While Goodison Park have already warmed to new boss Sean Dyche, Tottenham’s travelling support will hope that new interim manager Cristian Stellini can welcome them with a much needed away win in his first game as the Spurs head coach. It’s a must win game for both sides to push on with their objectives for the campaign – avoiding the drop and breaking into the top 4 respectively.
With the stats pack below, you should be able to achieve your goals this Monday night, with a juicy bet builder winner. With the data for goals, shots, corners, passes, cards, and fouls, from the two sides’ campaigns so far, you should be able to pick some value selections. Use that alongside my Bet Builder Stats Pack Betting Guide and you could be on for a much better chance of success.
Predicted Lineups
Sean Dyche has all but certified his starting team and formation. He’ll unlikely revert to any other team than his favoured 4-1-4-1 that has allowed more defensive resilience and led his side to 2 wins and 1 draw against London sides (vs Arsenal, Brentford and Chelsea).
Demarai Gray should keep his spot up top, despite substitute Ellis Simms coming off the bench to salvage a late equaliser at Stamford Bridge. The middle of the pitch will no doubt see the trio of Amadou Onana, Abdoulay Doucoure, and Idrissa Gueye, while Ben Godfrey is likely chosen over Vitaliy Mykolenko.
New manager Cristian Stellini could ring the changes, although with injuries to Rodrigo Bentancur and Yves Bissouma, the middle two of Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg and Oliver Skipp is unlikely to change.
Son, Kane, and Kulusevski should be the front three, with former Everton man Richarlison a doubt. Given injuries to Emerson Royal and Ryan Sessegnon, Pedro Porro should keep his place despite his shocker against Southampton.
Team Stats
The Toffees are unbeaten in their last 3, including their 1-0 win over Brentford and 2-2 draw against Chelsea. Given their performances against London teams under Dyche, 3.50 for an Everton win may provide some value.
They’ve become much more defensively robust under the new boss, and have conceded just twice at Goodison Park since his arrival: 1-0 vs Arsenal, 1-0 vs Leeds, 0-2 vs Villa, 1-0 vs Brentford.
It’s so hard to predict which Tottenham performance shows up, and their away form is questionable. February was a prime example, impressive home wins over Manchester City and Chelsea with a 4-1 drubbing away to relegation candidates Leicester sandwiched in between.
Matches under Stellini follow the same trend as he covered for Antonio Conte’s suspension and gall bladder surgery. From leading them to clean sheet wins at home to Man City, West Ham, and Chelsea, to then losing away to Sheffield United and Wolves.
Player Shots and Shots on Target
Being deployed as the out and out striker for the hosts, Demarai Gray may represent some value at 1.67 for a shot on target if he starts. He’s managed 8 shots and 4 shots on target in his last 5 matches.
Elsewhere, shot accuracy is pretty shoddy, with Dwight McNeil for example getting just 19% of his 1.46 shots p/90 on target. He has registered at least 2 attempts in 5 of his last 6 though and is 1.76 to do so tonight.
The dynamic duo of Harry Kane and Son Heung-Min seem to single-handedly keep Tottenham in the European places. They combine for 6.20 attempts and 2.77 on target per 90 minutes of action.
Player Goals and Assists
Abdoulay Doucoure’s has been involved in all of Everton’s last 4 goals, with his total tally for the season of 2 goals and 2 assists all coming in his last 3 games (vs Chelsea, Brentford, and Nottingham Forest). He’s priced at 4.50 to score or assist tonight.
Harry Kane’s goal scoring this season has been overshadowed by Erling Haaland, but he is still on track to at least match his personal record for 29 Premier League goals in a season. He’s broken his club and international team records so no doubt will want to add this personal accolade to his season.
Son Heung-Min has struggled to get anywhere near his Golden Boot winning tally from last season, with 5 of his 6 goals this season coming as a substitute.
Player Passing
Sean Dyche’s teams have never been possession based, and he’s more than comfortable in letting opponents have the ball and trusting in his defence. Everton have averaged just 43.90% possession and I don’t expect them to receive too much more of the ball against Spurs. Idrissa Gueye and James Tarkowski are your best options though if you fancy them to change tact.
Of the predicted starters, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Clement Lenglet, Eric Dier, and Cristian Romero will fancy their chances of breaking 50+ passes. Hojbjerg has broken that mark in all of his last 7 appearances, pushing past the 70 mark in 3 of those.
Everton Cards and Fouls
Amadou Onana is a great bet for fouls, committing 1.79 fouls p/90. Betfair have him in a tempting looking boost to 3.50 to commit 1+ fouls and Harry Kane 2+ shots on target which I’ve got on my Live Tips Page. The Belgian midfielder has received 7 cards so far this season.
Abdoulay Doucoure is also a nice looking option for a card or a foul, priced at 1.36 for 1+ fouls, and 3.10 to receive a card.
Pedro Porro will hope to make amends for his performance at Southampton, and no doubt will make runs down the right to trouble Ben Godfrey. He draws in 1.89 fouls p/90 and attempts 5.41 dribbles.
Harry Kane will also hope to cause some troubles for James Tarkowski, who despite committing 1.18 fouls p/90 is priced at 1.44 to commit just one tonight.
Match-ups to watch:
James Tarkowski vs Harry Kane
Amadou Onana vs Oliver Skipp
Abdoulay Doucoure vs Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg
Tottenham Cards and Fouls
No player on the pitch has received more cards this season than Cristian Romero, and having to cover Demarai Gray and Dwight McNeil should be an interesting watch.
Oliver Skipp’s card record is the one to watch out for though, having received 5 cards in just 13 appearance this season. He’s 3.75 to receive one tonight.
Skipp will have his work cut out with the likes of Idrissa Gueye and Amadou Onana drawing a combined 3.75 fouls p/90. If that wasn’t enough, Demarai Gray will drop back on occasion and draw an extra 1.56 fouls p/90.
Match-ups to watch:
Oliver Skipp vs Amadou Onana
Cristian Romero vs Demarai Gray
Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg vs Idrissa Gueye
My Bet Builder Picks of the Pack
If I say so myself, there’s some great value in this game. There’s some stand out selections that I will be posting as a bet builder tonight when lineups are out. Check back then on my Live Football Tips page.
Everton vs Tottenham
3rd April
kick off 20:00 Player to have 2+ shots
Check back at 7pm
Player to to commit 1+ foulsCheck back at 7pm
Player to commit 1+ foulsCheck back at 7pm
Player to commit 2+ foulsCheck back at 7pm.
