Luton town v Arsenal
Luton will have their work cut out when they face one of the leagues best teams.
Arsenal are solid. In all areas. They’ll look to play their game as they always do.
Luton will have done their homework however, and know that one way to disrupt Arsenal is to try to disrupt their play. Often, this leads to fouls being committed to break up the play.
Luton commit on average 11.4 fouls per game which is 9th highest in the league. Arsenal have the 2nd lowest count with 9.5.
Arsenal are a team who avg around 60% of possession, so it’ll be expected that Luton will be chasing the ball for long periods of the match. Luton have the PL’ s least possession of only 35.6%.
Luton have committed 10 or more fouls in 90% of their games in the PL this season.
Luton Town’s injury woes continue. Especially at the back where players seem to be dropping like flies. Tom Lockyer, Alfie Doughty, Teden Mengi and Tom Lockyer all find themselves nursing injuries.
One player who looks to be shifted to central of defence is Amari’i Bell. He’d normally play as a left sided wingback.
Amari’i Bell commits on avg 0.73 fouls per game but all his fouls this season so far have been when he’s been deployed more centrally.
Playing on the left hand side of the defence means he’ll be up against 2 of the PL’s most fouled players. Jesus wins 2.00 fouls p/90 and Saka wins 2.16 p/90.
Even Martinelli wins 0.93 p/90 and Odegaard 0.75 p/90. All are players who Bell will see enough of during the game.
Bell has committed 3 fouls in this last 2 games.
With one of the PL best attacking sides. He’ll have his work cut out trying to keep a speedy, skilful and rampant Arsenal team at bay.
Gabriel Jesus has returned from his latest injury and has his the ground running.
After a quieter start to the season, he has picked up some good form for Arsenal of late.
Arsenal are a top team who create lot of chances, and some of these chances fall to the feet of Gabriel Jesus. Often criticised for his lack of goals, there is no doubt that he is a quality player who normally gets a few shots in a game.
He averages 1.8 shots p/90 and 1.1 SOT’s p/90.
In his last 2 games he’s hit the target 3 times. 1.5 p/90.
Jesus will be licking his lips at this opportunity to get some shots off against a Luton team who concede on average 5.5 SOT’s p/90 which is the 3rd highest in the league.
Arsenal have on avg 5 SOT’s p/90 so there should be plenty of chances for Arsenal and Jesus here.
Luton Town v Arsenal see’s one of the PL highest number of corners.
Here we have 2 teams who together average 15 corners p/90 which is way above the league average of 10 corners p/90.
Luton Town have one of the narrowest and shortest pitches in the league, and so there really isn’t much room to play with. These pitch dimensions do play some part in the number of corners we see at Kenilworth road.
I’ve gone for Arsenal to win 5+ corners because Arsenal are winning on avg 8.50 corners p/90
Arsenal have won over 4.5 corners in every away game they’ve played this season.
Corners conceded is where we will really see the difference. Luton concede on avg 5.17 corners p/90 and Arsenal is only 1.83 p/90 which tells you all you need to know.