by putting Malta into a 1-0 lead vs Ukraine. If the visitors found the back of the net at Wembley it would be something worth celebrating and Mbong is a massive 35/1 to score anytime in North London. He is 8/1 to have a shot on target and 3.40 just to fire in a single attempt. Can lightening strike twice? There will be those who are willing to pay to find out.
Malta vs England matchups to watch
Paul Mbong vs Harry Maguire
Malta striker Paul Mbong averages 1.80 fouls per 90 mins and might get over-enthusiastic in this game giving away some cheap fouls. Harry Maguire is 1.91 to be fouled which is very possible if Malta do have moments of pressure. Maguire himself might be targeted by Malta if they consider him the weak link of the England defence.
Enrico Pepe vs Harry Kane
Veteran Malta defender Enrico Pepe averages two fouls per match in this qualifying campaign and will be put to the test against this England attack. He is 3.40 to be carded although this isn’t a match which is expected to be particularly dirty or bad blooded. Harry Kane is 1.91 to be fouled twice or more and the England captain is a very canny operator knowing how to win cheap free kicks.
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