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League One Preview & Best Bets

english league one

Burton vs Ipswich

Ipswich To Score 2+ Goals @ 1.91 (10/11)

Burton got their first points of the season on Saturday, drawing 4-4 with Accrington Stanley at The Wham Stadium, summer signing Davis Keillor-Dunn had put them 3-0 after 50 minutes but goals in the 90th and 96th minute rescued a point for the home side. The Brewers will be disappointed not to have taken all three points and their defensive frailties are becoming a major concern, they’ve conceded eleven goals in the opening three fixtures of the season. 

Ipswich faced MK Dons on Saturday and it was a dominating performance from The Tractor Boys, they were in their opponents faces from the first minute and they didn’t give Milton Keynes a moments peace and it was a very impressive showing. Ipswich possess frightening speed in attack this season, Marcus Harness got his second in an Ipswich shirt and put in a great performance. I can’t see anyway that Burton manage to keep Ipswich out on Tuesday night. 

As regular readers will know, I always like to take the value bet in games, this worked for us on the weekend when we had Accrington to score two or more rather than Accrington to win and the game ended 4-4. It’s going to be the same bet again here, Ipswich to score two or more is even money, whilst Ipswich to win the game is 4/5. 

Charlton vs Plymouth

Plymouth to win @ 3.1 (21/10)

Charlton played fairly well in defeat to Sheffield Wednesday on Saturday, they got themselves into some great positions, especially in periods of transition but they were unable to produce the final pass and that’s something that concerns me going forward. They have looked a little out of ideas in the last two games when tasked with breaking down a team and I think that’s what they’re going to face on Tuesday night against Plymouth.

Argyle beat the early season pacesetters 2-0 at Home Park on Saturday and were great value for their win. Finn Azaz has started the season so well, with two goals in three games and I think he might be a good bet got another goal on Tuesday night, he’s available at 13/2 first scorer and 12/5 anytime which look like generous prices to me considering the positions he’s been getting himself into. 

This selection is mainly based on the price, I would have imagined these two teams would be fairly similar odds, but the bookies have Charlton as the heavy favourites, they are 13/10 whilst Plymouth are 21/10. I think Plymouth are going to have another good season, they were unlucky to miss out on the play-offs last year and I would expect them to be challenging at the right end of the table again.

Forest Green vs Accrington Stanley

Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.0 (1/1)

This is a really obvious pick to make, and the price is very generous. Both of these teams are better going forward than they are defensively. Forest Green’s three games have seen a total of eight goals, and both teams have scored in all of these matches (2-1 win against Bristol Rovers, 2-1 defeat to Ipswich and 1-1 against Lincoln). Accrington’s matches have seen thirteen goals fly in, including the aforementioned 4-4 draw against Burton Albion on Saturday, they had a low scoring game against Shrewsbury but that’s more to do with the opposition and the game state than anything else, they opened the season with a 2-2 draw against Charlton.

I think both teams match up really well to hurt each other in this game. I think Accrington will push up high against Forest Green’s back three, winning the knock downs and trying to turn the defenders towards their own goal. This is a tactic that worked well for both Lincoln and Ipswich. At the other end of the pitch, I think Forest Green can overload Accrington down the flanks and do them for pace, whipping low crosses in Josh March and potentially Connor Wickham if he plays. 

I think there’s bound to be goals in this game, I think both teams will get on the scoresheet and BTTS: Yes is available at 4/5. The bet I will be going for though is over 2.5 goals which is a better price and available at even money. If you’re looking for something a little riskier, over 3.5 goals can be found at 5/2.

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