The stakes are high at the King Power Stadium and the result will affect both the top and bottom of the table. Leicester must win to keep their survival destiny in their own hands whilst Liverpool are in a position where they can’t afford to slip up if they are to harbour hopes of a top four finish. The expectation is that this will be an attacking end-to-end type contest which could potentially explode.
Usually a game with so much on the line leads to goals, cards, and fouls. And all that is covered with the stats below so you can pick the best team and player for each metric in your Leicester vs Liverpool bet builder. Our Stats Pack Guide should provide you with additional help to make best, and the most profitable, use of the pack.
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Leicester vs Liverpool confirmed lineups
Iheanacho still injured
It’s more than possible that Dean Smith will switch up tactics against an in-form Liverpool side, adopting a 3-4-3 formation over a 4-2-3-1. The guarantee is key English trio Harvey Barnes, James Maddison, and Jamie Vardy starting, having been involved in 5 of their last 6 goals.
Vardy has shifted back into the side after Iheanacho’s injury, continuing his goal scoring exploits. While Ricardo Pereira may well start at wing-back in James Justin’s absence.
No new concerns for The Reds
Jurgen Klopp will stick with the usual 4-3-3 formation with Salah, Gakpo, and Jota the most likely front three, while academy product Curtis Jones has cemented his place in the midfield.
There’s healthy competition in every position though with Luis Diaz, Darwin Nunez, Jordan Henderson, and Kostas Tsimikas all having earned starts in recent games, and several of the front 3 capable of dropping into midfield.
Leicester vs Liverpool team stats
Foxes concede a lot of goals and corners
Leicester average 1.40 goals per game but 1.83 against. These figures are quite accurate because their xG and xGA metrics are very similar. The Foxes fire in 11.26 shots per game compared to 14.66 from their opponents. Their own SOT rate is 3.80 and at the other end it’s 4.63.
Leicester have conceded a lot of corners this season at an average of 6.14 per game. They have an extremely low average of 3.63 themselves, perhaps explained by the fact that their wide players often cut inside. Cards have been middling numbers in Foxes fixtures at 3.54. They have generally been a fairly clean team this season.
Corners and shots stand out for The Reds
Liverpool average 1.91 goals for and 1.20 against per game. Despite a poor season The Reds have actually overachieved defensively considering that their xGA is 1.35. Allison has been one of the top performing keepers. The Merseysiders average 15.57 shots per game and only 9.97 at the other end. They have fired in 5.29 on target which is over a third of their attempts.
Liverpool have racked up a massive 6.09 corners per game and only 3.57 against. Cards have been quite low in their fixtures at an average of exactly. Taking over 4.5 or 5.5 Liverpool corners is an attractive addition to your Liverpool bet builder. The Reds most corners or corner handicap is likely to be fairly safe too.
Leicester vs Liverpool shots and shots on target stats
Barnes and Maddison the safest picks
Jamie Vardy has a low average shot rate of just 1.33 shots per 90 mins. Both James Maddison and Harvey Barnes are much more reliable in terms of attempts. Each usually hit the target at least once per game and must be a consideration to your Leicester bet builder. Youri Tielemans is capable of firing bullets from distance.
Liverpool front three all happy to take aim
Mo Salah averages 3.16 shots per 90 mins with 1.25 on target. He’s always going to be a major contender in the shooting categories for Liverpool. Cody Gakpo and Diogo Jota aren’t far behind, and Darwin Nunez is a serial shooter when he’s on the field. Virgil van Dijk must be watched from set pieces and is usually good for at least one attempt per match.
Leicester vs Liverpool goals and assists stats
Maddison is a dual threat option
Harvey Barnes has scored 12 goals and is a real menace cutting inside on the left. He lacks assists but is a major threat. Jamie Vardy has endured a difficult year but might be sparked into life by starting upfront again. James Maddison is the key playmaker with nine assists, and he’s also netted ten goals. Maddison is a massive threat both from open play but also set pieces. Taking him to score or assist in your Leicester bet builder certainly has appeal.
Salah found form at the right time
Mo Salah has been on fire in the last couple of months. He has scored 7 goals in his last 7 Premier League games, aided by being the regular penalty taker. Darwin Nunez has scored 9 goals and is someone to consider if he starts. Both Liverpool fullbacks Trent Alexander-Arnold and Andy Robertson are always threats to assist. Trent has massively improved recently in a slightly different role.
Leicester vs Liverpool passing stats
Counter-attacking style could limit passing numbers
The Foxes are a mixed bag in terms of possession. They average close to 50% and can vary from game to game. The likelihood is that they will operate on the counter-attack here so passing numbers might be more limited. Wout Faes and Youri Tielemans would be in line to rack up the most passes in this team but might only just eclipse the 50 mark.
Be cautious of Liverpool’s tactical approach
It is likely that Liverpool will monopolise possession considering that they average over 60% overall in the Premier League. The most reliable man in this department for passing is probably Virgil van Dijk (79.0 per 90 mins). He had less than 50 passes vs Brentford last week though because Liverpool changed their style. Trent Alexander-Arnold (73.0) would be fancied to have at least 70 passes if he lasts 80 mins or more. A lot depends on the tactics of how Liverpool use the ball though.
Leicester Cards and Fouls stats
Ndidi and Maddison the best picks
Dean Smith’s men have generally been a clean team this season and it was noted in a recent article that they are one of the fairest teams in the Premier League in terms of time wasting and wanting to ‘get on with the game’ The Foxes lack some of the dark arts of football with maverick James Maddison sticking out as the black sheep with 10 cards. The midfield duo of Tielemans and Ndidi stand out as potential foul options to add to your Leicester bet builder.
Mo Salah draws less than one foul on average per 90 mins. Players are reluctant to overcommit to Salah even if he is a very tough matchup. Gakpo and Curtis Jones are fouled the most on this list so the likes of Wout Faes and Ndidi could come under some pressure.
Leicester vs Liverpool key matchups:
Wilfred Ndidi vs Curtis Jones
Wout Faes vs Cody Gakpo
Youri Tielemans vs Fabinho
Liverpool Cards and Fouls Stats
Fabinho is a foul and card magnet
Liverpool only average 1.49 cards per game and are unlikely to test the referee too much. Fabinho had a run of three straight carded matches recently. He calmed down slightly but was back in the book vs Brentford last week. You could add him to your Liverpool bet builder to be carded. Harvey Barnes should provide a sufficient test to Trent Alexander-Arnold.
James Maddison is the obvious candidate to draw fouls and cards with his technical expertise and repertoire. Harvey Barnes will need careful attention whilst the midfield duo of Tielemans & Ndidi could also attract fouls. Jamie Vardy can get loose if not watched. Ibrahim Konate has a high foul rate (1.64) for a centre back and this could be a key matchup.
Leicester vs Liverpool key matchups:
Fabinho vs James Maddison
Trent Alexander-Arnold vs Harvey Barnes
Ibrahima Komate vs Jamie Vardy
Leicester vs Liverpool Bet Builder Tips and Picks of the Pack
Below we’ve put together a Leicester vs Liverpool bet builder using the stats you’ve just dived into.
Before you start though, be sure to check out all the Free Bets and Signup Offers on my website.
Leicester vs Liverpool
15th May
kick off 20:00 Over 2.5 goals
Leicester concede an average of 1.83 goals per game and Liverpool average close to two goals per match.
The Reds could cover this goal line on their own, but Leicester also have goals in them, their most recent 5-3 and 2-2 are evidence of that.
Liverpool over 4.5 cornersThe Reds average 6.09 corners per game and Leicester concede 6.14 to their opponents.
James Maddison 1+ foulHas committed at least one foul in each of his last 8 games.
Averages 1.12 across the season, and has received 10 bookings.
Curtis Jones on the left side of midfield draws 1.61 foul p/90.
James Maddison 2+ shotsThe main talisman for the Foxes averages 3.07 shots per 90 mins and will surely take aim a few times here.
Salah 1+ shot on targetHe has scored 7 goals in his last 7 Premier League games and averages 1.25 SOT per 90 mins.
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