Tottenham head to Anfield to take on Liverpool today hoping to harness more of the second-half spirit they showed against Man Utd on Thursday to upset the odds against the resurgent Reds on Merseyside.
Both Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool and Ryan Mason’s Spurs still harbour hopes of landing a late place in the top four, though even a single dropped point from here on in could be enough to scupper either side’s slender chances of making the cut for Champions League qualification.
Below, I’ve assembled my stats pack for this afternoon’s skirmish with contains everything you need to stuff your bet builders with smarter selections. Use the data below in conjunction with my Stats Pack Guide to enhance your chances of success.
Confirmed Lineups
Liverpool are still without the services of Stefan Bajcetic, Naby Keita and Roberto Firmino, though Ibrahima Konate could be restored to the XI at centre-half after the Frenchman sat out the Reds’ 2-1 win at West Ham on Wednesday evening.
Further forward, Thiago Alcantara will hope to start in midfield ahead of Curtis Jones, while Darwin Nunez and the fit-again Luis Diaz will battle it out with Diogo Jota for a position in Liverpool’s front three.
Rodrigo Bentancur and Yves Bissouma are still in the treatment room for Tottenham while wingbacks Ryan Sessegnon and Emerson Royal are also nursing ailments and won’t feature. That leaves Pedro Porro and Ivan Perisic open to reclaim their positions on either flank.
Richarlison failed to impress against Man Utd on Thursday and the Brazilian could be replaced by the more effective Dejan Kulusevski at Anfield. Fraser Forster will continue between the sticks if first-choice stopper Hugo Lloris fails to recover in time.
Team Stats
Liverpool moved to within seven points of fourth place with their win over West Ham on Wednesday with six games left to contest, but in terms of xG, shots and shots per 90, the Reds are already performing to a top-four standard. Liverpool racked up another 20 shots against the Irons in midweek, while clocking an expected goals figure of 1.9.
Defensively, they have been markedly less impressive however, which is why they are still positioned seventh in the actual Premier League standings. Ten different clubs have been posting better xG against figures than Jurgen Klopp’s outfit. Liverpool have been winning plenty of corners in 2022/23 and they are priced at 4/7 to win over 5.5 of them again today.
Tottenham showcased both sides of their character on Thursday evening in their 2-2 draw with Man Utd, delivering the kind of cocktail of haphazard defending and incisive attacking that has characterised many of their Premier League performances this term.
In a similar vein to Liverpool, Tottenham have positive stats to point to in the final third where they rank fourth for goals scored and sixth for shots on target per 90, though Spurs are a bottom six side for shots and SOT conceded at the other end. Interestingly, 100% of their last seven league assignments have produced goals at both ends, an outcome that’s available to back at 4/7 today.
Player Shots and Shots on Target
A Liverpool front three of Mohamed Salah, Cody Gakpo and Diogo Jota mustered seven shots between them at West Ham on Wednesday evening, though just as eye-catching was the output from the Reds’ back four.
Alexander-Arnold, Matip and van Dijk all clocked at least two shots each in midweek. With threat coming from both ends of the pitch during open and from set-pieces, Salah at 4/5 to lodge 2+ shots on target and van Dijk to chip in with at least one attempt overall look like decent options at 10/11 and 4/9 here.
Tottenham’s deadly duo of Harry Kane and Son Heung-min managed to hit seven shots between them against Man Utd on Thursday, though Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg and Pedro Porro matched Son’s output with three efforts each.
Hojbjerg’s penchant for a ping from distance makes him a great option at 8/13 to register 1+ shots today, while Kane is once again the best option in the accuracy department where he is priced at 3/10 to test Alisson with at least one drive.
Player Goals and Assists
Mohamed Salah has developed a real affinity for scoring against Tottenham during his spell with Liverpool and listed among his seven career Premier League goals against the Londoners is the brace he notched against them in the capital back in November. The 30-year-old – who has netted four times in as many Premier League appearances this month – is even money to score anytime again today.
With five assists in his last five top-flight starts, Trent Alexander-Arnold seems to have rediscovered his laser-like passing precision for the Reds and the full-back could be an option to consider at 8/5 in the anytime assist stakes this afternoon.
Harry Kane has scored eight career goals against Liverpool in the Premier League, the latest of which was claimed in November in Spurs’ narrow loss to Liverpool in North London. The 29-year-old is 7/4 to make his mark anytime again today, while his partner in crime Son Heung-min could also turn heads in the same market at 13/5.
Son has better acceleration in his armoury than Kane and he might be a stronger counter-attacking weapon than his teammate at Anfield. Son has also found the net on each of Tottenham’s last two visits to the red half of Merseyside.
Player passes
As one of the Premier League’s most possession-hungry outfits, Liverpool will expect to have the ball on a string for large swathes of today’s game, and several of their most potent passers look like decent options in the markets.
Virgil van Dijk could distribute his way clear of 90 passes today (11/10) – something the giant Dutch defender has achieved in each of his last three starts in the league. Andrew Robertson, who played north of 100 passes in the same three fixtures, looks like excellent value elsewhere in the 70+ passes realm at 4/5.
Tottenham had less than 40% of the ball at home to Man Utd on Thursday evening, so it’s safe to assume that Spurs will be feeding on scraps when they visit Anfield later on.
Defenders and regular prominent passers Eric Dier (48) and Cristian Romero (46) were top of the pops for Tottenham in midweek, though with prices of 1/25 and 2/9 floating about for either to play 50+ passes later on, there is little to sink our teeth into here.
Liverpool Cards and Fouls
Fabinho is one of Liverpool’s chief hoarders of cards and perpetrators of fouls and the anchorman is favoured today at 5/6 to sin at least twice against Spurs. To his left, Andrew Robertson is great value at 8/15 to foul at least once while guarding his flank against Pedro Porro.
Cody Gakpo is an under-the-radar option to consider in the same market. The Dutch forward has committed at least one foul in 11 of his 15 Premier League appearances since joining Liverpool and the ex-PSV attacker is priced at 4/9 to foul just once today.
Harry Kane could find himself closer to the halfway line than Liverpool’s penalty area for most of today’s game and he should be firmly on Fabinho’s radar if and when he drifts into those deeper positions.
Pedro Porro has been drawing plenty of fouls while marauding down the right for Tottenham since his switch to the club in January. Andrew Robertson can be as no-nonsense as anyone when he needs to be and the Scot might need to lean on his cynical skillset today. Clément Lenglet is Tottenham’s most fouled centre-half this term and the Frenchman might feel the full force of Cody Gakpo’s enthusiasm at Anfield.
Match-Ups to watch
Fabinho vs Harry Kane
Andrew Robertson vs Pedro Porro
Cody Gakpo vs Clément Lenglet
Tottenham Hotspur Cards and Fouls
Some of Spurs’ usual suspects were dishing out punishment on Thursday against Man Utd and both Cristian Romero and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg committed two fouls each against the Red Devils to keep their per 90 figures for the campaign ticking over.
Romero could be a savvy inclusion at 11/10 to commit two or more fouls again at Anfield, while Hojbjerg looks a big price at 11/8 in the same range. Ben Davies made a welcome return off the bench in midweek and the Welshman could earn a start today. Davies gave away two free kicks when Spurs lost to Liverpool in November and at 1/3 to sin just once this afternoon, the 30-year-old could be worth squeezing onto your docket if he starts.
One of Diogo Jota, Luis Diaz, or Darwin Nunez is likely to be deployed as the furthest left member of Liverpool’s attacking trio, and whoever is chosen to start there should be in for a bruising afternoon against defensive battering ram, Cristian Romero.
If Thiago Alcantara starts, he has a knack for drawing fouls from opponents. Watch out for his altercations with Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg today.
While the versatile Ivan Perisic is expected to get physical with the Egyptian if Salah starts to turn him inside out.
Match-Ups to watch
Cristian Romero vs Darwin Nunez
Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg vs Thiago Alcantara
Ivan Perisic vs Mohamed Salah
My Bet Builder Picks of the Pack
Taking a look through the stats pack, I’ve put together a Liverpool vs Tottenham bet builder just here.
Liverpool vs Tottenham
30th April
kick off 16:30 Liverpool to win
Liverpool have won their last 3 on the bounce, while Tottenham are winless in their last 3.
Liverpool can leapfrog Tottenham and Aston Villa with a win here from their game in hand, into the Europa League spots.
Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 11 games against Tottenham (8 wins, 3 draws), including a 2-1 win in the reverse fixture at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
They are unbeaten at Anfield in their last 12 games against Spurs.
Over 2.5 CardsLiverpool games average 2.94 cards per game.
Tottenham games average 4.15 cards per game.
Referee Paul Tierney averages 3.70 cards per game.
Cristian Romero to commit 1+ foulsRomero may not have got his 12th Premier League card of the season against United in midweek, but he did commit 2 fouls.
He averages 1.63 fouls p/90.
Whoever he is up against, he’s going to have troubles.
Luis Diaz (2.43), Cody Gakpo (1.80), Diogo Jota (1.41), and Darwin Nunez (0.94), will all find themselves taking on Romero and drawing fouls in the game.
Pedro Porro to have 2+ shotsPorro has attempted 2 or more shots in 8 of his 11 games for Spurs.
He managed 3 shots against United in midweek, and of course the goal.
He averages almost exactly 2 shots p/90 (1.99) with just 0.35 of them making it on target.
That reflects how he’s happy to take a shot on no matter where he is on the pitch, as he makes the more attacking runs of the two wing-backs.
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