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Liverpool vs Manchester United Bet Builder Stats Pack

Liverpool vs Man United Bet Builder Stats Pack Featured Image

The last Premier League game of the weekend, and it’s a big one. Two of the biggest names in England which always ends up in a heated derby. United are in arguably the best form in Europe, fighting on four fronts, while it’s not been a great season for anyone on Merseyside. The Anfield crowd will hope this Liverpool side can put a halt to United’s surge.

Below is a lowdown behind both teams’ season so far in the league. The stats compiled will help you construct a bet builder with a better chance of success. To get the best use of it, I recommend having a glance over my Stats Pack Guide if you’re a stats pack rookie.

Paddy Power are also offering a completely free £5 bet builder for the game, you just need to opt in through the promotions tab. If you haven’t got an account yet, get £30 in free bets using the offer below PLUS that £5 free bet builder.

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Jurgen Klopp will unlikely make many changes from the side that overturned Wolves by 2 goals to nil in midweek. A returning Diogo Jota displaced Cody Gakpo who was only able to make an impact from the bench.

Kostas Tsimikas will be hopeful of keeping his spot over Andrew Robertson after keeping a clean sheet, while Ibrahima Konate will undoubtedly partner Virgil Van Dijk with Joe Gomez a major doubt with a hamstring injury.

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Erik Ten Haag has found his flow, and with that he’s found a pretty consistent starting XI. Diogo Dalot’s return to full fitness should dislodge Aaron Wan-Bissaka in a back line of Luke Shaw, Lisandro Martinez, and Raphael Varane.

The Brazilian partnership of Casemiro and Fred should start with Christian Eriksen out, while the front four can take on a variety of tactical shapes. It’s likely Wout Weghorst up top with Rashford to his left, but we have seen the big Dutchman drop back to allow the in-form man into the centre of the strike-force.

Man United Stats Pack de gea

Team Stats

Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 4 in the league, and haven’t concede a single goal in those games. Van Dijk returning has made a huge impact. They’ve been underperforming in comparison to their xG, which suggests they’ve had the chances but poor finishing from Nunez, Salah and Gakpo has left them trailing from the Champions League spots.

They don’t rack up too many cards, but they are always a good bet for corners and average 6.46 per game. That increases to 7.00 at home. They’re priced at 2.75 to have 7 corners here, but I’d be looking at over 4.5 Liverpool corners at 1.45 to add to my bet builder.

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That selection is helped by the fact that United concede more corners than they have themselves, despite averaging 53% of the ball. They’re more interested in racking up the cards, with only Fulham (61), Palace (55) and Everton (55) having received more cards than United (53). They’re priced at 1.33 to receive two or more tonight.

United’s xG figures suggest they’re slightly lucky to be in the title fight. Their xGA is significantly higher than Liverpool’s and ther xGF is significantly lower.

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Player Shots and Shots on Target

Darwin Nunez may get his fair share of criticism for his missed chances, but you can’t deny the Uruguayan gets into good positions. That’s why he has the best shot taking averages in the league, with over 2 on target and over 5 in total per 90 minutes despite just 6 goals. He’s priced at 2.20 to have 2 tonight, and had 3 on target last time out vs United.

Other than that, only Salah of the predicted started makes over 1 shot on target p/90, while Stefan Bajcetic may present an outside option for a shot at 1.22.

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There has been a large reliance on Marcus Rashford’s form for the visitors and they’ll hope he can keep it up at Anfield. He averages 3.04 shots p/90, and 45% of those make it on target.

I like the look of Fred for a shot though, as he’s found himself in more advanced positions with the security of Casemiro behind. He averages 2.28 shots p/90 and the bookies only fancy him for 1 at 1.30.

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Player Goals and Assists

It’s a familiar sight for Liverpool to see Mo Salah at the top of their goal scoring charts, and he scored a consolation goal in their 2-1 loss at Old Trafford earlier in the campaign. The Egyptian King has 10 goals against United in his career.

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Marcus Rashford has been sensational since the World Cup concluded, and has been involved in 21 goals in all competitions since play resumed on the 21st December. That includes 10 goals in his last 10 Premier League games.

Wout Weghorst is yet to get off the mark for the club.

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Player Passing

With Joe Gomez doubtful for this game, Virgil Van Dijk and Trent Alexander-Arnold are the players I’d look at to attempt 70+ passes. Despite losing in their last meet up, Liverpool managed 71% possession (up from their season average of 60%) and played 645 passes to United’s 273. Van Dijk is priced at 1.73 to break that barrier today.

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Man United’s passing averages are much lower, and playing at Anfield I wouldn’t expect many if any to break 70 passes, so I’d focus more into the 50+ range.

Luke Shaw, Casemiro, Lisandro Martinez, and Fred are all capable of breaking that mark if and only if United don’t sit back and look to break on the counter.

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Liverpool Cards

Liverpool are no card machines, and only two Manchester City (29) and West Ham (29) have received less cards than Liverpool (31). Referee Andy Madley is not huge on the cards either and averages 3.70 per game.

Fabinho is always a good shout for a card though, while young Stefan Bajcetic may be out of his comfort zone in this huge clash.

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Midfielders Casemiro, Bruno Fernandes and Fred draw the most fouls p/90 of any United players. There will be a lot to look for in the middle of the park and I’d expect it to get scrappy.

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Matchups to watch:

Fabinho vs Bruno Fernandes

Stefan Bajcetic vs Fred

Trent Alexander-Arnold vs Marcus Rashford

Man United Cards

United are a much better bet for cards, and average 2.29 cards per game – the 4th highest in the league.

Andy Madley may need to brush up on his Portuguese given not just Fabinho on the Liverpudlian side, but Casemiro, Fred, Bruno Fernandes, and Diogo Dalot all make the foul and card graphic. The Brazilian partnership of Casemiro and Fred commit a combined 4.54 fouls p/90.

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Again, much of the tussle will be in the middle of the park, and with Stefan Bajcetic and Harvey Elliott drawing 1.91 and 1.60 fouls per 90 minutes of action, and Diogo Jota dropping into the false 9, the United midfield have their work cut out.

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Matchups to watch:

Casemiro vs Diogo Jota

Fred vs Stefan Bajcetic

Diogo Dalot vs Darwin Nunez

My Bet Builder Picks of the Pack

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I’ve broken down the stats, scavenged the betting markets, and here’s just a few of the picks I liked the look of and seemed like decent value. You can load any or all of them into your betslip in one click below at 9/1. I’ve used my free £5 bet builder from Paddy on it.

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Liverpool vs Manchester United

Calendar 5th March
Football icon kick off 16:30
Football icon Fred to have 1+ shots
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Fred has recently adopted a more advanced position with Casemiro holding fort behind him.

He’s averaged 2.28 shots p/90, with only 0.50 making it on target. Talk about taking a shot in the dark.

Amazingly, Fred has registered at least 1 shot in all of his last 11 appearances in all competitions.

That includes a goal in just 5 minutes against West Ham.

With a break during midweek, and still brimming with confidence that he can try his luck and make the headlines vs Liverpool, I’d fancy him to try his chances at least once.

Football icon Fred to commit 2+ fouls
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I’ve gone for Fred again here because Fred and fouls go hand in hand.

He’s got stiff competition with his Brazil and midfield partner Casemiro, but nobody averages more than his 2.28 fouls p/90.

Excluding his quick FA Cup cameo, he’s committed at least 2 fouls in 8 of his last 9 appearances.

The last time he travelled to a tough opponent was Barcelona, where he committed 6 fouls at the Camp Nou.

He’ll have to face the best foul drawer in the Liverpool squad in Stefan Bajcetic – 1.91 fouls drawn p/90. He’ll also need to cover Diogo Jota in the false 9 who is fouled 1.82 times p/90.

Football icon Virgil Van Dijk to attempt 70+ passes
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This selection eased in at Old Trafford in the reverse fixture.

Van Dijk attempted 92 passes in that game.

He averages 78.9 passes per game and has attempted 70+ in all his last 3 Premer League games. And given they average 60% possession you can see why.

At Old Trafford, Liverpool managed 71% possession and played a total of 645 passes.

Given United won that match-up, they’ll be more than happy to sit back again and spring on the counter.

Football icon Liverpool to have over 5.5 corners
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Liverpool are always a good bet for corners. They averages 6.46 per game and this increases to 7.00 at Anfield.

United also concede 5.67 per game which increases to 6.00 away from home.

Liverpool had 8 corners against United in the reverse fixture, and 9 last time they hosted the Red Devils at Anfield.

Football icon Manchester United over 1.5 cards
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Only Fulham (61), Palace (55), and Everton (55) have received more cards than Man United (53) this season.

That’s at an average of 2.29 cards per game. Living up to their Devilish name.

Liverpool tend to draw more cards than they receive themselves too (1.38 vs 1.58 per game).

United received 3 cards in the reverse fixture too. Just 2 the time before that, and then 7 the time before that (including a red card).

It’s always a heated battle between these two, and with referee Andy Madley averaging 3.70 cards per game this season, I can see at least 2 brandished towards the United players.

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