Goals Treble

Brighton have had a storming start to 2023, scoring 9 goals in 2 matches. Away to Everton & Middlesbrough.

Brighton matches this season have averaged 3.35 goals. 65% of them have seen this selection land.

They average a strong xG of 1.65 & they’re converting that in to 1.88 goals per game.

As for Liverpool, they’ve got a huge 71% hit rate for over 2.5 goals; their games average 3.29 goals.

Their xG average is a whopping 2.10 per game.

Their issues have been in defence, The Reds have had just 1 clean sheet on the road this season.

These two rank joint 1st & joint 2nd for success on this selection in the Premier League.

Brentford games average 3.22 goals, 89% of them have had over 1.5.

Bournemouth games average 3.17 goals, 83% of them have had over 1.5.

Brentford’s recent PL form has been stellar. They’ve beaten Man City, Liverpool & West Ham, as well as drawing with Liverpool.

Their lowest xG output across those 4 games was 1.84 vs Spurs. They had an xG of 2 or more against the other 3 sides.

As for Bournemouth. They were beaten 4-2 by Burnley in the FA Cup last time out.

4 goals conceded to a Championship side probably isn’t too much of a shock for the leagues leakiest defence (39 conceded).

Both sides are on 7 game streaks where over 1.5 goals has landed.

The midweek Ligue 1 clashes saw Rennes beaten in the 95th minute by Clermont, as they tried to cling on with 9 men.

PSG produced a solid, if somewhat uninspiring 2-0 win at home to basement boys Angers.

Rennes matches have averaged 3.06 goals and they’ve got the highest strike rate for over 2.5 goals in the division (72%).

They’re closely followed by PSG at 67%, the Parisians have seen an average of 3.39 goals per game – the highest in the division.

PSG average a mammoth 2.34 xG, which their superstars have converted in to 2.67 goals per game.

Rennes have a very impressive output too (1.92 xG). I’m very confident they score in this one even in the absence of Martin Terrier.