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Liverpool vs Brighton Stats pack, Bet Builder Tips and Predictions

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Liverpool vs Brighton

Calendar 31st March
Football icon kick off 14:00

BTTS has landed in 6 of Liverpool’s last 7 league games.

Brighton have scored in 9 of their last 10 games against Liverpool in all competitions.

Football icon Mohamed Salah to score anytime
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Salah scored both Liverpool goals in the 2-2 draw between these two sides at the Amex in October.

He has now scored in 7 of his last 9 Liverpool games in which he played over 30 minutes, and scores every 111 minutes on average in 2023/24.

Football icon Tariq Lamptey to be fouled 1+ times
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Lamptey has won 1.82 fouls per 90 this season, the third-most in the Brighton squad.

He is up against Luis Diaz, who commits 1.67 fouls per 90, the third-highest amongst Liverpool players.

Football icon Pervis Estupinian to commit 1+ fouls
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Estupinian averages the second-most fouls per 90 for Brighton, at 1.71.

He has now committed a foul in each of his last eight starts for Brighton, and is up against Salah here.

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The first of two games on a Premier League Sunday that sees all three title contenders in action comes from Anfield, where Liverpool will host Brighton.

The Reds know that three points here will be huge with at least one of their rivals set to drop points when Arsenal head to the Etihad directly after this encounter.

Brighton will not make it easy for Jurgen Klopp’s men though, having picked up a famous FA Cup victory at this ground last season. In fact, Brighton are four games unbeaten against Liverpool, having picked up two wins and two draws since they last lost against today’s opponents.

The Seagulls’ impressive record stretches even further, with Liverpool having secured just one win in eight games against Brighton since a 3-1 victory in July 2020. Any dropped points would be huge at this stage, but especially on a day where Liverpool could easily finish the day top of the table.

Brighton meanwhile still have plenty to play for, with their Europa League exit meaning only a top-seven finish in the league will allow them to play European football again next season. They currently sit two points behind West Ham in seventh, albeit with a game in hand, and a statement win here would show they still have the capability to punch above their weight in the Premier League.

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Liverpool vs Brighton predicted lineups

Just two changes from Klopp

Fresh from their FA Cup exit at the hands of United, a result which must sting, Klopp is unlikely to ring the changes, with the only two expected to come in defence. Andy Robertson is injured again, meaning Joe Gomez will shift across to the left, with Conor Bradley at right back. Ibrahima Konate has recovered from his injury, which should see him return to the lineup with Jarell Quansah dropping back to the bench.

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Lallana to miss out for Brighton

Brighton have not played since their second leg win over Roma in the Europa League, and with no injuries from international duty, they are expected to name a near-unchanged team here. The one player who may miss out is Adam Lallana, with Roberto De Zerbi expected to opt for Facundo Buonanotte in the number 10 role instead. Solly March, out since October, is nearing a return but this game will come too soon for Brighton’s number 7.

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Liverpool vs Brighton team stats

Liverpool piling on the goals but keeping few clean sheets

The Reds have been in superb form of late, securing eight straight wins against sides not involved in the title race in the Premier League. Despite racking up the points, however, they have been far from secure at the back, conceding at least one goal in six of their last seven league games. With Burnley, Luton and Brentford all finding the net it would be a surprise if they secured a rare clean sheet against a Brighton team well set up to exploit Liverpool’s high line, having scored in nine of their last 10 games against Jurgen Klopp’s side. Both teams to score looks a great option, and it can be backed at 1.50.

Team Stats 24

Seagulls worth a punt on the handicap markets

Having lost just once in their last eight games against Liverpool, Brighton are clearly set up in a way that Jurgen Klopp’s side struggle to contain effectively. Liverpool are heavy favourites for the game which opens up some interesting possibilities in the handicap market. Brighton can be backed to win the game with a +2 handicap at 1.80, meaning the bet would win as long as do not Liverpool win by two or more goals. Brighton held Liverpool to a 2-2 draw earlier in the season, and this bet would have cashed in 10 of their last 12 meetings, so it could be an option worth exploring if you fancy the Seagulls’ chances of keeping their bogey team status intact.

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Liverpool VS Brighton SHOTS AND SHOTS ON TARGET stats

Conor Bradley is one to watch here

Bradley has made a real impact in his debut season as a senior Liverpool player, ably deputising in the absence of Trent Alexander-Arnold to the point where it does not seem to matter that Liverpool are missing one of their best players. The Northern Irishman scored the only goal for his country in their 1-0 win against Scotland and he has been a goal threat whenever he has played for Liverpool too. Despite playing at right back Bradley had at least one shot on target in each of his first four Premier League starts, and he has now taken at least one shot in five of the six league games in which he has played. He can be backed to have a shot at 1.25, but those looking for higher odds may choose to back him to have a shot on target at 2.50 instead.

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Simon Adingra offers great value

Adingra has been excellent this season, and he will be crucial to the run-in with Kaoru Mitoma likely to miss the rest of the season. The Ivorian international averages 0.93 shots on target per 90 from 2.05 shots per 90 and has now had a shot on target in each of his last three starts for Brighton. His last 11 games for the Seagulls have seen him have a shot on target in eight games, and frankly, him being priced at 2.20 is just too high considering his recent form. Those seeking higher odds for their bet builder should strongly consider backing him here, especially as he scored against Liverpool and had two shots on target in the reverse fixture.

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Liverpool VS Brighton GOALS AND ASSISTS stats

Mo Salah is the clear favourite to score

By far the bookies’ favourite to score here, but still offering solid value at 1.83 is Mohamed Salah. The Egyptian winger’s qualities are obvious and he has been in exceptional form both pre-and-post-injury. Salah has scored in seven of his last nine games for Liverpool in which he played more than 30 minutes, and his record this season shows he scores a goal every 111 minutes. He had plenty of joy against the Seagulls in the 2-2 draw at the Amex back in October, scoring both Liverpool goals and it would be no surprise to see him on the scoresheet again today.

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Little value in goals for Brighton, but Gross worth a look for an assist

As fantasy football managers are all too aware, the goals are very evenly spread at Brighton, with their top scorer in the league having just eight goals. Instead, the best value can be found in backing Pascal Gross to register an assist here. He had six passes leading directly to a shot in the 2-2 draw at the Amex earlier in the season and has now racked up four assists in his last five Brighton starts in the league. Despite this, he sits at a huge 5.0 to get an assist here, making this a very tempting longshot option.

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Liverpool CARDS AND FOULS stats

Endo an obvious choice here

The Japanese international commits more fouls than any of his team-mates, racking up 2.46 per 90, compared to second-placed Alexis Mac Allister who commits 1.79. Endo will be responsible for keeping tabs on Brighton’s Facundo Buonanotte, who draws 2.95 fouls per 90, while Billy Gilmour will also be operating in the same spaces, drawing 1.26 fouls per 90 himself. Endo is not worth backing for a single foul (priced at 1.10), but he has committed two fouls in eight of his last 11 league starts for the Reds and can be backed to do so again at 1.53.

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Tariq Lamptey has not played too much football this season, but when he has been on the pitch he has won plenty of fouls with his pace and low centre of gravity proving tough for opponents to handle. The young full back has been fouled twice or more in four of his last seven starts in all competitions and is averaging 1.82 fouls won per 90. He is also up against Luis Diaz, the Colombian is committing 1.67 fouls per 90, and is well known for his aggressive pressing style. Lamptey can be backed to be fouled at least once at 1.40.

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Brighton CARDS AND FOULS stats

Solid value on Estupinian for fouls

Despite ranking second amongst Brighton players for fouls committed per 90 (1.71), Estupinan is surprisingly only priced at 1.25 to commit a foul here. The Ecuadorian has committed a foul in eight straight starts for the Seagulls and faces a mammoth task here in keeping Salah quiet. He has also been booked in three of his last five starts, so he is certainly worth a look in the cards markets, where he can be backed to receive a card at 3.75.

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After a long run of not winning any fouls, Szoboszlai has picked his numbers up dramatically in 2024. The Hungarian midfielder has committed a foul in each of his last four domestic games for the Reds and in five of his last six games in all competitions. This includes a foul in each of his two appearances from the bench in which he played just 55 minutes across both games. He has won 1.30 fouls per 90 this season and will be up against Brighton’s top fouler, Buonanotte, who commits over two fouls per 90 and Billy Gilmour, who commits 0.91 fouls per 90. Szoboszlai can be backed to be fouled at least once at 1.36.

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