Rome’s Stadio Olimpico will host the Coppa Italia final between Inter Milan and Fiorentina as both sides look to keep a cup double alive ahead of European finals.
Inter have had to do things the hard way in order to reach their finals, beating Italy’s biggest and best over two legs in Champions League and Coppa Italia semi-finals, AC Milan and Juventus put to the sword. Fiorentina may be languishing in mid-table but they saw off Cremonese over two legs to reach this final while also preparing for their Europa Conference League final in June after beating FC Basel.
This should be a highly competitive final between two sides whose form has been excellent over recent months. It’s a game that deserves a stats pack and we’ve obliged, providing you with all the information you require ahead of the game to create your own Fiorentina vs Inter bet builder. You can learn more via our stats pack guide here.
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fiorentina vs inter PREDICTED LINEUPS
Fiorentina looking to revert to their strongest XI
Vincenzo Italiano made wholesale changes ahead of this one, unsurprisingly given his team are no longer playing for anything in the league. Igor did start that game and he is likely to be the only remaining outfielder from that 1-1 draw as they revert to an XI largely similar to the one that saw off FC Basel in extra time last Thursday.
Inter to bring back big guns for final
Inzaghi made a number of changes for their 3-1 defeat at champions Napoli at the weekend in preparation for this final as they look to retain their Coppa Italia winners trophy. Andre Onana, Nicolo Barella and Alessandro Bastoni, the latter two being taken off before the hour mark in that game, are the only players likely to remain as the likes of Lautaro Martinez, Marcelo Brozovic and Francesco Acerbi return.
Fiorentina vs Inter TEAM STATS
High numbers but little reward for Fiorentina
Despite their mid-table position, Fiorentina rank amongst the best in the division for most shots and corners taken and conceded, suggesting they get into the right areas on a regular basis. That has been shown in cup competitions where they have had over 20 shots in two of their four matches. However, they don’t rank in the top six for xG or xGA despite those numbers and their frustration has led to the Viola collecting cards like they’re going out of fashion.
Inter create chances at will
Inter Milan have reached the heights they have because they’re very good going forward. They have the best xG in Serie A, second most goals, the most shots and second most on target. They have also had the third most corners and drawn the sixth most cards – comfortably over two per game on average. However, it’s their defence that has got them through the Coppa Italia thanks to a draw and three victories by the odd goal against tough competition. Their xG against is under one per game.
Fiorentina vs Inter SHOTS AND SHOTS ON TARGET STATS
Gonzalez hoping to strike gold for Fiorentina
Nicolas Gonzalez is doing his utmost to improve Fiorentina’s fortunes in front of goal – the winger has had three or more shots in eight of his last ten matches and a shot on target in nine of 12 since the international break. While his fellow forwards are taking aim, midfielder Gaetano Castrovilli is looking to make a name for himself, having at least one shot in his last eight matches and two or more in his last five.
Dimarco taking a chance for Inter
As you would anticipate, it’s Edin Dzeko and Lautaro Martinez that lead the way when it comes to trying to score for Inter – their average numbers are fantastic. However, dropping in and out of the starting XI hasn’t helped Martinez, though Dzeko has had a shot on target in his last three matches. Left-wing-back Federico Dimarco is trying to step up, having two or more shots in six of his last nine starts and if you want to add him to your Inter vs Fiorentina bet builder, he’s available at evens to match that again.
fiorentina vs inter GOALS AND ASSISTS STATS
Fiorentina backing Arthur Cabral to lead the line
Fiorentina’s passage to the final was secured with a 2-0 over Cremonese when striker Arthur Cabral and forward Nicolas Gonzalez found the net. Arthur is the man leading the line for Fiorentina and has been in good form since a brace against Braga in the Europa Conference League round of 32 – he has 11 in his last 20 matches. Gonzalez, meanwhile, scored a brace of his own in the semi-final win against Basel last week and has 13 in all competitions.
Dzeko goal drought over for Inter
Edin Dzeko is still doing it on the biggest stage and recently ended a three-month goal drought with a double against Hellas Verona before a goal in the Champions League semi-final against big rivals AC Milan. Droughts have been less of an issue for strike partner Martinez, his clincher against Milan last week his eighth in nine matches.
Fiorentina vs Inter PASSING STATS
Amrabat setting the tone for Fiorentina
Like their opposition in the final, Fiorentina rely upon their defensive midfielder to set the tone in possession and Sofyan Amrabat averages over 60 passes per 90 minutes for a team whose average possession is second only to Napoli in the league. However, left-back Cristiano Biraghi saw most of the ball in the last two meetings between the teams with 68 attempted passes and he will be the outlet again against Inter’s 3-5-2 system.
Brozovic seeing plenty of the ball for Inter
Marcelo Brozovic hasn’t played quite as much football as he would have hoped this season but if Inter are to dominate here, the 30-year-old is going to be pivotal. Brozovic averages over 70 passes per 90 minutes played and has managed over 70 passes in five of his last seven starts against Italian clubs. However, despite Inter dominating possession in the previous meeting between the sides, he managed just 54 attempted passes in 77 minutes, so passing stats may be one to avoid for your Inter vs Fiorentina bet builder.
Fiorentina CARDS AND FOULS STATS
Fiorentina thankful for enforcer Amrabat
Sofyan Amrabat made a name for himself in Morocco’s remarkable World Cup campaign and his tenacity has continued at home in Italy where he averages over two fouls per 90. He has committed three or more fouls in five of his last seven matches. If Amrabat is beaten, centre-back Nikola Milenkovic is not afraid to commit a foul, forcing the referee to blow his whistle in eight of his last nine matches and two or more times in five of those.
Milenkovic and Amrabat will need to be on their guard to stop Edin Dzeko getting hold of the ball and linking attack and midfield – Dzeko has been fouled twice in three of his last five cup starts while team-mate Lautaro Martinez is fouled over twice per 90 minutes. Denzel Dumfries is Inter’s second most fouled player and that has not slowed down of late, being fouled in his last seven.
Fiorentina vs Inter Key Matchups
Nikola Milenkovic vs Lautaro Martinez
Sofyan Amrabat vs Nicolo Barella
Cristiano Biraghi vs Denzel Dumfries
Inter CARDS AND FOULS STATS
Inter’s experienced heads likely to get on wrong side of referee
Inter will be reliant on their experienced players keeping the team in check and the spine of Francesco Acerbi, Marcelo Brozovic and Hakan Calhanoglu are more than happy to do so. Centre-back Acerbi has committed a foul in six of his last eight starts, Brozovic in eight of his last nine starts and Calhanoglu two or more fouls in five of his last six appearances.
They will need to be on their guard to protect Inter’s wide players, especially down the left-hand side. Nicolas Gonzalez is a player referees try to protect, the Argentinian commits to nearly five dribbles per 90, being fouled more than 3.5 times per 90 and being fouled three or more times in eight of their last 12 matches. Right-back Dodo is at around half of those average numbers but has been fouled in nine of his last ten starts and two or more times in seven of those.
Fiorentina vs Inter Key Matchups
Alessandro Bastoni vs Nicolas Gonzalez
Federico Dimarco vs Dodo
Marcelo Brozovic vs Giacomo Bonaventura
FIORENTINA vs inter BET BUILDER TIPS AND PICKS OF THE PACK
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Fiorentina vs Inter Milan
Gonzalez averaging 1.09 shots on target per 90 minutes.
Argentinian has had a shot on target in nine of last 12 appearances.
Gonzalez averaging 3.82 shots per 90 and had three or more in eight of last 10 matches.
Fiorentina average 2.33 cards per game.
Inter draw an average of 2.39 cards per game.
Referee Irrati averages 5.3 cards per game.
Biraghi averages 1.04 fouls per 90.
Biraghi has committed a foul in ten of 11 matches.
Direct opponent Dumfries fouled 1.59 times per 90.
Amrabat commits 2.35 fouls per 90.
Amrabat committed two or more fouls in six of last eight matches.
Fiorentina committed over ten fouls in every Coppa Italia match.