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Leeds vs Hull Stats Pack, Bet Builder Tips and Predictions

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Leeds vs Hull

Calendar 1st April
Football icon kick off 20:00
Football icon Leeds to Win
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Leeds have won 8 straight home games in the Championship, and are unbeaten since December.

Hull have not won in 5 league games, drawing 4 and losing 1, whilst losing the xG battle in all but 1 of these 5 games.

Football icon Jaden Philogene to have 1+ shots on target
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Philogene has averaged 1.29 shots on target per 90 for Hull this season.

He has had at least 1 shot on target in 18 of his last 21 Championship games, and last failed to take at least 2 shots in a game in mid-September.

Football icon Crysencio Summerville to commit 1+ fouls
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Summerville commits 1.34 fouls per 90, the fourth-most amongst Leeds players

He has committed a foul in 9 straight games in all competitions for Leeds, and is matched up against Lewie Coyle, who wins 1.30 fouls per 90.

Football icon Tyler Morton to commit 1+ fouls
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Morton averages 1.02 fouls per 90, and will be tasked with keeping tabs on Georginio Rutter, who draws 2.63 fouls per 90, the most of any Leeds player.

He has now committed a foul in 9 of his last 11 starts for the Tigers in the Championship.

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It was all change in the Championship on Easter Monday as the top two both dropped points to allow originally third-placed Ipswich to steal top spot.

Leeds drew 2-2 away to Watford on Friday and now find themselves second in the table, albeit knowing that Leicester in third place are just one point back with a game in hand. The race for promotion looks set to go down to the wire, and with just seven and eight games to go for the top three, every game matters if they want to avoid the dreaded play-offs.

Hull will not make it easy for Leeds however, holding their own ambitions of a play-off spot. Liam Rosenior’s side know that the results have to come now, after a five-game winless run that has seen them draw four games before losing at home to Stoke on Good Friday.

Hull have not beaten Leeds in regulation time since 2018, although they did secure a penalty shoot-out win over the side from Elland Road in the 2020/21 edition of the EFL Cup, and Leeds are rightly favoured again here.

There is no love lost between the Yorkshire rivals and even if Hull did not have designs on the top six their fans would take great joy in harming Leeds’ promotion push. This should be a feisty affair, and could be a tight game, especially if the 0-0 draw in the reverse fixture back in September is anything to go by.

This could be a crucial game in the promotion race for both the automatic positions and for the top six, and it also looks like an excellent game for a bet.

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Leeds vs Hull predicted lineups

Leeds expected to shuffle the pack after Watford draw

A disappointing result on Good Friday means Daniel Farke is likely to ring the changes. Junior Firpo is expected to return for Sam Byram, having only missed the game thanks to a late return from international duty. Liam Cooper is likely to miss out, with Ilia Gruev returning in midfield and Ethan Ampadu moving back into central defence. Dan James is also likely to be benched, with Jaidon Anthony getting a rare non-cup start wide on the right.

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Two changes from Liam Rosenior

A string of poor results and performances might see some managers throwing the baby out with the bathwater, but Rosenior is likely to continue to make minor tweaks only. Regan Slater is expected to be benched in favour of Liverpool loanee Tyler Morton, whilst Noah Ohio did not make much of an impression against Stoke and is likely to be replaced by Ozan Tufan upfront. The backline remains unchanged, with Jean-Michael Seri keeping his place in holding midfield, alongside the three players playing behind the striker, Jaden Philogene, Fabio Carvalho and Anass Zaroury.

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Leeds vs hull team stats

worth a punt on BTTS

Leeds have now scored in every Championship game since their 1-0 defeat away at West Brom in December last year. Though they have kept plenty of clean sheets recently (seven in their last 10), this may be mostly down to a very comfortable run of fixtures in which they have played bottom-half sides in nine of their last 10 league games. They have conceded 0.72 goals per game on average this season and have a tougher opponent here than they have faced in recent weeks in play-off chasing Hull. The Tigers have scored in 11 of their last 14 in the league and have the talent capable of hurting Leeds in a game they desperately need to win, so backing BTTS at 1.85 could offer excellent value.

30 03 2024 LEEDS betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS 1

Hull’s play-off dreams may be in tatters

Hull’s form has dropped off a cliff since their impressive 2-1 win away to Southampton last month. They have gone winless through five Championship games, drawing four and losing to Stoke last time out to take just four points from 15 available. They have won the xG battle just once in those five games, against Birmingham, and they are now six points adrift of sixth-placed Norwich, although they do have a game in hand. They face a Leeds side who are unbeaten in the league since December 2023, winning eight straight home games in the Championship. Leeds can be backed to win at 1.40.

30 03 2024 HULL CITY betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS 1

Leeds VS Hull SHOTS AND SHOTS ON TARGET stats

Look to Summerville in the shots markets

Leeds’ Dutch winger is second for both shots and shots on target per 90 this season (3.46 and 1.31 respectively). He may not have scored many in recent weeks but this has not caused any confidence issues, with Summerville continuing to shoot on sight. He scored last time out against Watford from one of his four shots on target in that game and has now had at least one shot on target in four of his last five starts in the Championship. Despite this he is only the fourth-favourite to hit the target according to the bookies and backing him at 1.33 looks well worth a go.

England Stats Pack 2

Philogene the best bet amongst the Tigers

22-year-old Jaden Philogene has been the star of the season for Hull, and a major reason why the Tigers are in the running for a place in the top six. The young winger has hit the most shots on target of anyone in the Hull squad, racking up an impressive 1.29 per 90 from out wide. Since the end of September, Philogene has started 21 times for Liam Rosenior, hitting a shot on target in 18 of these games. He can be backed to have a shot on target here at 1.80, a great price on a talented young player who always poses a goal threat.

Watford Stats Pack

Leeds VS Hull GOALS AND ASSISTS stats

Rutter offers exceptional value

Assists are always a tricky thing to predict, but it becomes much easier when dealing with a player like Georginio Rutter. The Frenchman has racked up an incredible 16 assists in the Championship this season, yet he still sits odds-against to get another here, at 2.38. Rutter has assisted six times in his last seven games, with this bet having cashed five times. He has also assisted at least one goal in each of his last four league games at Elland Road. Don’t be put off by the high odds here, Rutter is worth serious consideration in the assist market.

England Stats Pack 3

Carvalho a nice longshot option on the goalscorer market

Carvalho has been a great January signing for Hull who moved quickly when the opportunity arose and landed a player generally regarded as one of the best seen in the Championship in recent years. The Portuguese forward has not assisted for the Tigers yet but he has bagged four league goals already, currently sitting at 5.0 to score here. Having scored three goals in his last six league games, Carvalho has continued to play well despite Hull’s struggles and it would not be a surprise if he got on the scoresheet here. Those seeking a longshot bet builder could do much worse than backing Carvalho to score here.

Watford Stats Pack 2

lEEDS CARDS AND FOULS stats

Summerville undervalued for fouls

Leeds’ Dutch winger ranks fourth amongst Leeds players for fouls committed per 90, with his seasonal average sitting at 1.34. He has now committed at least one foul in each of his last nine games for Leeds, including a foul in 12 minutes off the bench versus Chelsea in the FA Cup. He has also committed multiple fouls in four of his last nine games. Up against full back Lewie Coyle, who draws 1.30 fouls per 90, it would be a surprise if Summerville did not extend his fouling streak to 10 games, and he can be backed to do so at 1.30.

England Stats Pack 4

Liverpool loanee Fabio Carvalho has played 12 games for Hull City this season, and he has won a foul in all 12. Nine of these 12 games have seen Carvalho win 2+ fouls, with his highest being five, a mark he has hit twice, against Norwich and Sunderland. In a game in which they will not see much of the ball, Carvalho’s technical ability means he will be relied on to keep the ball up the pitch to allow the defence to move up and reset. This provides the perfect opportunity to win fouls, and up against Ilia Gruev, who commits the third-most fouls of any Leeds player at 1.46 per 90, Carvalho is likely to be fouled at least two or three times here.

Watford Stats Pack 4

HULL CARDS AND FOULS stats

Morton offers nice value on the foul markets

Fellow Liverpool loanee Tyler Morton has featured for Hull in the majority of their games this season, and after a slow start fouls-wise he has really got stuck in during the second half of the season. Morton has committed a foul in nine of his last 11 league starts for the Tigers, which has seen his average shoot up to 1.02 fouls per 90. Likely to be tasked with tracking Georginio Rutter, who draws more fouls than any other Leeds player at 2.63 per 90, it would be no surprise at all to see Morton make it 10 in 12 here. He can be backed to commit a foul at a very solid price of 1.44.

Watford Stats Pack 3

Glen Kamara has now won a foul in each of his last eight league starts for Leeds, and averages 1.38 fouls won per 90. The Finland international has been consistently able to draw fouls throughout the season, but his recent run has kicked this up a notch, with seven of his last eight seeing him win at least two fouls. Up against Jean-Michael Seri (0.98 fouls per 90) and Fabio Carvalho (1.34), Kamara is an option worth exploring in the fouls won markets, as are both Seri and Carvalho in the fouls committed markets.

Watford Stats Pack 5

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