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Friday night’s EFL action sees a clash of the titans, as recently relegated duo Leicester City and Leeds United face off in what promises to be an enthralling Championship encounter between two promotion favourites.
Enzo Maresca has enjoyed a near-perfect start to life as Leicester City manager, overseeing 13 wins in his first 14 Championship matches to leave his side comfortably top of the league table – the gap between them and third place is bigger than the gap between third and 21st.
Leeds United are the side in third place having put some early-season squad issues to bed. They have lost just two of their last 12 in the league and responded brilliantly to defeat against Stoke City last Tuesday by thumping local rivals Huddersfield Town 4-1.
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LEICESTER VS LEEDS PREDICTED LINEUPS
Changes likely as Maresca shuffles the pack
Maresca has the good fortune of being able to rest and rotate players when necessary, such is the ridiculous strength of his squad at this level. Wout Faes and Ricardo Pereira should return to the backline having stepped out for the visit to QPR. Wilfred Ndidi remains absent so Cesare Casadei should keep his spot. Kelechi Iheanacho and Jamie Vardy are fighting to be Maresca’s first choice number nine while youngster Kasey McAteer is back from a muscle problem.
Farke has decisions to make on key men
The 4-1 win against Huddersfield Town was thoroughly enjoyable but may have come at a cost with Joe Rodon, Sam Byram and Crysencio Summerville all being forced off with injury. The latter two were withdrawn as a precaution and should be fit enough to start on Friday but Joe Rodon is expected to miss out with captain Liam Cooper the man to fill that role. Otherwise, they will be unchanged.
LEICESTER VS LEEDS TEAM STATS
Leicester totally dominant
As you would expect for a man who was so aligned with Pep Guardiola, Enzo Maresca’s side are totally dominant in so many aspects of the game. They have only failed to hit 1 xG once all season while conceding more than 1 xG in just two of their last 11 matches (Leicester to win to nil is 3.75). They have managed 14 or more shots and five or more shots on target in ten matches, while conceding no more than four shots on target in their last eight. It’s easy to understand why their opponents pick up so many yellow cards.
Leeds hitting their stride
Leeds may be slightly more direct in their approach but the results are proving similar – their xG numbers aren’t far behind Leicester. They have only failed to hit 1 xG in two of their 14 matches while conceding 1 xG or more in just two of their last 10. They have managed 14 or more shots in all but one game – an early season affair at Birmingham City when all their key attackers were unavailable – and have conceded four or more shots on target on just four occasions.
LEICESTER VS LEEDS SHOTS AND SHOTS ON TARGET
Dewsbury-Hall the big attacking threat
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall is absolutely the bet. The talented left-footed midfielder is hitting his stride in this free-flowing system, managing two or more shots in ten of his 13 Championship starts and having a shot on target in nine – he’s 1.40 and 1.80 to manage the feat against Leeds on Friday. Elsewhere, Stephy Mavididi is doing what he can to endear himself to Leicester fans – he’s had a shot on target in seven of 12 starts and can be backed to do the same at 1.30.
Shots shine in Summerville
Having Crysencio Summerville in the Championship feels like a cheat code and it’s proving to be the case. The Dutchman is a shooting machine, managing two or more shots in all 11 league appearances, three or more in seven and four or more in his last three starts. He’s also had a shot on target in eight of those 11 with two or more in five. Incredibly, he’s 2.0 to have a shot on target and 1.44 to have two or more shots. Dan James is the same price – he’s had two or more shots and a shot on target in eight of nine starts.
LEICESTER VS LEEDS GOALS AND ASSISTS stats
Dewsbury-Hall the man again
We have to talk about that man again. Dewsbury-Hall has 11 goal contributions this season – he has directly contributed to more than a third of Leicester’s Championship goals and contributed at least once in seven of his last eight appearances – he’s 2.88 to do the same again. Mavididi’s contributions have been more sporadic but he has six to his name and is available at 2.75 – he will be attacking the space behind Liam Cooper.
Time for Rutter to step up
Unsurprisingly, it’s Summerville who is the value bet, the winger has contributed to ten of Leeds’ goals this season in just 11 appearances, contributing at least once in his last four starts and to all four goals in the 4-1 win against Huddersfield Town. He’s 3.40 to provide a goal or assist. Georgino Rutter has contributed seven to date with five of those being assists, showing his selflessness. He has two goals from 4.1 open play xG and is surely due another goal – he’s available to score anytime at 4.0.
LEICESTER CARDS AND FOULS Stats
Vestergaard-ing his goal at whatever cost
Jannik Vestergaard has seven yellow cards in 13 Championship appearances. He’s already been suspended. Ben Pearson would be proud. He has also committed a foul in nine of his 13 matches – a worthwhile bet. Elsewhere, Harry Winks is one match away from suspension having picked up four yellow cards and he’s another regular fouler, doing so in ten of his 14 league starts. Dewsbury-Hall and Ricardo Pereira are also in danger of missing the next game.
Pereira is perhaps the man most in trouble given he’ll be up against either Summerville or James at any point. Summerville has been fouled in all ten appearances in which he has played at least a half of football while the super speedy Dan James has been fouled in eight of his nine league starts. Vestergaard won’t be left out – his direct opponent Rutter has been fouled in his last eight starts and three or more times in four of his last six appearances.
LEEDS CARDS AND FOULS Stats
Most fouled also the foulers
It’s a curious thing that the players most often subjected to the wrath of the opposition tend to be the players also dishing it out and Leeds are no different. Ethan Ampadu, Georginio Rutter and Crysencio Summerville all have three yellow cards to their name and persistent fouling must be part of the reason Ampadu has fouled in 13 of 14 matches, Rutter in six of his last eight starts and Summerville in nine of 11 matches.
It’s Ampadu who’s most likely to collect another booking. He’s up against the gifted Dewsbury-Hall, the Leicester danger man that has been fouled in 12 of his 14 Championship appearances and twice or more in eight of those. Stephy Mavididi has been fouled in seven of his last ten outings and will cause trouble for Jamie Shackleton.
LEICESTER VS LEEDS BET BUILDER TIPS AND PICKS OF THE PACK
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Leicester vs Leeds
3rd November
kick off 20:00 Leicester City 2+ cards
Leicester have collected two or more cards in ten of their 14 Championship fixtures.
Leicester have collected two or more cards in their last three matches.
Crysencio Summerville 2+ shotsSummerville has had two or more shots in all 11 Championship appearances.
Leeds have managed 14 or more shots in all but one match.
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 2+ shotsDewsbury-Hall has managed two or more shots in ten of his 13 Championship starts.
Leicester have managed 14 or more shots in ten of their league games.
Jannik Vestergaard 1+ foulsVestergaard has committed a foul in nine of his 13 Championship appearances.
Georginio Rutter has been fouled in his last eight starts and three or more times in four of his last six.
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